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AZ Alkmaar vs IF Elfsborg Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
by Devesh Jaganath in Europa League Predictions
The 2024-25 Europa League season is finally here, and kicking off the highly-anticipated new-look competition will be AZ Alkmaar taking on Elfsborg at AFAS Stadion on Wednesday evening. De Kaasboeren qualified for this competition by finishing fourth in the Eredivisie last season, while Di Gule were runners-up in Allsvenskan. Check out our match prediction below.
AZ Alkmaar are returning to the Europa League proper for the first time since the 2020-21 season and will be aiming for a better performance than their Conference League run last term when they failed to get beyond the group stage. Elfsborg, meanwhile, are back in Europe’s second-tier cup competition after a decade-long hiatus, having last featured in the main draw in 2013-14.
The hosts have made an imposing start to their domestic league season and enter this contest as the clear favourite. Let’s take a look at some of the key stats to consider in this opening-round encounter.
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The Best Betting Odds for AZ Alkmaar v IF Elfsborg Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.53 | 4.5 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.48 | 4.5 | 6 |
|
|
1.54 | 4.67 | 5.92 |
|
|
1.54 | 4.67 | 5.92 |
|
|
1.48 | 4.6 | 6 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.58 | 7 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.58 | 7 |
|
|
1.49 | 4.8 | 6.2 |
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1.5 | 4.32 | 6.45 |
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1.48 | 4.9 | 6.4 |
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1.5 | 4.33 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.47 | 4.75 | 6.75 |
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1.4 | 4.75 | 7 |
|
|
1.52 | 4.5 | 6 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.75 | 6 |
|
|
1.56 | 4.5 | 6.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between AZ Alkmaar and IF Elfsborg?
Our prediction for the AZ Alkmaar vs IF Elfsborg match is: AZ Alkmaar Over 1.5!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/09/2024 between AZ Alkmaar and IF Elfsborg in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.22% for a win of AZ Alkmaar against IF Elfsborg with odds of 1.56 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AZ Alkmaar vs IF Elfsborg is 37.91% with odds of 4.9 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.87% chance ⭐ for a win of IF Elfsborg vs AZ Alkmaar with odds of 7 at Betwinner.
AZ Alkmaar - IF Elfsborg Prediction and Best Odds:
AZ Alkmaar IF Elfsborg Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
AZ Alkmaar wins | 42.22% | 1.56 at Vbet |
Under 2.5 | 51.11% | 3.85 at Tonybet |
Both Team To Score | 54.76% | |
Half-time / Full-time : AZ Alkmaar/AZ Alkmaar | 17.73% | 2.3 at Bet365 |
AZ Alkmaar vs IF Elfsborg Form
AZ Alkmaar and IF Elfsborg's standings in the Europa League
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
24
|
7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 |
AZ Alkmaar and IF Elfsborg Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sep 2024 - Eredivisie
14 Sep 2024 - Eredivisie
30 Aug 2024 - Eredivisie
25 Aug 2024 - Eredivisie
17 Aug 2024 - Eredivisie
10 Aug 2024 - Eredivisie
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Eredivisie
17 Aug 2024 - Eredivisie
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sep 2024 - Eredivisie
30 Aug 2024 - Eredivisie
25 Aug 2024 - Eredivisie
10 Aug 2024 - Eredivisie
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
12 May 2024 - Eredivisie
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Sep 2024 - Allsvenskan
19 Sep 2024 - Allsvenskan
15 Sep 2024 - Allsvenskan
1 Sep 2024 - Allsvenskan
29 Aug 2024 - Europa League
25 Aug 2024 - Allsvenskan
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Sep 2024 - Allsvenskan
19 Sep 2024 - Allsvenskan
29 Aug 2024 - Europa League
25 Aug 2024 - Allsvenskan
15 Aug 2024 - Europa League
11 Aug 2024 - Allsvenskan
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Sep 2024 - Allsvenskan
1 Sep 2024 - Allsvenskan
22 Aug 2024 - Europa League
18 Aug 2024 - Allsvenskan
8 Aug 2024 - Europa League
25 Jul 2024 - Europa League
AZ Alkmaar - IF Elfsborg: Form Analysis
AZ Alkmaar will kick off their Europa League campaign in fine spirits having made a positive start to the Eredivisie season, currently second in the league standings behind PSV after six games.
De Kaasboeren have taken 16 points over that period and are still unbeaten, recording five wins and a draw, with the most recent match ending in a 2-1 victory against PEC Zwolle over the weekend.
At home, the hosts are unbeaten in their last eight competitive matches, winning seven and drawing just one, a record that dates all the way back to a 1-0 loss to Feyenoord at the start of February last season.
AZ Alkmaar have scored two or more goals in eight of their last nine competitive home matches!
Meanwhile, after an incredible 2023 league season which saw them miss out on the title by the slenderest of margins, Elfsborg have struggled to follow up this term, currently down in sixth place in the standings.
Di Gule experienced a poor start to the season, losing six of their first 12 matches, but they have improved significantly in the second half of the campaign and are currently unbeaten in their last 12 games in all competitions, including seven wins and five draws.
The visitors avoided defeat in all eight of their qualifying matches in this competition, recording aggregate wins over Pafos (8-2), Sheriff (3-0), Rijeka (3-1) and Molde on penalties in the final qualifying round.
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AZ Alkmaar against IF Elfsborg Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
AZ Alkmaar & IF Elfsborg Squad Analysis
AZ Alkmaar are expected to be without the services of three first-team players in midweek, with Mees de Wit (foot), Bruno Martins Indi (hamstring) and Sem Westerveld (knee) all ruled out through injury.
Ernest Poku and Jeroen Zoet have shaken off knocks and should be part of the selection equation for Maarten Martens, while central midfielder Lewis Schouten is still flagged as a doubt.
In their last two matches, Ibrahim Sadiq and Troy Parrott have scored three and four respectively for AZ!
For Elfsborg, forward Per Frick will be eligible to return to the fray this week after he was forced to sit out the second-leg qualifier against Molde due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
Jalal Abdullai and Michael Baidoo were Di Gule’s top scorers during qualifying, notching up three goals each, and they are likely to lead the line in this one alongside Ahmed Qasem.
Most goals and assists
AZ Alkmaar - IF Elfsborg Key Points
- AZ Alkmaar have scored 13 goals in their last three games.
- AZ Alkmaar have scored two or more goals in eight of their last nine competitive home matches.
- AZ Alkmaar have only failed to score in one of their last 12 matches in all competitions.
- AZ Alkmaar are averaging 2.7 goals per 90 this season.
- Elfsborg have conceded two or more goals in two of their last four games.
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Our AZ Alkmaar vs IF Elfsborg Prediction
AZ Alkmaar have been in excellent form leading up to the start of the Europa League, unbeaten in their last 11 games, while scoring an incredible 13 goals in their last three outings alone, including nine in a single match against Heerenveen.
After a slow start to the season, Elfsborg have improved significantly in the second half of the campaign, but we feel they may struggle to contain the hosts on their home patch in this opening round clash. Our AZ Alkmaar vs Elfsborg prediction: AZ Alkmaar Over 1.5!
AZ Alkmaar vs IF Elfsborg - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5
AZ Alkmaar have been excellent in front of goal in the lead-up to this match, scoring 13 goals in their last three games. Elfsborg, on the other hand, have only failed to score in one of their last 19 matches in all competitions.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis AZ Alkmaar IF Elfsborg
AZ Alkmaar vs IF Elfsborg | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
---|---|---|---|
AZ Alkmaar wins | 1.44 | 1.53 | +6.3% |
Draw | 4.5 | 4.5 | 0% |
IF Elfsborg wins | 7 | 5.5 | -21.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- AZ Alkmaar is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 6.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 69.4% and is now 65.4% (-4.1%)
AZ Alkmaar vs IF Elfsborg match : Frequently asked questions
The Europa League match between AZ Alkmaar and Elfsborg will be played on September 25 at 17:45 GMT.
The Europa League match between AZ Alkmaar and Elfsborg will take place at AFAS Stadion in Alkmaar.
The Europa League match between AZ Alkmaar and Elfsborg will be broadcast live in the UK on TNT Sports 3.
You can also keep up to the minute with all the Europe League Liverscores right here on SportyTrader!
Juxhin Xhaja will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Arber Pema, Rejdi Avdo and Albert Doda as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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