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Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
by Devesh Jaganath in LaLiga Predictions
This weekend’s headline fixture in La Liga will come from Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys where Barcelona will be taking on Atletico Madrid on Saturday night. Blaugrana and Los Colchoneros are locked level at the top of the league standings on 38 points apiece with the former ahead only on goal difference. Check out our match prediction below!
Barcelona have won each of their last five matches against this opponent in La Liga and another victory this weekend will equal their best-ever run versus the Red and Whites. Atletico Madrid have failed to win any of their last 18 away games in La Liga against Barca - their second-longest winless streak on the road against a single opponent.
As such, bookmakers have the hosts as the clear favourites in this match, but it is the visitors who enter the contest with the wind beneath their sales. Let’s take a look at some other important stats.
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The Best Betting Odds for Barcelona v Atletico Madrid Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.95 | 3.75 | 3.7 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.75 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.7 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.02 | 3.86 | 3.61 |
|
|
2.02 | 3.86 | 3.61 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.8 | 3.7 |
|
|
1.94 | 3.78 | 3.64 |
|
|
1.94 | 3.78 | 3.64 |
|
|
2 | 3.9 | 3.65 |
|
|
1.97 | 3.74 | 3.58 |
|
|
1.97 | 4 | 3.7 |
|
|
2.04 | 3.66 | 3.75 |
|
|
2 | 3.75 | 3.4 |
|
|
1.96 | 3.45 | 3.7 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.5 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.75 | 3.5 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.7 | 3.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Barcelona and Atletico Madrid?
Our prediction for the Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid match is: over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/12/2024 between Barcelona and Atletico Madrid in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.26% for a win of Barcelona against Atletico Madrid with odds of 2.05 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid is 6.64% with odds of 4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 50.1% chance ⭐ for a win of Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona with odds of 3.75 at Vbet.
Barcelona - Atletico Madrid Prediction and Best Odds:
| Barcelona Atletico Madrid Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 50.1% | 3.75 at Vbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.56% | 1.8 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 50.42% | |
| Half-time : Barcelona / Full-time : Atletico Madrid | 22.73% | 34 at Betsson |
Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid Form
Barcelona and Atletico Madrid's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
44 | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 21 |
|
3
|
39 | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 29 |
Barcelona and Atletico Madrid Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
7 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
3 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
30 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
30 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
3 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
20 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
7 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
3 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
23 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
10 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
8 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
5 Dec 2024 - Copa del Rey
30 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
8 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
23 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
3 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Dec 2024 - Copa del Rey
30 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
10 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
31 Oct 2024 - Copa del Rey
Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
0 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
3 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
23 Apr 2023 - LaLiga
8 Jan 2023 - LaLiga
6 Feb 2022 - LaLiga
2 Oct 2021 - LaLiga
Barcelona - Atletico Madrid: Form Analysis
Barcelona made an incredible start to the 2024-25 La Liga season, winning 11 of their first 12 games to early November, but since then they’ve experienced a serious drop-off.
It began with a 1-0 loss to Real Sociedad on November 10. Since then, Blaugrana have only managed a single victory from their last six league games, with the most match recent ending in a 1-0 to Leganes.
Perhaps more concerningly for the Catalans, they have also lost two home games in a row, with both defeats coming against sides currently in the bottom seven in the league standings.
Barcelona have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last six La Liga matches!
In contrast, Atletico Madrid have been in excellent form lately and racked up their 11th win of the season last weekend, beating Getafe 1-0 on their home patch.
That result marked Los Colchoneros' sixth consecutive victory in the top flight and they have only been beaten once this season, which is the fewest of any team in the division to date.
Additionally, Atleti maintained a total of four clean sheets during their current win streak and have only conceded 11 goals all term, also the lowest tally of any side in the top flight.
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Players list
I. Pena
DefenderJ. Kounde
P. Cubarsi
I. Martinez
A. Balde
MidfielderE. Garcia
Pedri
D. Olmo
F. Torres
ForwardRaphinha
R. Lewandowski
J. Oblak
DefenderA. Witsel
C. Lenglet
MidfielderR. Le Normand
J. Galan
R. De Paul
P. Barrios
Koke
A. Sorloth
ForwardN. Molina
J. Alvarez
Substitutes
W. Szczesny
A. Astralaga
DefenderS. Dominguez
E. Garcia
G. Martin
R. Araujo
MidfielderD. Olmo
P. Torre
F. De Jong
ForwardA. Fati
P. Victor
F. Torres
J. Musso
DefenderN. Molina
R. Le Normand
C. Azpilicueta
R. Mandava
MidfielderR. Riquelme
T. Lemar
Koke
A. Witsel
A. Sorloth
A. Correa
S. Lino
Missing players
M. Ter Stegen
MidfielderM. Bernal
Barcelona & Atletico Madrid Squad Analysis
Barcelona suffered a major injury setback in the defeat to Leganes, with Lamine Yamal sustaining an ankle injury which led to him being replaced in the second half.
Reports now suggest that the teenage sensation will likely have to sit out the next three to four weeks, though they are hopeful he will be able to return in time for the Super Cup on January 8.
Yamal will join fellow injury absentees Toni Fernandez, Marc-Andre ter Stegen and Marc Bernal in a watching brief this weekend. Ansu Fati and Andreas Christensen are also flagged as doubts having only just resumed training with the squad.
Robert Lewandowski has scored 16 goals in 17 La Liga matches for Barca this season!
Atletico Madrid, meanwhile, have just one long-term absentee at present in the form of Borja Garces, who is still on the road to recovery from a cruciate ligament tear sustained last season.
Thomas Lemar and Alexander Sorloth’s participation in this match is also questionable, with both players currently nursing muscle injuries.
Most goals and assists
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
R. Lewandowski
(25 Goals)
J. Alvarez
(12 Goals)
L. Yamal
(11 Assists)
A. Griezmann
(7 Assists)
Barcelona - Atletico Madrid Key Points
- Eight of Barcelona’s last 10 matches have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Barcelona have scored two or more goals in seven of their last 10 league games.
- Barcelona have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last seven league matches.
- Seven of Atletico Madrid’s last 10 matches have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Atletico Madrid have scored two or more goals in five of their last eight league games.
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Our Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
While matches between these two have been tight and tactical in the past, Barcelona have been struggling to keep teams out lately, which has seen them drop points despite scoring fairly freely.
Atletico Madrid, on the other hand, have been rampant recently, netting 22 goals in their last six matches, while they’ve only failed to score two or more in two of their last 10 across all competitions. Therefore, our Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid prediction is over 2.5 goals.
Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
Seven of Barcelona’s last 10 matches have ended with both teams scoring, while they have only managed one clean sheet over that period. Additionally, both teams have scored in three of Atleti’s last four matches.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Barcelona Atletico Madrid
| Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona wins | 1.75 | 1.95 | +11.4% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.75 | 0% |
| Atletico Madrid wins | 4.5 | 3.7 | -17.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Atletico Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 17.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 22.2% and is now 27.0% (4.8%)
Get up to £30 to bet on the Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid game
You can get yourself a £30 matched bet for the battle between Barcelona and Atletico Madrid when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins then you won't get the free bet but you'll have your winnings for further fun on LaLiga!
Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid match : Frequently asked questions
The La Liga match between Barcelona and Atletico Madrid will be played on December 21 at 20:00 GMT.
The La Liga match between Barcelona and Atletico Madrid will take place at Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys in Barcelona.
The La Liga match between Barcelona and Atletico Madrid will be broadcast on ITV4 in the UK, while Spanish viewers can tune in to ESPN+.
Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the La Liga Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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