France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah in Ligue 1 Predictions
Montpellier will be back in action after the international break, traveling to Auxerre in Ligue 1 matchday 26 action. Heading into this round, Montpellier are stuck at the bottom of the league, with Auxerre seven spots ahead. Below we have a prediction for this match.
Unless they badly drop, survival is a matter of matches away for Auxerre. Four points from their last two matches have opened up an 11-point gap from the bottom-three.
Before going into the international break, they had a solid showing at Nice, scoring in stoppage time for a 1-1 draw. Auxerre only suffered one defeat in their last six matches.
Montpellier have been a pale shadow of the team that claims the title of a former Ligue 1 champion. After switching between 12th and 13th positions over the last three seasons, they seem destined to drop to the lower league.
Having garnered 15 points thus far, Montpellier are eight points adrift of safety. La Paillade have been the bluntest in attack and weakest in defence all season.
Last time out, against Saint-Etienne, they were headed for a 19th loss until the match was stopped due to crowd trouble. By then they were trailing 2-0. In their last three matches, Montpellier failed to score, and they’ve lost six straight matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for Auxerre v Montpellier Hsc Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.2 | 3 | 3.75 |
|
|
2 | 3 | 4 |
|
|
1.95 | 2.7 | 4.33 |
|
|
2.19 | 3.13 | 3.91 |
|
|
2.19 | 3.13 | 3.91 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Auxerre and Montpellier Hsc?
Our prediction for the Auxerre vs Montpellier Hsc match is: Auxerre to win without conceding.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/03/2025 between Auxerre and Montpellier Hsc in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.11% for a win of Auxerre against Montpellier Hsc with odds of 2.2 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Auxerre vs Montpellier Hsc is 23.63% with odds of 4.1 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.25% chance ⭐ for a win of Montpellier Hsc vs Auxerre with odds of 4.7 at Tonybet.
Auxerre - Montpellier Hsc Prediction and Best Odds:
| Auxerre Montpellier Hsc Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Auxerre wins | 50.11% | 2.2 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 57.53% | 2.2 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 33.33% | 2.28 at Unibet |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Auxerre | 24.02% | 5 at Betsson |
Auxerre vs Montpellier Hsc Form
Auxerre and Montpellier Hsc's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
35 | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | -1 |
|
18
|
15 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | -39 |
Auxerre and Montpellier Hsc Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
10 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Dec 2024 - French Cup
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
1 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
31 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
31 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
12 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2024 - French Cup
Auxerre vs Montpellier Hsc Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
29 Jan 2023 - Ligue 1
21 Aug 2022 - Ligue 1
Auxerre against Montpellier Hsc Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
N. Buayi-Kiala
L. Coulibaly
C. Jullien
N. Maksimovic
B. Omeragic
E. Tchato
T. Sainte-Luce
MidfielderS. Dzodic
ForwardA. Gueguin
Y. Issoufou
G. Ngosso
Most goals and assists
Auxerre
Montpellier Hsc
H. Traore
(10 Goals)
A. Nordin
(4 Goals)
G. Perrin
(7 Assists)
T. Savanier
(4 Assists)
Auxerre - Montpellier Hsc Key Points
- Montpellier failed to score in their last three matches.
- Auxerre won twice in the last four matches without conceding.
- Across their last six matches, Montpellier managed just one goal.
- In their last nine home league matches, Auxerre posted five clean sheets.
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Our Auxerre vs Montpellier Hsc Prediction
Montpellier have been doing well in this fixture but this seems like a good opportunity for Auxerre to turn tables. The hosts have done fairly well, for a promoted side, and survival is almost assured. Meanwhile Montpellier, seem to be headed to Ligue 2.
The visitors have had a weak streak, punctuated with a poor scoring run. They managed just one goal in their last six matches, losing all. Our prediction for Auxerre v Montpellier is for Auxerre to win without conceding.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Auxerre Montpellier Hsc
| Auxerre vs Montpellier Hsc | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Auxerre wins | 1.9 | 2.2 | +15.8% |
| Draw | 3.7 | 3 | -18.9% |
| Montpellier Hsc wins | 3.9 | 3.75 | -3.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Auxerre is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 15.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.6% and is now 45.5% (-7.2%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Auxerre vs. Montpellier Hsc game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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