Netherlands - Eredivisie
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II Prediction & Betting Tips - Eredivisie
by Joseph King in Eredivisie Predictions
The Eredivisie enters matchday 12 with sixth-place AZ Alkmaar hosting 11th-place Willem II on Sunday. AZ will be looking to close the gap on the top four European football qualification spots while Willem II could potentially move into the top half with a win. Let’s take a look at our prediction for this match between De Boeren and the Tricolores.
After a red-hot start saw AZ take 16 points from a possible 18 to start the season, they’ve since entered into a complete tailspin and have taken just a single point from a possible 15.
However, they’ll hope they have finally snapped out of it after picking up a midweek 3-1 home win over Fenerbahce in the Europa League. The victory snapped a seven-match winless run which saw AZ lose on six occasions.
After winning promotion last year, Willem II have experienced a decent start to the 2024/25 campaign. The visitors have three wins, five draws and five defeats on the year, giving them 11 points and putting them two points above the drop zone.
In their last outing, Willem were beaten on their home pitch 1-0 by Twente. It was the second straight Eredivisie defeat for the team and marked the third league game in a row in which they failed to find the net.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
The Best Betting Odds for AZ Alkmaar v Willem II Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.53 | 3.9 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.73 | 2.8 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.46 | 4.5 | 6.86 |
|
|
1.46 | 4.5 | 6.86 |
|
|
1.49 | 4.3 | 6.75 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.5 | 7 |
|
|
1.46 | 4.5 | 6.86 |
|
|
1.46 | 4.6 | 7.2 |
|
|
1.6 | 4.1 | 5.9 |
|
|
1.5 | 4 | 6 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.4 | 7 |
|
|
1.57 | 3.9 | 6 |
|
|
1.52 | 4.25 | 6.4 |
|
|
1.5 | 4 | 6.5 |
|
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
What is the prediction for the football match between AZ Alkmaar and Willem II?
Our prediction for the AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II match is: Under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/11/2024 between AZ Alkmaar and Willem II in Eredivisie :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.23% for a win of AZ Alkmaar against Willem II with odds of 1.73 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II is 24.63% with odds of 4.6 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.14% chance ⭐ for a win of Willem II vs AZ Alkmaar with odds of 7.2 at Tonybet.
AZ Alkmaar - Willem II Prediction and Best Odds:
| AZ Alkmaar Willem II Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar wins | 44.23% | 1.73 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.84% | 1.99 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 77.08% | 1.95 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: AZ Alkmaar | 21.89% | 4.33 at Bet365 |
AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II Form
AZ Alkmaar and Willem II's standings in the Eredivisie
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
|
9
|
15 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
AZ Alkmaar and Willem II Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Nov 2024 - Europa League
2 Nov 2024 - Eredivisie
27 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
24 Oct 2024 - Europa League
19 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
6 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Nov 2024 - Europa League
27 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
19 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
29 Sep 2024 - Eredivisie
25 Sep 2024 - Europa League
14 Sep 2024 - Eredivisie
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2024 - Eredivisie
24 Oct 2024 - Europa League
6 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
3 Oct 2024 - Europa League
20 Sep 2024 - Eredivisie
30 Aug 2024 - Eredivisie
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2024 - Eredivisie
30 Oct 2024 - KNVB beker
27 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
20 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
4 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
28 Sep 2024 - Eredivisie
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2024 - Eredivisie
20 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
28 Sep 2024 - Eredivisie
15 Sep 2024 - Eredivisie
31 Aug 2024 - Eredivisie
18 Aug 2024 - Eredivisie
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Oct 2024 - KNVB beker
27 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
4 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
21 Sep 2024 - Eredivisie
25 Aug 2024 - Eredivisie
10 Aug 2024 - Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Mar 2022 - Eredivisie
18 Dec 2021 - Eredivisie
18 Jan 2020 - Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar against Willem II Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
AZ Alkmaar
Willem II
T. Parrott
(8 Goals)
C. Sandra
(4 Goals)
,
K. Vaesen
(4 Goals)
I. Sadiq
(3 Assists)
, 
D. Wolfe
(3 Assists)
, 
S. Mijnans
(3 Assists)
C. Sandra
(1 Assists)
,
K. Vaesen
(1 Assists)
, 
R. Sigurgeirsson
(1 Assists)
, 
R. Behounek
(1 Assists)
AZ Alkmaar - Willem II Key Points
- Willem II have failed to score in their last three Eredivisie matches.
- Matches involving Willem II this season see an average of just 2.00 total goals, the lowest mark in the division.
- Nine of AZ's 14 home league goals came in one match; they've scored one goal in three of their five home matches.
- Eight of Willem's 11 league games have stayed under 2.5 goals.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Our AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II Prediction
Willem II have been one of the league's better defensive sides. However, they've also found it tough to find the back of the net with their 11 goals ranking as the third lowest total in the Eredivisie. They've shown a good ability to limit the damage against the top clubs in the division, such as a 1-0 loss away to Ajax, a 1-1 away draw with Feyenoord and a 2-0 home loss to PSV.
The hosts could find things tough going against a stingy Willem side. Our AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II prediction: under 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis AZ Alkmaar Willem II
| AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar wins | 1.47 | 1.53 | +4.1% |
| Draw | 4.2 | 3.9 | -7.1% |
| Willem II wins | 6.5 | 6.25 | -3.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- AZ Alkmaar is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 4.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 68.0% and is now 65.4% (-2.7%)
Use £30 free bets for the AZ Alkmaar vs. Willem II game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between AZ Alkmaar and Willem II? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of £30 free bet credits if you bet £10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Eredivisie! You need to make your qualifying bet of £10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
