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AZ Alkmaar vs Galatasaray Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
by Steve Ashfield in Europa League Predictions
AZ Alkmaar host Galatasaray in the first leg of their Europa League Knockout Play-off tie. The Dutch side finished 19th in the league phase, five places and two points behind their opponents. Can the Cheese Farmers get a home win? Here's our match prediction.
AZ are fourth in the Dutch Eredivisie and are yet to lose a home game in European competition this season. The winners of this tie will face English opposition in the last 16, either Manchester United or Tottenham. The home side will want to go deep in this competition just as they did two seasons ago. On that occasion, they made it to the last four of the Europa Conference League.
Galatasaray are top of the Turkish Super Lig and only lost one game in the league phase. That was an away loss to Ajax in the league phase but as you'll read in our form guide, that's not the only game they've played in the Netherlands this season.
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The Best Betting Odds for AZ Alkmaar v Galatasaray Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.6 | 3.6 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.75 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.75 | 2.7 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.65 | 3.92 | 2.62 |
|
|
2.65 | 3.92 | 2.62 |
|
|
2.55 | 3.7 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.57 | 3.78 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.57 | 3.78 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.8 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.55 | 3.76 | 2.53 |
|
|
2.65 | 3.8 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.58 | 3.79 | 2.61 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.75 | 2.4 |
|
|
2.65 | 3.7 | 2.48 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.6 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.52 | 3.7 | 2.62 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.75 | 2.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between AZ Alkmaar and Galatasaray?
Our prediction for the AZ Alkmaar vs Galatasaray match is: AZ Alkmaar to win or draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/02/2025 between AZ Alkmaar and Galatasaray in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.05% for a win of AZ Alkmaar against Galatasaray with odds of 2.75 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AZ Alkmaar vs Galatasaray is 25% with odds of 3.92 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.95% chance ⭐ for a win of Galatasaray vs AZ Alkmaar with odds of 2.62 at 1xbet.
AZ Alkmaar vs Galatasaray Form
AZ Alkmaar and Galatasaray Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
6 Feb 2025 - KNVB beker
2 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
26 Jan 2025 - Eredivisie
23 Jan 2025 - Europa League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
6 Feb 2025 - KNVB beker
26 Jan 2025 - Eredivisie
23 Jan 2025 - Europa League
14 Jan 2025 - KNVB beker
21 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
18 Jan 2025 - Eredivisie
11 Jan 2025 - Eredivisie
15 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie
12 Dec 2024 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Feb 2025 - Turkiye Kupasi
3 Feb 2025 - Super Lig
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
25 Jan 2025 - Super Lig
21 Jan 2025 - Europa League
17 Jan 2025 - Super Lig
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2025 - Super Lig
21 Jan 2025 - Europa League
8 Jan 2025 - Turkiye Kupasi
4 Jan 2025 - Super Lig
16 Dec 2024 - Super Lig
1 Dec 2024 - Super Lig
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Feb 2025 - Turkiye Kupasi
3 Feb 2025 - Super Lig
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
17 Jan 2025 - Super Lig
12 Jan 2025 - Super Lig
22 Dec 2024 - Super Lig
AZ Alkmaar vs Galatasaray Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
28 Nov 2024 - Europa League
AZ Alkmaar - Galatasaray: Form Analysis
AZ come into this Europa League game looking for a fourth successive victory. They are yet to lose at home in the Europa League this season with two wins and a couple of draws. One of those two draws just happened to be with Galatasaray in November.
They took a second minute lead in that match but the Turks equalized in the second half. AZ have only lost one of their last ten home matches. In this competition, they have gone 16 home games without defeat, the last loss being in 2017.
Two of their last three home games have seen over 2.5 goals scored and both teams get on the scoresheet. That statistic has come up in three of their last five home Europa League fixtures.
Galatasaray have only lost one of their last 29 games.
Galatasaray are league leaders in Turkey and have won their last two matches. They have only lost one of the 29 matches in all competitions, that was the 2-1 loss to Ajax in the league phase of this competition.
Both teams have scored in their last 11 Europa League games with over 2.5 goals scored in all bar the 1-1 draw with AZ.
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AZ Alkmaar vs Galatasaray last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
AZ Alkmaar & Galatasaray Squad Analysis
AZ Alkmaar will be without Ibrahim Sadiq and Ruben van Bommel who are both injured. Also missing from their line-up on Thursday will be Kristijan Belic who received his third yellow card in their last game of the league phase and is now suspended for this match.
Kees Smit is likely to come back into the team. He scored when AZ played Galatasaray earlier this season. They will be looking for more goals from Troy Parrott who has scored in each of AZ's last two Europa League matches.
Osimhen is suspended for this match.
Galatasaray will be missing Ismail Jakobs, Yunus Akgun and Mauro Icardi for this trip to AZ. They will be without Lucas Torreira, Davinson Sanchez and Victor Osimhen who are all suspended for this match.
Eligible to play in this game are recent signings Carlos Cuesta and Alvaro Morata are expected to feature in this match. That's not the case for Ahmed Kutucu, Przemyslaw Frankowski and Mario Lemina who haven't been registered for the Europa League knockout stages.
Most goals and assists
AZ Alkmaar
Galatasaray
T. Parrott
(15 Goals)
V. Osimhen
(17 Goals)
D. Wolfe
(5 Assists)
D. Mertens
(9 Assists)
AZ Alkmaar and Galatasaray Stats in Europa League
AZ Alkmaar - Galatasaray Key Points
- AZ drew 1-1 with Galatasary earlier this season.
- AZ have only lost once in their last ten home matches.
- AZ are unbeaten in their last 16 home Europa League fixtures.
- Six of AZ's last 13 home Europa League games have been drawn.
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Our AZ Alkmaar vs Galatasaray Prediction
Galatasaray make their third visit to the Netherlands in this season's Europa League. They have already drawn at AZ but were beaten at Ajax in their final game in the league phase. The Turkish side are having a strong season and aren't just top of the Turkish Super Lig but are yet to be beaten either.
Four of their eight games in the league phase ended level. AZ are strong at home but did recently lose to Sparta Rotterdam. Our main AZ Alkmaar v Galatasaray prediction is a double chance bet on AZ Alkmaar to win or draw.
AZ Alkmaar vs Galatasaray - Other Interesting Predictions
Troy Parrott to score
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AZ Alkmaar vs Galatasaray match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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