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Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
by Joseph King in LaLiga Predictions
Fourth-place Atletico Madrid will host 18th-placed Las Palmas for matchday 12 of the Spanish La Liga on Sunday. Atletico need three points to stay in the title race while Las Palmas could see themselves move out of the drop zone with a result. Let’s break down the key statistics and get into our prediction for this match between Los Colchoneros and Los Amarillos.
Atletico Madrid find themselves already 10 points behind leaders Barcelona. Their record of five wins and five draws in 11 games sees them holding a slim two-point lead over Athletic Club for a Champions League position.
The hosts come into this fixture off the back of a 2-0 away victory over UE Vic, a club that participates in the Catalan league. In their last La Liga outing, Atleti suffered their first league defeat of the season after a 1-0 away loss to Betis.
Las Palmas have totaled nine points through two wins and three draws so far, putting them one point from safety. They scored a big 7-0 away win over minnows Ontiñena in their midweek Copa del Rey fixture.
Las Palmas should be high in confidence heading into this match as they have won their last two league matches. A 3-2 away win over Valencia was followed up with a 1-0 home victory over Girona last weekend.
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The Best Betting Odds for Atletico Madrid v Las Palmas Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.33 | 5 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.5 | 9 |
|
|
1.36 | 5.31 | 9.36 |
|
|
1.36 | 5.31 | 9.36 |
|
|
1.34 | 5.5 | 9 |
|
|
1.2 | 6.5 | 15 |
|
|
1.2 | 6.5 | 15 |
|
|
1.37 | 5.4 | 8.8 |
|
|
1.24 | 6.2 | 11.5 |
|
|
1.29 | 6 | 10 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.25 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.32 | 5.3 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.5 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.5 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.27 | 5.5 | 11 |
|
|
1.35 | 5.5 | 9.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico Madrid and Las Palmas?
Our prediction for the Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas match is: Atletico to win and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/11/2024 between Atletico Madrid and Las Palmas in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 61.85% for a win of Atletico Madrid against Las Palmas with odds of 1.37 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas is 16.46% with odds of 6.5 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.69% chance ⭐ for a win of Las Palmas vs Atletico Madrid with odds of 15 at Betwinner.
Atletico Madrid - Las Palmas Prediction and Best Odds:
| Atletico Madrid Las Palmas Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 61.85% | 1.37 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.44% | 1.82 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 59.17% | 2.1 at William Hill |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Atletico Madrid | 29.13% | 4.1 at Unibet |
Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas Form
Atletico Madrid and Las Palmas's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
29 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 13 |
|
17
|
12 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -7 |
Atletico Madrid and Las Palmas Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Oct 2024 - Copa del Rey
27 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
20 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
6 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
20 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
29 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
19 Sep 2024 - Champions League
15 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
28 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Oct 2024 - Copa del Rey
27 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
6 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
26 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
22 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Oct 2024 - Copa del Rey
26 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
21 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
5 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
30 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
26 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
5 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
26 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
15 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
29 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
16 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Oct 2024 - Copa del Rey
21 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
30 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
21 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
1 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
25 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
3 Nov 2023 - LaLiga
28 Jan 2018 - LaLiga
26 Aug 2017 - LaLiga
29 Apr 2017 - LaLiga
10 Jan 2017 - Copa del Rey
Players list
J. Oblak
DefenderN. Molina
J. Gimenez
C. Lenglet
MidfielderR. Mandava
Koke
R. De Paul
A. Sorloth
ForwardA. Witsel
C. Gallagher
A. Correa
D. Horkas
DefenderM. Marmol
S. McKenna
A. Munoz
MidfielderV. Rozada
J. Munoz
D. Essugo
M. Fuster
ForwardO. McBurnie
J. Mata
A. Moleiro
Substitutes
J. Musso
A. Gomis
DefenderR. Mandava
R. Riquelme
C. Gallagher
A. Witsel
R. De Paul
A. Sorloth
A. Correa
D. Horkas
M. Marmol
J. Herzog
MidfielderI. Gil Calero
F. Gonzalez
M. Fuster
J. Munoz
B. Ramirez
ForwardPejino
O. McBurnie
J. Mata
M. Cardona
Missing players
R. Le Normand
MidfielderT. Lemar
Most goals and assists
Atletico Madrid
Las Palmas
A. Sorloth
(5 Goals)
, 
A. Griezmann
(5 Goals)
, 
J. Alvarez
(5 Goals)
A. Moleiro
(4 Goals)
, 
F. Silva
(4 Goals)
A. Griezmann
(6 Assists)
O. McBurnie
(3 Assists)
Atletico Madrid - Las Palmas Key Points
- Las Palmas have lost four of their five away league matches this season.
- Four of Las Palmas five away La Liga fixtures have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
- Atletico Madrid have scored three goals in three of their five home league games.
- Five of Atletico’s seven home matches across all competitions have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
- The last time these two teams faced off, Atletico Madrid ran out 5-0 winners.
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Our Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas Prediction
Atletico will be looking to get back on track after losing their first league match of the season last weekend. They’ve been in good goal scoring form at the Wanda Metropolitana, which should carry over into this match.
Las Palmas are in terrific form and have now won three matches in a row after failing to win in their first nine. However, this is likely going to be a difficult outing for them and they could be in for a heavy defeat. Our Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas prediction: Atletico to win + over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atletico Madrid Las Palmas
| Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 1.2 | 1.33 | +10.8% |
| Draw | 6.5 | 5 | -23.1% |
| Las Palmas wins | 15 | 8.5 | -43.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Atletico Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 10.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 83.3% and is now 75.2% (-8.1%)
Use £30 free bets for the Atletico Madrid vs. Las Palmas game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Atletico Madrid and Las Palmas? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of £30 free bet credits if you bet £10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's LaLiga! You need to make your qualifying bet of £10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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