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Atletico Madrid vs Valencia Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
by Steve Ashfield in LaLiga Predictions
Third placed Atletico Madrid will be confident of a third La Liga win of the new season. The Mattress Makers host Valencia who are bottom of La Liga with only one point. Here's our match prediction.
Atletico Madrid have earned eight points from their first four games of the new La Liga season. They had a struggle in their opening game at Villarreal, twice having to come from behind to get a 2-2 draw.
Since then they haven't conceded a league goal in three matches. They beat Girona 3-0 at home, were held to a goalless draw at Espanyol and most recently won 1-0 at Athletic Bilbao thanks to a 92nd minute winner.
The Indians have only lost one of their last ten games played in La Liga. Home form is highly impressive with just three defeats in their last 37 games played in La Liga and two of those were inflicted by Barcelona.
Their last four home league games against Valencia have all been won. 25 points have been earned in the last nine home league matches played against Valencia.
The away side are struggling this season with just one point and seven goals conceded. It could have been a different story though as Los Ches have led in three of their four league matches this season.
Leads were established against Barcelona, Celta Vigo and Villarreal but only one point was won by them in the latter match. They haven't won in La Liga since April and have gone 11 without a victory.
With just one point from their last five away La Liga matches, we fear another loss looms. We tip Atletico Madrid to win and lead at both half and full time.
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The Best Betting Odds for Atletico Madrid v Valencia Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.38 | 4.33 | 9 |
|
|
1.57 | 2.9 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.39 | 5.15 | 10 |
|
|
1.39 | 5.15 | 10 |
|
|
1.32 | 5 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.35 | 4.92 | 9.3 |
|
|
1.35 | 4.92 | 9.3 |
|
|
1.38 | 5 | 9.4 |
|
|
1.34 | 4.96 | 9.6 |
|
|
1.35 | 5 | 9.8 |
|
|
1.29 | 4.6 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.32 | 5.5 | 11 |
|
|
1.32 | 5 | 10 |
|
|
1.37 | 5.1 | 10 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.5 | 8 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.3 | 10 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico Madrid and Valencia?
Our prediction for the Atletico Madrid vs Valencia match is: Atletico Madrid to lead at half and full time.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/09/2024 between Atletico Madrid and Valencia in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 66.97% for a win of Atletico Madrid against Valencia with odds of 1.57 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico Madrid vs Valencia is 17.33% with odds of 5.5 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 15.7% chance ⭐ for a win of Valencia vs Atletico Madrid with odds of 11 at Betsson.
Atletico Madrid - Valencia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Atletico Madrid Valencia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 66.97% | 1.57 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.91% | 1.96 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 56.67% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Atletico Madrid/Atletico Madrid | 27.51% | 2.1 at Bet365 |
Atletico Madrid vs Valencia Form
Atletico Madrid and Valencia's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
41 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 21 |
|
20
|
11 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -10 |
Atletico Madrid and Valencia Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
28 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
25 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
19 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
11 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
25 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
11 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2024 - LaLiga
12 May 2024 - LaLiga
27 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
19 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2024 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
28 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
23 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
17 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
17 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
23 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
28 May 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 May 2024 - LaLiga
Atletico Madrid vs Valencia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
16 Sep 2023 - LaLiga
18 Mar 2023 - LaLiga
29 Aug 2022 - LaLiga
22 Jan 2022 - LaLiga
7 Nov 2021 - LaLiga
Players list
J. Oblak
DefenderR. Le Normand
J. Gimenez
R. Mandava
MidfielderM. Llorente
A. Correa
Koke
C. Gallagher
G. Simeone
ForwardR. Riquelme
J. Alvarez
G. Mamardashvili
DefenderJ. Vazquez
C. Mosquera
C. Tarrega
T. Correia
E. Barrenechea
MidfielderPepelu
S. Canos
G. Valera
ForwardD. Lopez
M. Tejon
Substitutes
J. Musso
A. Gomis
DefenderC. Lenglet
N. Molina
R. Mandava
J. Serrano
J. Galan
R. Riquelme
A. Witsel
ForwardA. Correa
G. Simeone
J. Alvarez
S. Dimitrievski
DefenderY. Gasiorowski
M. Caufriez
J. Vazquez
M. Tejon
E. Barrenechea
G. Valera
W. Madrigal
S. Canos
Most goals and assists
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
A. Griezmann
(11 Goals)
H. Duro
(4 Goals)
M. Llorente
(6 Assists)
,
A. Griezmann
(6 Assists)
D. Lopez
(1 Assists)
,
R. Mir
(1 Assists)
,
Pepelu
(1 Assists)
,
J. Gaya
(1 Assists)
,
L. Rioja
(1 Assists)
,
H. Duro
(1 Assists)
,
J. Guerra Moreno
(1 Assists)
, 
E. Barrenechea
(1 Assists)
Atletico Madrid - Valencia Key Points
- Atletico Madrid are unbeaten in La Liga this season.
- Valencia have earned just one point from their four league fixtures.
- Atletico Madrid have only lost one of their last ten games in La Liga.
- Valencia have earned one point from their last nine away league games against Atletico Madrid.
- Atletico Madrid have kept three consecutive clean sheets.
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Our Atletico Madrid vs Valencia Prediction
A tough season so far for Valencia is likely to get even harder this weekend. They prop up the La Liga table with just a solitary point from their four matches. Learning how to keep a lead is going to be important for them.
Atletico Madrid have been going well with eight points from four games and three successive clean sheets. Our Atletico Madrid v Valencia prediction is Atletico Madrid to lead at both half and full time.
Prediction :
Atletico Madrid to lead at half and full time
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atletico Madrid Valencia
| Atletico Madrid vs Valencia | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 1.37 | 1.38 | +0.7% |
| Draw | 4.5 | 4.33 | -3.8% |
| Valencia wins | 8.5 | 9 | +5.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Atletico Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 0.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 73.0% and is now 72.5% (-0.5%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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