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Atletico Madrid vs Leipzig Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Kennedy Kechula in Champions League Predictions
Atletico Madrid will start their journey in the new-look Champions League with a home match against German opponents Leipzig. This match, a repeat of the 2019/20 one-legged quarter-final, will be staged at the Wanda Metropolitano in Madrid on Thursday 19th September.
In case you are looking to place a bet on this game, we have the predictions. For Atletico Madrid, this will be their 12th straight appearance in the Champions League at the group or league phase.
In the previous 11 seasons, they made it at least to the knockouts, and will be looking to do even better. Their German counterparts are featuring at this stage for the sixth straight season. In the earlier five, Leipzig got to the last 16 or further four times.
Atletico Madrid have four continental titles but only runners-up medals in this competition. They reached the Champions League final three times and lost all. Meanwhile, Leipzig have never won any title outside Germany.
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The Best Betting Odds for Atletico Madrid v Leipzig Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.7 | 4 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.8 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.82 | 4.11 | 4.52 |
|
|
1.82 | 4.11 | 4.52 |
|
|
1.71 | 4 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.74 | 3.92 | 4.48 |
|
|
1.74 | 3.92 | 4.48 |
|
|
1.74 | 3.95 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.96 | 4.34 |
|
|
1.75 | 4 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.9 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.9 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.8 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.74 | 3.98 | 5 |
|
|
1.7 | 4 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.76 | 4 | 4.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico Madrid and Leipzig?
Our prediction for the Atletico Madrid vs Leipzig match is: Atletico Madrid to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/09/2024 between Atletico Madrid and Leipzig in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.34% for a win of Atletico Madrid against Leipzig with odds of 1.82 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico Madrid vs Leipzig is 24.99% with odds of 4.11 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.68% chance ⭐ for a win of Leipzig vs Atletico Madrid with odds of 5 at Vbet.
Atletico Madrid - Leipzig Prediction and Best Odds:
| Atletico Madrid Leipzig Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 39.34% | 1.82 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.76% | 1.86 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 56.25% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Atletico Madrid | 15.53% | 4.8 at Betsson |
Atletico Madrid vs Leipzig Form
Atletico Madrid and Leipzig's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11
|
12 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
|
34
|
0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -7 |
Atletico Madrid and Leipzig Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
31 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
28 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
25 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
19 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
11 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
28 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
25 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
11 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2024 - LaLiga
12 May 2024 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
19 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2024 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
31 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
24 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
24 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2024 - Bundesliga
27 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2024 - Bundesliga
3 May 2024 - Bundesliga
20 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
Atletico Madrid vs Leipzig Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
13 Aug 2020 - Champions League
Atletico Madrid - Leipzig: Form Analysis
Atletico Madrid are having a solid start to the season, just what they need for their revenge against Leipzig. This match will be the second in the history of these teams after Leipzig beat Atleti 2-1 in the 2019/20 Champions League quarters.
Back then with the Covid measures, the one-off tie was played in Lisbon. When playing at home to German clubs, Atletico have put up a good run, only losing three of 23 matches. They will not just be banking on this, but also their good run so far in 2024/25.
Ahead of this game, Atletico are still unbeaten in the season, with three wins in five matches. In their last four outings, they kept clean sheets and in two wins at home, they scored six times.
Last season, Diego Simeone’s team reached the quarter-finals of this competition and will be aiming to do better. Ahead of this match, Atletico beat Valencia 3-0 at home.
Atletico Madrid are baying for revenge after their loss in 2019/20 in Lisbon.
As Atletico’s elimination last season was overseen by German opposition, Leipzig’s was also engineered by a Spanish side – Real Madrid. Die Roten Bullen go into their third straight match against Spanish opposition keen not to start on a losing note.
Their European record doesn’t look so encouraging though, having lost more matches than they won. In total, Marco Rose’s side has lost 14, won 13 and drawn six of their away games in Europe. In the Champions League alone, they have eight losses in the last 15 away matches.
It is clearly a run that will worry the visitors, though their impressive start this season should offer some solace. Four matches into the new season, Leipzig are yet to taste defeat, winning three.
In their most recent outing, they could only play to a goalless draw with Union Berlin.
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Atletico Madrid against Leipzig Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Atletico Madrid & Leipzig Squad Analysis
Atletico Madrid’s veteran Antoine Griezmann has already scored twice this season and will be looking to add to his impressive Champions League scoring record. Last season he scored four times at home in this competition.
The Frenchman has 37 Champions League goals and will be a key outlet for Atletico. In Los Colchoneros’ treatment room Pablo Barrios and Thomas Lemar are set to spend more days.
While Barrios has a ruptured muscle, Lemar is nursing a ruptured Achilles tendon.
Lois Openda and Antoine Griezmann will headline the two teams’ attacks.
As for Leipzig, Lois Openda has some amends to make. He missed a penalty in the 0-0 draw with Union Berlin, ending his team’s winning run. On the injuries front, Leipzig have mixed news.
Amadou Haidara is back after suffering a concussion that locked him out of the international week. However, they have to wait longer to have new signing Assan Ouedraogo in action as he has a knee injury.
Leipzig are also missing Xaver Schlager with a similar injury.
Most goals and assists
Atletico Madrid
Leipzig
A. Griezmann
(11 Goals)
B. Sesko
(11 Goals)
A. Griezmann
(6 Assists)
, 
M. Llorente
(6 Assists)
L. Openda
(6 Assists)
Atletico Madrid - Leipzig Key Points
- Atletico Madrid have six wins in eight home matches.
- Leipzig managed one win in their last four Champions League matches.
- Leipzig lost eight times in their last 15 away Champions League matches.
- At home against German sides, Atletico Madrid have 15 wins in 23 matches.
- Atletico Madrid won each of their last five home Champions League matches.
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Our Atletico Madrid vs Leipzig Prediction
Atletico Madrid will have the chance to avenge their loss to Leipzig four years ago in a one-legged tie. Hosting this game works in the Spaniards’ favor and they will want to extend their excellent form at home.
Diego Simeone’s side has five straight wins at home in this competition and haven't tasted defeat there in 10. In their most recent run, they carry into this match six wins in eight home games.
Meanwhile, their visitors have eight losses in 15 Champions League matches on the road and play at a venue German clubs have struggled. Our prediction for Atletico Madrid v Leipzig is for Atletico Madrid to win.
Atletico Madrid vs Leipzig - Other Interesting Predictions
Atletico Madrid to win to nil
Atletico Madrid have invested well in their defence and it is paying off. Ahead of this game, they have kept four straight clean sheets. The hosts put a lock after their opening 2-2 draw with Villarreal. Three of their four clean sheets came in home matches and they’ll be determined to keep this going. Our second prediction is for Atletico Madrid to win to nil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atletico Madrid Leipzig
| Atletico Madrid vs Leipzig | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 1.75 | 1.7 | -2.9% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 4 | +6.7% |
| Leipzig wins | 4.75 | 4.75 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Atletico Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 57.1% and is now 58.8% (1.7%)
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Atletico Madrid vs Leipzig match : Frequently asked questions
The Atletico Madrid v Leipzig match is scheduled for 8pm UK time on Thursday 19th September.
The Atletico Madrid v Leipzig match will be played at the Wanda Metropolitano in Madrid.
Fans in Spain can watch the Atletico Madrid v Leipzig match on Movistar Plus+ and in Germany, it will be live on ZDF, DAZN and Prime Video. SportyTrader’s Champions League Livescores page will have the updates of this game.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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