Barcelona vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
by Daniel Ngulu in LaLiga Predictions
Barcelona will welcome Athletic Bilbao to their adopted home, the Olimpic Lluis Companys Stadium, in the second round of La Liga action. This Saturday match could send Barca top of the standings with a win. Read on for our preview and prediction.
Still recovering from a tumultuous campaign, Barcelona will do with some stability and a winning run. The hosts had Robert Lewandowski to thank for their winning start last week as they beat Valencia 2-1. The Pole scored a brace either side of halftime to hand Barcelona a fifth straight win in the league.
They’ve now scored two or more in each of those five matches. Bilbao were among their concerns last season, beating Barca in the Copa Del Rey then forcing a 0-0 draw in the league. In light of that, Barcelona will be justified to go for revenge.
Athletic Bilbao didn’t have a solid finish to 2023/24 but closed with two wins. They haven't had a strong start this season either, after letting their lead slip to draw 1-1 with Getafe last week.
While they frustrated Barcelona last season, this fixture rarely goes in their favor, especially in La Liga. The visitors have two wins only in their last 10 matches against Barcelona. They haven't beaten Barcelona in any of the last nine league meetings between them.
Barcelona won seven of the nine league encounters. In that run, regardless of their profile, Bilbao will go into this game as the underdogs. They have three wins only and five defeats in their last 10 away league matches. In four of those 10 La Liga matches, they also failed to score.
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The Best Betting Odds for Barcelona v Athletic Bilbao Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.01 | 23 | 501 |
|
|
1.91 | 2.7 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.8 | 5.93 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.8 | 5.93 |
|
|
1.59 | 4.3 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.63 | 4.14 | 5.05 |
|
|
1.02 | 12.25 | 100 |
|
|
1.63 | 4.14 | 5.05 |
|
|
1.65 | 4.2 | 5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Barcelona and Athletic Bilbao?
Our prediction for the Barcelona vs Athletic Bilbao match is: Barcelona to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/08/2024 between Barcelona and Athletic Bilbao in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 60.5% for a win of Barcelona against Athletic Bilbao with odds of 1.91 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Barcelona vs Athletic Bilbao is 15.28% with odds of 23 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.21% chance ⭐ for a win of Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona with odds of 501 at Bet365.
Barcelona - Athletic Bilbao Prediction and Best Odds:
| Barcelona Athletic Bilbao Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Barcelona wins | 60.5% | 1.91 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72.05% | 2.05 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 50.42% | 1.73 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time / Full-time : Barcelona/Barcelona | 27.1% | 2.45 at Ladbrokes |
Barcelona vs Athletic Bilbao Form
Barcelona and Athletic Bilbao's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
15 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
|
11
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Barcelona and Athletic Bilbao Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
12 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 May 2024 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Barcelona against Athletic Bilbao : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
24 Jan 2024 - Copa del Rey
22 Oct 2023 - LaLiga
12 Mar 2023 - LaLiga
23 Oct 2022 - LaLiga
27 Feb 2022 - LaLiga
Barcelona against Athletic Bilbao Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
R. Araujo
A. Christensen
MidfielderF. de Jong
Gavi
M. Bernal
F. Lopez
ForwardA. Fati
U. Simon
DefenderY. Alvarez
Barcelona - Athletic Bilbao Key Points
- Athletic Bilbao haven't beaten Barcelona in the last nine league meetings.
- Athletic Bilbao have five losses in their last 10 away league matches.
- Athletic Bilbao won just three of their last 10 league matches.
- Barcelona have five straight wins in La Liga action.
- Barcelona are unbeaten in their last eight home matches in La Liga.
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Our Barcelona vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction
Barcelona had a good start to the season, beating Valencia to post their fifth straight win in the league. Playing at home, where they are unbeaten in the last eight league matches also favors them coming into this encounter.
The hosts have a dominant run against Athletic Bilbao in the league as well and we don’t see this going against them. On the other hand, the visitors haven't had much in their favor away from home in the league. That makes this a very tough outing for Ernesto Valverde’s team.
Our prediction for Barcelona v Athletic Bilbao is for Barcelona to win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Barcelona Athletic Bilbao
| Barcelona vs Athletic Bilbao | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona wins | 1.62 | 1.01 | -37.7% |
| Draw | 4 | 23 | +475.0% |
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 5 | 501 | +9,920.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Barcelona is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 37.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 61.7% and is now 99.0% (37.3%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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