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Austria vs Turkey Prediction & Betting Tips - Euro
by Ian John in Euro Predictions
Fans should be in for a treat when Austria and Turkey meet in the Euro 2024 Round of 16! Two of the tournament's more attacking and free-scoring teams were drawn together just a few months after Austria's 6-1 thrashing of Turkey in March.
Austrian fans will be hoping for more of the same, while Turkey will be seeking ultimate revenge by eliminating their opponents from the tournament.
Both teams saw a total of ten goals scored, for and against, in their group stage games with plenty of other chances created too.
Goals are apparently on the cards in this final Round of 16 fixture, which should please the millions tuning in to watch!
The game offers either team a fantastic opportunity to reach the quarterfinals of the tournament.
This would be the first time Austria have reached the quarterfinals of a European Championships Finals. Turkey have reached the quarterfinals twice previously, in 2000, when they were eliminated at that stage and in 2008, when they went on to reach the semi-finals.
So who will be the nation to capitalize on that chance?
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The Best Betting Odds for Austria v Turkey Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
201 | 8 | 1.08 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.3 | 4.2 |
|
|
191 | 8 | 1.09 |
|
|
191 | 8 | 1.09 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.3 | 4.3 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.3 | 4.42 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.3 | 4.42 |
|
|
100 | 9.75 | 1.05 |
|
|
1.98 | 3.14 | 4.36 |
|
|
1.89 | 3.55 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.3 | 4.33 |
|
|
2.02 | 3.25 | 4.15 |
|
|
2 | 3.4 | 3.8 |
|
|
26 | 3.95 | 1.35 |
|
|
81 | 9 | 1.07 |
|
|
1.92 | 3.45 | 4.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Austria and Turkey?
Our prediction for the Austria vs Turkey match is: Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals to be scored.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/07/2024 between Austria and Turkey in Euro :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.95% for a win of Austria against Turkey with odds of 201 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Austria vs Turkey is 22.42% with odds of 9.75 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.63% chance ⭐ for a win of Turkey vs Austria with odds of 4.42 at Betwinner.
Austria - Turkey Prediction and Best Odds:
| Austria Turkey Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Austria wins | 54.95% | 201 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.93% | 2.05 at Betsson |
| Both Team To Score | 70.83% | 1.96 at Vbet |
| Half-time / Full-time : Austria/Austria | 27.79% | 23 at Vbet |
Austria vs Turkey Form
Austria and Turkey Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jun 2024 - Euro
21 Jun 2024 - Euro
17 Jun 2024 - Euro
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jun 2024 - Euro
4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - International Friendlies
13 Oct 2023 - Euro
20 Jun 2023 - Euro
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jun 2024 - Euro
21 Jun 2024 - Euro
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2023 - Euro
16 Oct 2023 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jun 2024 - Euro
22 Jun 2024 - Euro
18 Jun 2024 - Euro
10 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jun 2024 - Euro
18 Jun 2024 - Euro
15 Oct 2023 - Euro
8 Sep 2023 - Euro
19 Jun 2023 - Euro
28 Mar 2023 - Euro
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jun 2024 - Euro
10 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - Euro
Austria vs Turkey Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
Austria - Turkey: Form Analysis
Coming into this Round of 16 tie, both Austria and Turkey have similar records at Euro 2024. Both won two of their three group stage games, Austria stunning the Netherlands and France by topping Group D, while Turkey finished runner-up to group winners Portugal in Group F.
However, leading up to the tournament the teams experienced vastly different forms.
Under Ralf Rangnick, Austria came into the tournament having lost just one of their previous ten games, a narrow loss to Belgium in Euro 2024 qualifying. They had won seven of those games, drawing two and included wins over Sweden, Germany, Slovakia, Serbia and a 6-1 thrashing of Turkey in that run.
At the Euros, they were unfortunate to lose an unlucky own goal in a 1-0 defeat to France before rallying with a 3-1 win over Poland. This was followed by a superb 3-2 win over the Netherlands in a hugely entertaining final group game.
In contrast, Turkey came into the tournament struggling for results. Following a fantastic 3-2 win over Germany in November 2023, the Turks drew two and lost three of their next five games. Among those defeats was a 6-1 thrashing at the hands of today's opponents in Vienna back in March 2024.
Turkey did reach the semi-finals of Euro 2008, their best-ever performance in the finals, but they were eliminated in the Group Stages in both 2016 and 2020. At 2024 though, they beat Georgia 3-1 in their opener, before being beaten 3-0 by Portugal in their second game.
However, a 2-1 win over the Czech Republic in a bad-tempered game that set the record for bookings in a single Euro Finals game, saw them into the knockout stages.
The winner of this fixture will go on to face the winner of the Romania v Netherlands tie, which kicks off a few hours before this game.
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Austria against Turkey Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
P. Wimmer
Austria & Turkey Squad Analysis
Austria boss Ralf Rangnick will not be able to select winger Patrick Wimmer for the game as he picked up a second booking against the Czech Republic in their final group game. Christoph Baumgartner, who had six goals in his last seven games for Austria ahead of the win over the Netherlands, could come in.
Gernot Trauner, Leopold Querfeld, Phiipp Lienhart and Phillipp Mwene all had limited training in the past few days, but all should be fit to play if selected by Rangnick for the game.
Rangnick's other key decision is the lone striking role with veteran Marko Arnautovic likely to get the nod ahead of Michael Gregoritsch. Dortmund midfielder Marcel Sabitzer and Bologna defender Stefan Posch have been amongst Austria's most impressive performers at the tournament so far.
After seeing nine players booked in their final group game against the Czech Republic, Turkey will be without the suspended Samet Akaydin and, most alarmingly, skipper Hakan Calhanoglu for the game with Austria.
Furthermore, there are ten other players who would miss a potential quarterfinal if they receive another booking in this game. However, Abdulkerim Bardacki is back from his own suspension and will likely step in for Akaydin in central defense. Benfica's Orkan Kokcu will likely replace Calhanoglu in midfield.
Real Madrid youngster Arda Guler, just 19-years-old, has been Turkey's most eye-catching performer at the finals so far.
Most goals and assists
Austria
Turkey
M. Arnautovic
(1 Goals)
,
G. Trauner
(1 Goals)
,
C. Baumgartner
(1 Goals)
,
M. Sabitzer
(1 Goals)
,
R. Schmid
(1 Goals)
,
M. Gregoritsch
(1 Goals)
M. Demiral
(2 Goals)
P. Mwene
(1 Assists)
,
A. Prass
(1 Assists)
,
F. Grillitsch
(1 Assists)
,
C. Baumgartner
(1 Assists)
,
S. Posch
(1 Assists)
A. Guler
(2 Assists)
Austria - Turkey Key Points
- Both teams have scored in five of Austria's last six games.
- Turkey's last six games have seen both teams score in four of those matches.
- Four of Austria's last six games have seen Over 2.5 Goals, including their last two Euro 2024 matches.
- Five of Turkey's last six games have seen Over 2.5 Goals.
- The teams met back in March this year in Vienna, Austria winning that game 6-1.
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Our Austria vs Turkey Prediction
Our prediction for the Austria vs Turkey Round of 16 Euro 2024 tie is: Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals to be scored.
The two teams met as recently as March this year, in a game which Austria won comfortably 6-1 in Vienna. Since then, both teams have generally been involved in matches which have not just seen both teams score, but more than two goals scored in the game.
Two of both teams' three Group Stage games at Euro 2024 saw both teams score over 2.5 goals, and given their free-scoring nature, it is likely this will continue into the Round of 16.
Turkey have scored five goals and conceded five goals in three Euro 2024 Finals games, Austria have scored six and conceded four.
As such, our prediction follows the data closely here and we've backed both teams to score and over 2.5 goals to be scored.
Austria vs Turkey - Other Interesting Predictions
Christoph Baumgartner (Austria) to score at any time
With Austrian right winger Patrick Wimmer suspended for this Round of 16 clash with Turkey, that means Christoph Baumgartner will likely come into the team to play that right-sided role in the five-man midfield.
Ahead of this tournament, Baumgartner had been one of Austria's most consistent goalscorers. He had scored a goal in six of Austria's previous seven games before the 3-2 win over the Netherlands, where he started the game on the bench.
Baumgartner also recorded a goal in the tournament. Scoring the second goal in their 3-1 win over Poland.
Given his generally excellent goalscoring form, and a likely return to the team in place of the suspended Wimmer, Baumgartner is our secondary predictor to score at any time in the game.
Correct Score First Half - Austria 1-0 Turkey
Our final prediction for this game is for Austria to be leading 1-0 at half time.
At this tournament, four of Turkey's five goals scored have come in the second half of games.
In contrast, Austria has an uncanny knack of scoring goals early in games.
In the six games they scored out of the seven played in 2024, they scored goals in the first, second, fifth, sixth, ninth, tenth and thirteenth minutes. The latter two goals in that list coming in a single game - a 2-1 win over Serbia in a friendly just before Euro 2024.
However, despite these early goals, four of their six goals have been scored in the second half of their Euro 2024 matches.
As such, backing Austria to lead 1-0 at half time looks a very good option based on this data and as such, it will be our third prediction on the game.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Austria Turkey
| Austria vs Turkey | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austria wins | 1.9 | 201 | +10,478.9% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 8 | +135.3% |
| Turkey wins | 4.33 | 1.08 | -75.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Austria is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 10,478.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.6% and is now 0.5% (-52.1%)
Austria vs Turkey match : Frequently asked questions
The Austria vs Turkey Euro 2024 Round of 16 tie will kick off at 8pm UK Time on Tuesday 2nd July at the Red Bull Arena, home of Bundesliga team Red Bull Leipzig.
The Austria vs Turkey Round of 16 tie at Euro 2024 will be shown live on ITV, with the game also being streamed live on the ITVX website for viewers in the UK.
If you would like more details about the game, including real-time data updates when the match is underway, then check out the Euro 2024 Livescore pages at SportyTrader for extensive data and statistical analysis of the game.
Austria and Turkey have met 17 times in total. Their first fixture was back in May 1948. Austria won the first six fixtures, the first five all by a 1-0 scoreline.
However, Turkey dominated from 1983 to 2011, winning five, drawing one, and losing one of seven games against Austria.
But since 2012, Austria have won two of the three matches played, including a 6-1 victory in a Euro 2024 warm-up fixture back in March.
In total, Austria has nine wins, Turkey seven with just one game drawn.
This will be the first game between the two teams at a major finals. All other games have been friends or qualifiers for the World Cup or European Championships.
After very warm weather over the weekend, temperatures will drop sharply in Leipzig for the Austria v Turkey game on Tuesday evening.
There is a good chance of showers throughout the game, with a little wind and temperatures of just 17 degrees centigrade expected before kick-off.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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