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Atletico Madrid vs Lille Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Steve Ashfield in Champions League Predictions
23rd placed Atletico Madrid are home to Lille in their third Champions League match of the season. Their French opponents are five places above them in the table but only ahead of them on goal difference. Both of the sides have won one and lost their other Champions League match so far but are sitting in the play-off positions.
Atletico Madrid are third in La Liga and had a good home win over Leganes at the weekend. After this match, they have two away Champions League matches with visits to PSG and Sparta Prague so will hope to get some points from this match against Lille.
The French side are fourth in Ligue 1 but six points behind the league leaders PSG. They have already beaten Real Madrid in this season's Champions League but that was on home soil. The Mastiffs will be looking to get a good result on the road. Here's our match prediction.
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The Best Betting Odds for Atletico Madrid v Lille Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.44 | 4.75 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.2 | 6 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.4 | 6.45 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.4 | 6.45 |
|
|
1.55 | 4.2 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.52 | 4.26 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.52 | 4.26 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.52 | 4.4 | 6.4 |
|
|
1.48 | 4.3 | 6.85 |
|
|
1.52 | 4.4 | 6.4 |
|
|
1.47 | 4.7 | 7.7 |
|
|
1.48 | 4.33 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.46 | 4.8 | 7 |
|
|
1.55 | 4.2 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.75 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.42 | 4.4 | 7.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico Madrid and Lille?
Our prediction for the Atletico Madrid vs Lille match is: Atletico Madrid to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/10/2024 between Atletico Madrid and Lille in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 55.03% for a win of Atletico Madrid against Lille with odds of 1.57 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico Madrid vs Lille is 25.11% with odds of 4.8 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.85% chance ⭐ for a win of Lille vs Atletico Madrid with odds of 7.7 at Vbet.
Atletico Madrid - Lille Prediction and Best Odds:
| Atletico Madrid Lille Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 55.03% | 1.57 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.11% | 2.02 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 35.71% | 2 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : Atletico Madrid/Atletico Madrid | 21.76% | 2.38 at Betfair |
Atletico Madrid vs Lille Form
Atletico Madrid and Lille's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
14
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
|
23
|
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -4 |
Atletico Madrid and Lille Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
6 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
29 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
26 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
22 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
29 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
19 Sep 2024 - Champions League
15 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
28 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
25 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
26 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
22 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
31 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
19 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
5 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
28 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
21 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
17 Sep 2024 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
21 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
1 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
20 Aug 2024 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
28 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
17 Sep 2024 - Champions League
13 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
28 Aug 2024 - Champions League
17 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
Atletico Madrid - Lille: Form Analysis
Lille have had mixed results so far in this season's Champions League. They had to beat Fenerbahce and Slavia Prague in the qualifying rounds but their two wins both came at home and they lost in Prague. The Northmen still made it through to the league stage but their away problems surfaced again with a 2-0 loss at Sporting Lisbon.
That was the eighth defeat they have suffered in their last 11 away Champions League fixtures. Their home form is stronger though and their second game saw them beat Real Madrid 1-0 thanks to a Jonathan David penalty.
Atletico pleased to be back on home soil.
Atletico Madrid didn't need to go through the qualifying rounds and beat RB Leipzig 2-1 at home in their opening game. The Red-Whites trailed in that match but eventually won with a goal in the 90th minute. That was followed by a disappointing 4-0 loss away to Benfica.
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Atletico Madrid against Lille Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Missing players
R. Le Normand
MidfielderM. Llorente
S. Umtiti
T. Santos
R. Fernandes
MidfielderN. Bentaleb
H. Haraldsson
E. Mbappe
A. Gomes
Atletico Madrid & Lille Squad Analysis
Atletico Madrid have injury problems ahead of this Champions League game at home to Lille. Cesar Azpilcueta, Marcos Llorente and Robin Le Normand remain on the sidelines. Striker Thomas Lemar has been on the subs bench for the last four Atletico games but yet to make it onto the pitch.
Sorloth is in form for Atletico this season.
Up front, Atletico will be hoping for more goals from Alexander Sorloth. He scored two goals in their weekend victory. Antoine Griezmann also found the back of the net on Sunday but Julian Alvarez is yet to impress after his summer transfer.
Lille will be without Ismaily (who has a knee injury), Ethan Mbappe, Hakon Arnar Haraldsson and Tiagos Santos. Out since the start of September had been Ngal'ayel Mukau but he came on as a sub against Monaco and may feature in this match.
The Ligue 1 club will have Benjamin Andre back in their squad after the end of his suspension.
Most goals and assists
Atletico Madrid
Lille
J. Alvarez
(5 Goals)
J. David
(11 Goals)
A. Griezmann
(6 Assists)
O. Sahraoui
(3 Assists)
Atletico Madrid - Lille Key Points
- Lille have already lost twice on their travels in this season's Champions League.
- Lille have lost eight of their last 11 away Champions League fixtures.
- Lille have only won one of their last five away matches.
- Atletico Madrid have only lost one of their last 12 matches.
- Atletico Madrid are unbeaten in their last 11 home Champions League fixtures.
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Our Atletico Madrid vs Lille Prediction
Atletico Madrid are far more comfortable on home soil and can earn three points against Lille. Including a penalty shootout, they have won their last six home games in the Champions League, including a win over RB Leipzig this season.
Lille had an impressive 1-0 win over holders Real Madrid in their last home Champions League game. They struggle to repeat anything like that form on their travels though. Our main Atletico Madrid v Lille prediction is Atletico Madrid to win.
Atletico Madrid vs Lille - Other Interesting Predictions
Antoine Griezmann to score in the match
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atletico Madrid Lille
| Atletico Madrid vs Lille | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 1.45 | 1.44 | -0.7% |
| Draw | 4.5 | 4.75 | +5.6% |
| Lille wins | 6.5 | 6.5 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Atletico Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 0.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 69.0% and is now 69.4% (0.5%)
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Atletico Madrid vs Lille match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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