Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A
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Atletico MG vs SAO Paulo Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A
by Nella Wagah in Football Predictions
Struggling Atletico Mineiro will be out to rediscover their form when they welcome Sao Paulo for their next Serie A match. Placed 12th, Atletico will be eyeing a crucial scalp here, as they take on fourth placed Sao Paulo. Here we take a look at the stats and offer a prediction for this match.
Atletico Mineiro finished a solid third last season, just four points behind the league winners. This season has however been a tough one, and they come here winless in their last three matches. The last two were defeats; the most recent a 3-0 reverse at high-flying Botafogo.
With just a win in their last seven matches, Atletico’s confidence has been dropping by the game. four times in that run of seven matches, they conceded three or more goals. They will be happy with theirb attack though, having failed to score in just two of their last 10 matches.
Sao Paulo will never find a better chance to end their poor run against Atletico Mineiro. They come here winless in the last six meetings with Atletico, losing thrice and failing to score in four. However, in their recent matches, they’ve picked good form, and come here on straight wins in their last four outings.
Right ahead of this game, Sao Paulo sank ninth placed Bragantino 2-0. That happens to be their only clean sheet in the last seven matches. It means even with their superior run of form, Sao Paulo will still be concerned about their performance at the back.
However, having scored two or more in each of their last four games should ignite their fire. In 16 matches, Sao Paulo failed to score in only three. A 4-1 loss to Vasco da Gama in June stands as their only away loss in the last nine away games.
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The Best Betting Odds for Atletico MG v SAO Paulo Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.07 | 9 | 101 |
|
|
2.8 | 2.2 | 3.2 |
|
|
1.02 | 21 | 501 |
|
|
1.02 | 21 | 501 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.05 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.61 | 3.13 | 2.84 |
|
|
2.61 | 3.13 | 2.84 |
|
|
1.02 | 12.25 | 100 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.18 | 3.04 |
|
|
2.48 | 3.15 | 2.95 |
|
|
1.06 | 9 | 67 |
|
|
1.03 | 12 | 201 |
|
|
1.07 | 9 | 151 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.1 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.55 | 2.9 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.42 | 3.2 | 2.9 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico MG and SAO Paulo?
Our prediction for the Atletico MG vs SAO Paulo match is: Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/07/2024 between Atletico MG and SAO Paulo in Brasileirão Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 22.9% for a win of Atletico MG against SAO Paulo with odds of 2.8 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico MG vs SAO Paulo is 37.38% with odds of 21 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.72% chance ⭐ for a win of SAO Paulo vs Atletico MG with odds of 501 at 1xbet.
Atletico MG - SAO Paulo Prediction and Best Odds:
| Atletico MG SAO Paulo Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| SAO Paulo wins | 39.72% | 501 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.08% | 2.46 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 69.58% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: SAO Paulo | 19.26% | 6.5 at Bet365 |
Atletico MG vs SAO Paulo Form
Atletico MG and SAO Paulo's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
59 | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 10 |
|
12
|
47 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | -7 |
Atletico MG and SAO Paulo Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
3 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
30 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
23 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
30 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
23 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
2 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
28 May 2024 - Copa Libertadores
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
11 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 May 2024 - Copa do Brasil
14 May 2024 - Copa Libertadores
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
3 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
30 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
27 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
30 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
27 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
2 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
29 May 2024 - Copa Libertadores
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
16 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
8 May 2024 - Copa Libertadores
5 May 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
Atletico MG vs SAO Paulo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Dec 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
6 Aug 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Nov 2022 - Brasileirão Serie A
10 Jul 2022 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Sep 2021 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 Jun 2021 - Brasileirão Serie A
Atletico MG against SAO Paulo Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Atletico MG
SAO Paulo
Paulinho
(15 Goals)
Luciano
(14 Goals)
Hulk
(10 Assists)
W. Rato
(7 Assists)
Atletico MG - SAO Paulo Key Points
- Both teams scored in Atletico Mineiro’s last five home matches
- A total of 17 goals were scored in Sao Paulo’s last five matches
- Half of Atletico Mineiro’s last 10 home matches had over 2.5 goals
- Both teams scored in four of Sao Paulo’s last five Serie A matches
- An average of 3.2 goals were scored in Atletico Mineiro’s last five matches
- Six of Sao Paulo’s seven away league matches this year produced over 2.5 goals
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Our Atletico MG vs SAO Paulo Prediction
Sao Paulo will step up as favorites, having won their last four matches. However, they have struggled to match their good run with solidity at the back. They face a side with a defensive problem as well. Atletico Mineiro’s struggles however, go beyond just porosity at the back.
The hosts have been conceding a lot of goals. By these stats, the two sides have been involved in a number of high scoring matches.
Our prediction for Atletico Mineiro v Sao Paulo is for the game to produce over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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