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Azerbaijan vs Sweden Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
by Ian John | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Azerbaijan host Sweden in the first Nations League Group C1 match of the new campaign. Portuguese head coach Fernando Santos has the Milli Komanda in excellent form at home. They will provide a combative test for Jon Dahl Tomasson's Blagult in what will be a competitive opening match for the two teams. What will our prediction make of the chances for either team to kick off the competition with a win?
Azerbaijan's only defeats in their last eleven matches have come against Belgium (twice), Austria and most recently Albania. They are unbeaten in their last four home games, winning three and that includes a 3-0 victory over today's opponents back in the Euro 2024 qualifiers in November 2023.
Neftchi Baku duo, midfielder and national skipper Emin Mahmudov and striker Ramil Sheydayev, are Azerbaijan's most influential players and the main goalscoring threats for the home side.
Sweden boasts a youthful squad, with just three players aged 30 or over. Five of their seven midfielders have six caps or fewer, and just six players have 20 caps or more. Their current form is poor by their usual standards, and they were relegated from League B in the last Nations League tournament.
Premier League trio Alexander Isak (Newcastle), Anthony Elanga (Nottingham Forest), Dejan Kulusevski (Tottenham), and Sporting Lisbon striker Viktor Gyokeres will be the Swedes main attacking threats. Experienced Anderlecht center-back Ludwig Augustinsson will likely anchor what is likely to be a defensive back five.
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The Best Betting Odds for Azerbaijan v Sweden Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6 | 4 | 1.55 |
|
|
5.75 | 4.2 | 1.55 |
|
|
6.13 | 4.34 | 1.59 |
|
|
6.13 | 4.34 | 1.59 |
|
|
5.75 | 4.2 | 1.53 |
|
|
5.8 | 4.1 | 1.57 |
|
|
5.8 | 4.1 | 1.57 |
|
|
5.4 | 4 | 1.55 |
|
|
5.9 | 4.2 | 1.54 |
|
|
5.6 | 4.1 | 1.57 |
|
|
5 | 4 | 1.6 |
|
|
6.25 | 4.35 | 1.5 |
|
|
5.5 | 3.9 | 1.5 |
|
|
5.5 | 4.2 | 1.57 |
|
|
6 | 3.9 | 1.52 |
|
|
5.6 | 4.2 | 1.62 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Azerbaijan and Sweden?
Our prediction for the Azerbaijan vs Sweden match is: Both Teams to Score and Either Team to Win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/09/2024 between Azerbaijan and Sweden in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.46% for a win of Azerbaijan against Sweden with odds of 6.25 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Azerbaijan vs Sweden is 9.52% with odds of 4.35 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.02% chance ⭐ for a win of Sweden vs Azerbaijan with odds of 1.62 at Vbet.
Azerbaijan - Sweden Prediction and Best Odds:
| Azerbaijan Sweden Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Azerbaijan wins | 51.46% | 6.25 at Unibet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.7% | 1.96 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 41.67% | 1.95 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Azerbaijan | 21.24% | 12.5 at Unibet |
Azerbaijan vs Sweden Form
Azerbaijan and Sweden's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 |
|
4
|
1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -14 |
Azerbaijan and Sweden Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2023 - Euro
16 Nov 2023 - Euro
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2023 - Euro
16 Oct 2023 - Euro
9 Sep 2023 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2023 - Euro
13 Oct 2023 - Euro
27 Mar 2023 - Euro
24 Mar 2023 - Euro
22 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
12 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2023 - Euro
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
12 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2023 - Euro
12 Oct 2023 - International Friendlies
12 Sep 2023 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2023 - Euro
9 Sep 2023 - Euro
20 Jun 2023 - Euro
16 Nov 2022 - International Friendlies
Azerbaijan vs Sweden Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Nov 2023 - Euro
27 Mar 2023 - Euro
Azerbaijan against Sweden Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Azerbaijan
Sweden
T. Bayramov
(2 Goals)
V. Gyokeres
(9 Goals)
T. Bayramov
(1 Assists)
,
R. Sheydaev
(1 Assists)
V. Gyokeres
(5 Assists)
Azerbaijan - Sweden Key Points
- Azerbaijan have won three, drawn one and lost two of their last six at home.
- Sweden have lost three of their last four away games.
- Azerbaijan have scored in five of their last six games.
- Sweden have scored in five of their last seven matches.
- There has never been a drawn game between Sweden and Azerbaijan.
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Our Azerbaijan vs Sweden Prediction
Our prediction for Azerbaijan vs. Sweden in the Nations League Group C1 is: Both Teams to Score and Either Team to Win.
We've gone for an unusual market for this fixture with somewhat contradictory data. Sweden are the hot favorites with bookmakers, but their recent form is poor, especially away from home. That includes a 3-0 loss to Azerbaijan, whose recent form, especially at home, is excellent. With both teams looking likely to score, the problem was picking a winner, hence our solution was to back either of the two teams to win the game alongside both scoring.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Azerbaijan Sweden
| Azerbaijan vs Sweden | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Azerbaijan wins | 6 | 6 | 0% |
| Draw | 4 | 4 | 0% |
| Sweden wins | 1.55 | 1.55 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Azerbaijan is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 16.7% and is now 16.7% (0.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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