Spain - LaLiga
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by Sridhar in LaLiga Predictions
In the last fixture of La Liga matchday 31, Atletico Madrid will look to stay close to the top two as they host bottom-placed Valladolid on Monday. This match at Riyadh Air Metropolitano between the third-placed Rojiblancos and the 20th-placed Pucela comes with our prediction of a home win and over 2.5 goals.
Atletico started this weekend with 60 points in third and three points behind Real Madrid. Valladolid are rooted to the bottom with 16 points and 14 behind automatic safety.
A 2-1 away win at Sevilla last weekend ended a seven-game winless sequence for the hosts. That gave them an advantage to close out the gap to Barcelona and Real Madrid, but winning the title seems to be out of reach.
They still need to improve their recent form at this venue, as Atletico were beaten in their recent three home fixtures in all competitions.
Valladolid were beaten 4-0 at home by Getafe last weekend to inch closer to relegation. They have lost ten of their last 11 league matches, which perhaps is an indicator of how close they are to getting relegated.
It gets worse on the road, as Valladolid have won just three points on the road all season long. They have lost their ten most recent league trips.
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The Best Betting Odds for Atletico Madrid v Valladolid Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.09 | 9 | 26 |
|
|
1.13 | 8.5 | 21 |
|
|
1.12 | 9 | 19 |
|
|
1.09 | 9.5 | 26 |
|
|
2.31 | 2.13 | 4.79 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico Madrid and Valladolid?
Our prediction for the Atletico Madrid vs Valladolid match is: Atletico wins and over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/04/2025 between Atletico Madrid and Valladolid in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 77.2% for a win of Atletico Madrid against Valladolid with odds of 2.31 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico Madrid vs Valladolid is 10.33% with odds of 10.5 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 12.47% chance ⭐ for a win of Valladolid vs Atletico Madrid with odds of 37 at Betwinner.
Atletico Madrid - Valladolid Prediction and Best Odds:
| Atletico Madrid Valladolid Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 77.2% | 2.31 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.36% | |
| Both Team To Score | 57.08% | 2.9 at Betsson |
| Half-time / Full-time : Atletico Madrid/Atletico Madrid | 45.47% | 1.48 at Ladbrokes |
Atletico Madrid vs Valladolid Form
Atletico Madrid and Valladolid's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
63 | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 27 |
|
20
|
16 | 31 | 4 | 4 | 23 | -52 |
Atletico Madrid and Valladolid Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
2 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
15 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
8 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
28 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
23 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
Atletico Madrid vs Valladolid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
30 Apr 2023 - LaLiga
21 Jan 2023 - LaLiga
22 May 2021 - LaLiga
5 Dec 2020 - LaLiga
20 Jun 2020 - LaLiga
Atletico Madrid against Valladolid Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Missing players
R. De Paul
ForwardA. Correa
S. Lino
K. Hein
Most goals and assists
Atletico Madrid
Valladolid
J. Alvarez
(21 Goals)
M. Sylla
(4 Goals)
M. Llorente
(8 Assists)
R. Moro
(2 Assists)
,
M. Sylla
(2 Assists)
Atletico Madrid - Valladolid Key Points
- Valladolid’s last eight league matches averaged 3.25 goals per fixture.
- Away from home, Valladolid’s La Liga matches averaged 3.67 goals per fixture and only Barcelona average more.
- The last four La Liga matches between Atletico Madrid and Valladolid produced over two goals each time.
- Three of Atletico’s last four league matches have seen at least three goals scored.
- Valladolid lost 10 of their last 11 league matches.
- Valladolid were beaten in their last 10 away league matches.
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Our Atletico Madrid vs Valladolid Prediction
Atletico Madrid got themselves back in the title race with a win over Sevilla last weekend. That has brought some cheer, as that win came after five defeats and a draw in all competitions. Another win here will see them at least stay within touching distance of the top two sides. Valladolid are perhaps getting ready for the second division already, finding themselves 14 points adrift of safety. Continuous defeats have kept them at the base of the points tally, and they could lose again. Our Atletico Madrid vs Valladolid prediction is Atletico wins and over 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atletico Madrid Valladolid
| Atletico Madrid vs Valladolid | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 1.18 | 1.09 | -7.6% |
| Draw | 6.5 | 9 | +38.5% |
| Valladolid wins | 15 | 26 | +73.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Atletico Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 7.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 84.7% and is now 91.7% (7.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Atletico Madrid vs. Valladolid game!
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Try your luck on this year's LaLiga! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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