Auxerre vs Nice Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
by Nella Wagah in Ligue 1 Predictions
Auxerre’s reintroduction to Ligue 1 will be a tough one as they get to host Nice on Match Day 1. The two teams will eye wins here after wrapping up preseason with defeats. Read on for our prediction for the match.
Auxerre have the head-to-head advantage against Nice but haven't won any of their last five meetings. These two sides faced off in the French Cup in January, the game ending 0-0 before Nice won on penalties.
That marked the third straight draw between them. It was the fourth time in five that this fixture failed to exceed two goals. When hosting this game Auxerre had three wins in four and the other ended in a draw. In this run, the newly promoted side will be very confident of an opening weekend upset.
Despite their struggles away to Auxerre, Nice are surely one of the toughest teams to face in Ligue 1. Last season they lost nine of the 34 matches but their biggest quality was in defence.
Les Aiglons conceded the least goals (29), and also scored the least among the top four sides (40). Under 2.5 goals was a recurring stat from their matches. In their final preseason friendly match, which gave a hint on how far they are in readiness, the same was seen.
They lost 1-0 to Premier League new boys Ipswich Town. Given their recent meetings with Auxerre have been cagey affairs, yielding low scores, we may be looking at another match with under 2.5 goals this weekend.
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The Best Betting Odds for Auxerre v Nice Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
13 | 1.11 | 11 |
|
|
3.2 | 2.3 | 2.75 |
|
|
1.02 | 21 | 501 |
|
|
1.02 | 21 | 501 |
|
|
2.95 | 3.25 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.95 | 3.26 | 2.45 |
|
|
11.25 | 1.12 | 8.25 |
|
|
2.95 | 3.26 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.95 | 3.3 | 2.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Auxerre and Nice?
Our prediction for the Auxerre vs Nice match is: Under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/08/2024 between Auxerre and Nice in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.85% for a win of Auxerre against Nice with odds of 13 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Auxerre vs Nice is 35.35% with odds of 21 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.81% chance ⭐ for a win of Nice vs Auxerre with odds of 501 at 1xbet.
Auxerre - Nice Prediction and Best Odds:
| Auxerre Nice Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Auxerre wins | 42.85% | 13 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.91% | 6.9 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 57.29% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Auxerre | 24.95% | 7 at Ladbrokes |
Auxerre vs Nice Form
Auxerre and Nice's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
|
15
|
3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -6 |
Auxerre and Nice Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2024 - Ligue 2
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
10 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2024 - Ligue 1
15 May 2024 - Ligue 1
Auxerre against Nice : Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
75 %
25 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Jan 2024 - French Cup
3 Mar 2023 - Ligue 1
16 Oct 2022 - Ligue 1
31 Oct 2018 - Coupe de la Ligue
Auxerre against Nice Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Missing players
G. Mensah
A. N'gatta
K. Hoever
MidfielderL. Coulibaly
M. Bombito
MidfielderM. Sanson
ForwardT. Moffi
G. Laborde
Auxerre - Nice Key Points
- Nice scored on average 1.17 goals per match in Ligue 1 last season.
- In Ligue 1 last season, Nice conceded on average 0.85 goals per game.
- 10 of Auxerre’s last 15 competitive matches produced under 2.5 goals.
- Each of the last three meetings between these teams had under 2.5 goals.
- The last five matches between Nice and Auxerre averaged 2.0 goals per game.
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Our Auxerre vs Nice Prediction
Nice had the best defence in Ligue 1 last season but among the top teams, they also scored the least goals. Their final preseason match bore such attributes, which have been witnessed in recent meetings with Auxerre as well.
Also, most of the hosts’ recent competitive matches have been low-scoring. As they are just marking their return to the top league, Auxerre may not want to go all out attacking against Nice. It is for this reason that we anticipate less than three goals in this game. Our prediction for Auxerre v Nice is for the game to have under 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Auxerre Nice
| Auxerre vs Nice | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Auxerre wins | 3.2 | 13 | +306.3% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 1.11 | -67.4% |
| Nice wins | 2.2 | 11 | +400.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Auxerre is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 306.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 31.3% and is now 7.7% (-23.6%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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