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Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
by Daniel Ngulu in LaLiga Predictions
In-form Atletico Madrid will be at home to take on Sevilla on Match Day 16 of the Spanish La Liga this Sunday. This match marks the two teams’ first meeting of the season and they are placed across the two halves of the La Liga table. In this article, we will highlight a few stats for both teams and also share some team news before offering two predictions on the likely outcome.
Atletico currently sit third in the standings and are 13 points clear of Sevilla who are 11th. Both teams might, however, have dropped further down in the table by the time they take to the Wanda Metropolitano for this game.
Bookies have Atletico as favourites to win this match but they did lose the last time they faced off with Sevilla. With Barcelona and Real Madrid faltering a lot lately, Atletico Madrid will be on the watch to take advantage.
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The Best Betting Odds for Atletico Madrid v Sevilla Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.36 | 4.75 | 9 |
|
|
1.36 | 4.6 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.86 | 9.21 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.86 | 9.21 |
|
|
1.38 | 4.8 | 9 |
|
|
1.41 | 4.9 | 8.6 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.6 | 8.2 |
|
|
1.39 | 4.9 | 8.6 |
|
|
1.33 | 4.6 | 9 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.75 | 9 |
|
|
1.38 | 4.4 | 9 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.9 | 9.6 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.5 | 8 |
|
|
1.38 | 4.8 | 8.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico Madrid and Sevilla?
Our prediction for the Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla match is: over 2.5 goals to be scored in the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/12/2024 between Atletico Madrid and Sevilla in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 58.39% for a win of Atletico Madrid against Sevilla with odds of 1.41 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla is 15.73% with odds of 4.9 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.88% chance ⭐ for a win of Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid with odds of 9.6 at Vbet.
Atletico Madrid - Sevilla Prediction and Best Odds:
| Atletico Madrid Sevilla Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 58.39% | 1.41 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.18% | 2 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 56.67% | 2.2 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : Atletico Madrid/Atletico Madrid | 20.74% | 2.1 at Betsson |
Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla Form
Atletico Madrid and Sevilla's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
41 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 21 |
|
12
|
22 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | -5 |
Atletico Madrid and Sevilla Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Dec 2024 - Copa del Rey
30 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
23 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
10 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
3 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
20 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
29 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
19 Sep 2024 - Champions League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Dec 2024 - Copa del Rey
30 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
10 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
31 Oct 2024 - Copa del Rey
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Dec 2024 - Copa del Rey
2 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
24 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
9 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
3 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
30 Oct 2024 - Copa del Rey
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
24 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
3 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
6 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
24 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
14 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Dec 2024 - Copa del Rey
9 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
30 Oct 2024 - Copa del Rey
25 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
20 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
29 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
11 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
25 Jan 2024 - Copa del Rey
23 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
4 Mar 2023 - LaLiga
1 Oct 2022 - LaLiga
15 May 2022 - LaLiga
Atletico Madrid - Sevilla: Form Analysis
Atletico have won eight straight games. Half of these have been in the league where they have managed nine victories. Diego Simeone’s men, who are coming off a 3-1 away victory over Cacereno in the Copa del Rey, have accumulated 32 points.
They trail leaders Barcelona, who have played a game more, by five points. The Rojiblancos were 5-0 winners away to Real Valladolid last time out in the league.
Atleti are unbeaten at home in the league and have won five of seven such games. Facing Sevilla, the hosts will be gunning for a routine win, having beaten them four times in the last six meetings across all competitions.
Atletico Madrid have won their last four league games and are well in the title race.
Sevilla ended a run of six matches without a win when they won 1-0 at home the last time they faced off with Atleti. This was back in February. They will be hoping for a similar result as they seek to boost their chances of clinching a place in Europe next season.
Garcia Pimienta’s men are having an inconsistent season and so far have lost more games than they have either won or drawn. Los Nervionenses, who are one of the least menacing attacking teams in the league, have lost six games and won five.
They have amassed 19 points and sit six points below the top six and another six from the relegation zone. Sevilla defeated Olot 3-1 away from home in the Copa to extend their current unbeaten run to three games.
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Atletico Madrid against Sevilla Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Atletico Madrid & Sevilla Squad Analysis
Clement Lenglet and Julian Alvarez both came off the bench to score in midweek in the Copa. Alvarez, Atleti’s leading scorer this season, has 11 goals across all competitions.
Five of his goals have come in the league and he will be one of the hosts’ major threats here. Antoine Griezmann was accorded rest against Cacereno and will be fully fresh for Sevilla’s visit.
The Frenchman and Alexander Sorloth have scored a combined 11 league goals. Nahuel Molina and Thomas Lemar are likely to remain unavailable through injury.
Dodi Lukebakio has three goals in Sevilla’s last five league matches.
Sevilla also have two players likely to miss this game. Tanguy Nianzou and Chidera Ejuke have missed considerable game time this season due to injuries. Dodi Lukebakio did not feature in midweek in the Copa.
The rest will have done him a world of good as he is expected to resume his duties to lead Sevilla’s attack. Lukebakio is the team’s top scorer and has bagged six league goals. Kelechi Iheanacho and Juanlu Sanchez were on target in midweek and could be accorded rare league starts here.
Most goals and assists
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
A. Griezmann
(11 Goals)
D. Lukebakio
(7 Goals)
M. Llorente
(6 Assists)
,
A. Griezmann
(6 Assists)
S. Niguez
(3 Assists)
Atletico Madrid - Sevilla Key Points
- Atletico have scored 14 goals in their last three fixtures.
- Over 2.5 goals were scored in each of Atletico’s last four matches.
- Atletico Madrid’s last five home matches produced 15 goals in total.
- An average of 2.8 goals were scored in Sevilla’s last five away league games.
- Sevilla conceded in five of their seven away league matches, three had over 2.5 goals.
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Our Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla Prediction
Our prediction for Atletico Madrid v Sevilla is for over 2.5 goals to be scored in the match. Atletico are in splendid form and key to their success has been their explosive attack. The hosts have scored 14 goals in their last three games.
They also have four times so far in the league managed to score at least three goals a game. Their visitors on the other hand possess a porous defence which has allowed almost 20 goals in the league.
Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla - Other Interesting Predictions
Atletico to win
For our second prediction, we pick Atletico to win. Atletico have won eight straight games with half of those being league victories. They are also unbeaten at home in the league. Sevilla on the other hand haven’t won in six of their seven away matches, losing three.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atletico Madrid Sevilla
| Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 1.45 | 1.36 | -6.2% |
| Draw | 4.5 | 4.75 | +5.6% |
| Sevilla wins | 6.5 | 9 | +38.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Atletico Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 69.0% and is now 73.5% (4.6%)
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Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla match : Frequently asked questions
This match will be played on Sunday 8 December.
This match will be played at Atletico’s Wanda Metropolitano Stadium in Madrid.
Premier Sports 2 and La Liga TV will have this match available for live TV audiences. For the match updates, Sportytrader will have the Live La Liga scores.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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