South America - Copa Libertadores
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Atletico MG vs Botafogo Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa Libertadores
by Ian John in Copa Libertadores Predictions
The biggest game in South America, the Copa Libertadores Final, takes place on Saturday between Brazilian sides Botafogo and Atlético Mineiro. River Plate’s Estadio Monumental hosts the final match of an exciting tournament, so who will our prediction favour to win the trophy? The ‘Fogo or Galo Forte Vingador?
Both teams have form that is somewhat the reverse of the other. Botafogo boss Artur Jorge has seen his team go on a long unbeaten run in Brazil’s Serie A, but they have looked susceptible in the Copa Libertadores, especially away from home. That could be a factor with this game being played on neutral territory in the Argentine capital of Buenos Aires.
In contrast, Gabriel Milito’s Atlético Mineiro have been very good in the Copa Libertadores over the entire course of the competition, but their league form in Brazil’s Serie A has seen them win just one of their last eleven matches. They also know that in meetings between the two teams this season, Botafogo have had the upper hand, including a 3-0 win. Their most recent game was a bad tempered 0-0 draw which saw three red cards, one for Atletico, two for Botafogo late in the game.
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The Best Betting Odds for Atletico MG v Botafogo Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.5 | 3.25 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.6 | 2.25 | 2.5 |
|
|
3.87 | 3.29 | 2.09 |
|
|
3.87 | 3.29 | 2.09 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.05 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.55 | 3.25 | 2.22 |
|
|
3.64 | 3.24 | 2.12 |
|
|
3.65 | 3.3 | 2.16 |
|
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3.75 | 3 | 2.2 |
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3.8 | 3 | 2.1 |
|
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3.75 | 3.25 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.2 | 2 |
|
|
3.8 | 3.06 | 2.08 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.1 | 2.15 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico MG and Botafogo?
Our prediction for the Atletico MG vs Botafogo match is: Botafogo to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/11/2024 between Atletico MG and Botafogo in Copa Libertadores :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 22.26% for a win of Atletico MG against Botafogo with odds of 3.87 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico MG vs Botafogo is 29.64% with odds of 3.3 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 48.1% chance ⭐ for a win of Botafogo vs Atletico MG with odds of 2.5 at Ladbrokes.
Atletico MG vs Botafogo Form
Atletico MG and Botafogo Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
23 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
16 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
10 Nov 2024 - Copa do Brasil
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
10 Nov 2024 - Copa do Brasil
26 Oct 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 Oct 2024 - Copa Libertadores
9 Oct 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
16 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
6 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
3 Nov 2024 - Copa do Brasil
29 Oct 2024 - Copa Libertadores
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
23 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
9 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
5 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
30 Oct 2024 - Copa Libertadores
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
9 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
5 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
23 Oct 2024 - Copa Libertadores
18 Oct 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
28 Sep 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
30 Oct 2024 - Copa Libertadores
26 Oct 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
5 Oct 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Sep 2024 - Copa Libertadores
Atletico MG vs Botafogo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
16 Sep 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 May 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 Nov 2022 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Jul 2022 - Brasileirão Serie A
Atletico MG - Botafogo: Form Analysis
Botafogo’s league form is outstanding as they are unbeaten in Serie A since early August. A run of 14 games, eight of which have been won, six drawn. That included a hugely important 3-1 win over Palmeiras in their last game before this final, which took them top of the table with just two games of the season to go.
But Botafogo have won just one of their last five in the Copa Libertadores. That being a 5-0 win over Penarol in the semi-final first leg. They lost the second leg 3-1 to progress 6-3 in aggregate. They also beat Palmeiras and Sao Paulo on their way to the final.
Atlético Mineiro’s form domestically is very poor.
With just one win in their last eleven Brazil Serie A games (five draws, five defeats). They lie 10th in the table on 44 points, 29 points behind Botafogo. They drew 0-0 at home to Botafogo on the 21st November before drawing 2-2 away to Sao Paulo and then losing 3-2 at home to Juventude.
In the Copa Libertadores though their form is excellent, winning all of their seven home games, but they have drawn two and lost two of their last four on the road. That may be a worry with the final being played at a neutral venue.
They beat River Plate 3-0 at home before drawing 0-0 in the second leg to reach the final. They also beat San Lorenzo and Fluminense on their way to the final.
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Atletico MG vs Botafogo last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Atletico MG & Botafogo Squad Analysis
Both teams should be in good shape heading into the Copa Libertadores Final. Neither team has a player suspended for the match and in general, both teams have relatively full-strength squads to pick from, aside from fringe players who have been injured for the long term.
Botafogo will likely line up in their preferred 4-2-3-1 formation with Igor Jesus spearheading attack, ably assisted by the creative influences of Thiaga Almada on the left, Luis Henrique on the right and Venezuelan international Jefferson Savarino in an advanced midfield role.
Former Manchester United left-back Alex Telles will likely start in that position for Botafogo
Atlético Mineiro tend to play a 3-4-2-1 formation with Deyverson their main attacking threat. He is supported by the second-top goalscorer in this competition, Paulinho who has seven goals in eleven Copa Libertadores games.
Veteran Hulk makes up the trio, despite being 37-years of age.
Wing backs Gustavo Scarpa and Guilherme Arana provide width down the flanks, with former Southampton defender Lyanco playing on the right side of a trio of defenders that includes Roberto Battaglia and Junior Alonso.
Most goals and assists
Atletico MG
Botafogo
Paulinho
(15 Goals)
Luiz Henrique
(10 Goals)
Hulk
(9 Assists)
,
G. Scarpa
(9 Assists)
J. Savarino
(10 Assists)
Atletico MG and Botafogo Stats in Copa Libertadores
Atletico MG - Botafogo Key Points
- Botafogo have lost just one of their last 20 games in Serie A and the Copa Libertadores.
- In two games this season, Atlético Mineiro have not beaten Botafogo, losing 3-0 away and drawing 0-0 at home.
- Atlético Mineiro have not won any of their last six games, drawing three and losing three.
- Botafogo have won three of the last five matches between the two teams (drawing one, losing one).
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Our Atletico MG vs Botafogo Prediction
Our prediction for the Atlético Mineiro vs. Botafogo Copa Libertadoes Final on Saturday is: Botafogo to win.
Atlético Mineiro have not won a game since their 3-0 semi-final first leg win over River Plate in this competition. They face a Botafogo side that could win the Serie A and Copa Libertadores double this season. Artur Jorge's team come into the game on the back of a superb 3-1 away win over title rivals Palmeiras and as such, are a very solid choice to win the trophy.
Atletico MG vs Botafogo - Other Interesting Predictions
Igor Jesus (Botafogo) to score at any time.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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