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Europe - Europa League

AZ Alkmaar
25 Sep 2024 12:45
IF Elfsborg

Prediction :

AZ Alkmaar Over 1.5

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AZ Alkmaar vs IF Elfsborg Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League

 by Devesh Jaganath in Europa League Predictions

The 2024-25 Europa League season is finally here, and kicking off the highly-anticipated new-look competition will be AZ Alkmaar taking on Elfsborg at AFAS Stadion on Wednesday evening. De Kaasboeren qualified for this competition by finishing fourth in the Eredivisie last season, while Di Gule were runners-up in Allsvenskan. Check out our match prediction below. 

AZ Alkmaar are returning to the Europa League proper for the first time since the 2020-21 season and will be aiming for a better performance than their Conference League run last term when they failed to get beyond the group stage. Elfsborg, meanwhile, are back in Europe’s second-tier cup competition after a decade-long hiatus, having last featured in the main draw in 2013-14.

The hosts have made an imposing start to their domestic league season and enter this contest as the clear favourite. Let’s take a look at some of the key stats to consider in this opening-round encounter. 

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The Best Betting Odds for AZ Alkmaar v IF Elfsborg Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.53 4.5 5.5
Ladbrokes
1.48 4.5 6
1xbet
1.54 4.67 5.92
22bet
1.54 4.67 5.92
Betobet
1.48 4.6 6
Betwinner
1.44 4.58 7
Stake
1.49 4.8 6.2
Melbet
1.5 4.32 6.45
Tonybet
1.48 4.9 6.4
Check all AZ Alkmaar vs IF Elfsborg odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between AZ Alkmaar and IF Elfsborg?

Our prediction for the AZ Alkmaar vs IF Elfsborg match is: AZ Alkmaar Over 1.5!

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/09/2024 between AZ Alkmaar and IF Elfsborg in Europa League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.22% for a win of AZ Alkmaar against IF Elfsborg with odds of 1.54 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AZ Alkmaar vs IF Elfsborg is 37.91% with odds of 4.9 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 19.87% chance ⭐ for a win of IF Elfsborg vs AZ Alkmaar with odds of 7 at Betwinner.

AZ Alkmaar - IF Elfsborg Prediction and Best Odds:

AZ Alkmaar IF Elfsborg Prediction Probability Odds
AZ Alkmaar wins 42.22% 1.54 at 1xbet
Under 2.5 51.11% 3.85 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score 54.76%
Half-time / Full-time : AZ Alkmaar/AZ Alkmaar 17.73% 2.3 at Bet365

AZ Alkmaar vs IF Elfsborg Form

AZ Alkmaar and IF Elfsborg's standings in the Europa League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
17
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
6 4 2 0 2 0
24
IF Elfsborg
IF Elfsborg
4 4 1 1 2 -1

AZ Alkmaar and IF Elfsborg Last Matches

AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar Last matches
W W D W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

20 Sep 2024 - Eredivisie

Zwolle
1 :  2
AZ Alkmaar

14 Sep 2024 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
9 :  1
Heerenveen

30 Aug 2024 - Eredivisie

Waalwijk
0 :  3
AZ Alkmaar

25 Aug 2024 - Eredivisie

Groningen
0 :  0
AZ Alkmaar

17 Aug 2024 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
1 :  0
NEC Nijmegen

10 Aug 2024 - Eredivisie

Almere City
0 :  1
AZ Alkmaar
W W D D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
3 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

14 Sep 2024 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
9 :  1
Heerenveen

17 Aug 2024 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
1 :  0
NEC Nijmegen

31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

AZ Alkmaar
1 :  1
Le Havre

27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

AZ Alkmaar
2 :  2
Atalanta

24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

AZ Alkmaar
2 :  1
Aris Thessaloniki

20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

AZ Alkmaar
3 :  0
Kortrijk
W W W D W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

20 Sep 2024 - Eredivisie

Zwolle
1 :  2
AZ Alkmaar

30 Aug 2024 - Eredivisie

Waalwijk
0 :  3
AZ Alkmaar

25 Aug 2024 - Eredivisie

Groningen
0 :  0
AZ Alkmaar

10 Aug 2024 - Eredivisie

Almere City
0 :  1
AZ Alkmaar

3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Stoke
0 :  1
AZ Alkmaar

12 May 2024 - Eredivisie

Go Ahead Eagles
0 :  3
AZ Alkmaar
IF Elfsborg
IF Elfsborg Last matches
W L D W D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

22 Sep 2024 - Allsvenskan

IF Elfsborg
0 :  0
Hammarby IF

19 Sep 2024 - Allsvenskan

IF Elfsborg
2 :  2
IFK Norrkoping FK

15 Sep 2024 - Allsvenskan

Halmstads BK
0 :  1
IF Elfsborg

1 Sep 2024 - Allsvenskan

IF Brommapojkarna
3 :  3
IF Elfsborg

29 Aug 2024 - Europa League

IF Elfsborg
0 :  1
Molde

25 Aug 2024 - Allsvenskan

IF Elfsborg
3 :  1
IFK Goteborg
W W W L D D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

22 Sep 2024 - Allsvenskan

IF Elfsborg
0 :  0
Hammarby IF

19 Sep 2024 - Allsvenskan

IF Elfsborg
2 :  2
IFK Norrkoping FK

29 Aug 2024 - Europa League

IF Elfsborg
0 :  1
Molde

25 Aug 2024 - Allsvenskan

IF Elfsborg
3 :  1
IFK Goteborg

15 Aug 2024 - Europa League

IF Elfsborg
2 :  0
HNK Rijeka

11 Aug 2024 - Allsvenskan

IF Elfsborg
2 :  1
Gais
W D D W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

15 Sep 2024 - Allsvenskan

Halmstads BK
0 :  1
IF Elfsborg

1 Sep 2024 - Allsvenskan

IF Brommapojkarna
3 :  3
IF Elfsborg

22 Aug 2024 - Europa League

Molde
0 :  1
IF Elfsborg

18 Aug 2024 - Allsvenskan

Mjallby Aif
1 :  1
IF Elfsborg

8 Aug 2024 - Europa League

HNK Rijeka
1 :  1
IF Elfsborg

25 Jul 2024 - Europa League

Sheriff Tiraspol
0 :  1
IF Elfsborg
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AZ Alkmaar - IF Elfsborg: Form Analysis

AZ Alkmaar will kick off their Europa League campaign in fine spirits having made a positive start to the Eredivisie season, currently second in the league standings behind PSV after six games. 

De Kaasboeren have taken 16 points over that period and are still unbeaten, recording five wins and a draw, with the most recent match ending in a 2-1 victory against PEC Zwolle over the weekend. 

At home, the hosts are unbeaten in their last eight competitive matches, winning seven and drawing just one, a record that dates all the way back to a 1-0 loss to Feyenoord at the start of February last season. 

AZ Alkmaar have scored two or more goals in eight of their last nine competitive home matches!

Meanwhile, after an incredible 2023 league season which saw them miss out on the title by the slenderest of margins, Elfsborg have struggled to follow up this term, currently down in sixth place in the standings.

Di Gule experienced a poor start to the season, losing six of their first 12 matches, but they have improved significantly in the second half of the campaign and are currently unbeaten in their last 12 games in all competitions, including seven wins and five draws. 

The visitors avoided defeat in all eight of their qualifying matches in this competition, recording aggregate wins over Pafos (8-2), Sheriff (3-0), Rijeka (3-1) and Molde on penalties in the final qualifying round. 

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AZ Alkmaar against IF Elfsborg Lineups: Starting 11

AZ Alkmaar

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
R. Owusu Oduro
16
S. Maikuma
3
W. Goes
5
A. Penetra
18
D. Wolfe
8
J. Clasie
10
S. Mijnans
6
P. Koopmeiners
11
I. Sadiq
9
T. Parrott
7
R. van Bommel
18
A. Qasem
10
M. Baidoo
9
A. Zeneli
23
N. Hult
16
T. Ouma
27
B. Zeneli
15
S. Hedlund
2
T. Yegbe
29
I. Buhari
8
S. Holmen
31
I. Pettersson

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

IF Elfsborg

AZ Alkmaar & IF Elfsborg Squad Analysis

AZ Alkmaar are expected to be without the services of three first-team players in midweek, with Mees de Wit (foot), Bruno Martins Indi (hamstring) and Sem Westerveld (knee) all ruled out through injury. 

Ernest Poku and Jeroen Zoet have shaken off knocks and should be part of the selection equation for Maarten Martens, while central midfielder Lewis Schouten is still flagged as a doubt. 

In their last two matches, Ibrahim Sadiq and Troy Parrott have scored three and four respectively for AZ!

For Elfsborg, forward Per Frick will be eligible to return to the fray this week after he was forced to sit out the second-leg qualifier against Molde due to an accumulation of yellow cards.

Jalal Abdullai and Michael Baidoo were Di Gule’s top scorers during qualifying, notching up three goals each, and they are likely to lead the line in this one alongside Ahmed Qasem. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato AZ Alkmaar
CD Huachipato IF Elfsborg
Top Goalscorer
Rep. of Ireland T. Parrott (8 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Ghana M. Baidoo (2 Goals)
Best assists
Ghana I. Sadiq (3 Assists)
Norway D. Wolfe (3 Assists)
Netherlands S. Mijnans (3 Assists)
Best assists
Sweden S. Hedlund (2 Assists)

AZ Alkmaar - IF Elfsborg Key Points

  1. AZ Alkmaar have scored 13 goals in their last three games.
  2. AZ Alkmaar have scored two or more goals in eight of their last nine competitive home matches.
  3. AZ Alkmaar have only failed to score in one of their last 12 matches in all competitions.
  4. AZ Alkmaar are averaging 2.7 goals per 90 this season.
  5. Elfsborg have conceded two or more goals in two of their last four games.
Up to $200 to bet on AZ Alkmaar - IF Elfsborg! 

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Our AZ Alkmaar vs IF Elfsborg Prediction

AZ Alkmaar have been in excellent form leading up to the start of the Europa League, unbeaten in their last 11 games, while scoring an incredible 13 goals in their last three outings alone, including nine in a single match against Heerenveen. 

After a slow start to the season, Elfsborg have improved significantly in the second half of the campaign, but we feel they may struggle to contain the hosts on their home patch in this opening round clash. Our AZ Alkmaar vs Elfsborg prediction: AZ Alkmaar Over 1.5!

Prediction :

AZ Alkmaar Over 1.5

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$200 offered for betting!

AZ Alkmaar vs IF Elfsborg - Other Interesting Predictions

Over 2.5

Odds 1.65

AZ Alkmaar have been excellent in front of goal in the lead-up to this match, scoring 13 goals in their last three games. Elfsborg, on the other hand, have only failed to score in one of their last 19 matches in all competitions. 

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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis AZ Alkmaar IF Elfsborg

AZ Alkmaar vs IF Elfsborg Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
AZ Alkmaar wins 1.44 1.53 +6.3%
Draw 4.5 4.5 0%
IF Elfsborg wins 7 5.5 -21.4%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • AZ Alkmaar is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 6.3% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 69.4% and is now 65.4% (-4.1%)

AZ Alkmaar vs IF Elfsborg match : Frequently asked questions

The Europa League match between AZ Alkmaar and Elfsborg will be played on September 25 at 17:45 GMT.

The Europa League match between AZ Alkmaar and Elfsborg will take place at AFAS Stadion in Alkmaar.

The Europa League match between AZ Alkmaar and Elfsborg will be broadcast live in the UK on TNT Sports 3. 

You can also keep up to the minute with all the Europe League Liverscores right here on SportyTrader!

Juxhin Xhaja will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Arber Pema, Rejdi Avdo and Albert Doda as the fourth official. 

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

AZ Alkmaar vs IF Elfsborg Prediction
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