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Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Sridhar in Champions League Predictions
Hosting Inter Milan for the first time in any competition, Atletico Madrid faces the task of overturning a one-goal deficit from the first leg. This UEFA Champions League round of 16 second leg will be played at the Civitas Metropolitan Stadium in Madrid on Wednesday. It was a 79th-minute goal from Marko Arnautovic that saw Inter win the first leg, extending their unbeaten run in this year’s competition. It was Atletico’s first defeat of the campaign, but their recent loss of form puts them in a tough spot as they look to overturn the first-leg deficit. Will Atletico’s home form come to their rescue and salvage the tie, or will Inter continue their unbeaten away streak to progress in the competition?
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The Best Betting Odds for Atletico Madrid v Inter Milan Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.9 | 3.25 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.88 | 3.4 | 2.4 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.2 | 2.4 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.25 | 2.47 |
|
|
3.06 | 3.34 | 2.57 |
|
|
3.06 | 3.34 | 2.57 |
|
|
3.03 | 3.34 | 2.36 |
|
|
3.03 | 3.34 | 2.36 |
|
|
3 | 3.4 | 2.41 |
|
|
2.95 | 3.2 | 2.48 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.35 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.97 | 3.32 | 2.61 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.4 | 2.38 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.25 | 2.48 |
|
|
2.88 | 3.3 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.95 | 3.35 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.2 | 2.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico Madrid and Inter Milan?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/03/2024 between Atletico Madrid and Inter Milan in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.59% for a win of Atletico Madrid against Inter Milan with odds of 3.06 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan is 7.51% with odds of 3.4 at Betfred.
- Our prediction model gives a 60.9% chance ⭐ for a win of Inter Milan vs Atletico Madrid with odds of 2.61 at Vbet.
Atletico Madrid - Inter Milan Prediction and Best Odds:
| Atletico Madrid Inter Milan Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan wins | 60.9% | 2.61 at Vbet |
| Under 2.5 | 59.28% | 1.87 at Vbet |
| Both Team To Score | 29.17% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Inter Milan/Inter Milan | 26.3% | 4.2 at Betsson |
Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan Form
Atletico Madrid and Inter Milan Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
3 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
29 Feb 2024 - Copa del Rey
24 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
20 Feb 2024 - Champions League
17 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
17 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
7 Feb 2024 - Copa del Rey
31 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
28 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
25 Jan 2024 - Copa del Rey
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
29 Feb 2024 - Copa del Rey
24 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
20 Feb 2024 - Champions League
11 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
4 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Mar 2024 - Serie A
4 Mar 2024 - Serie A
28 Feb 2024 - Serie A
25 Feb 2024 - Serie A
20 Feb 2024 - Champions League
16 Feb 2024 - Serie A
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Mar 2024 - Serie A
28 Feb 2024 - Serie A
20 Feb 2024 - Champions League
16 Feb 2024 - Serie A
4 Feb 2024 - Serie A
19 Jan 2024 - Super Cup
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Mar 2024 - Serie A
25 Feb 2024 - Serie A
10 Feb 2024 - Serie A
28 Jan 2024 - Serie A
22 Jan 2024 - Super Cup
13 Jan 2024 - Serie A
Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Feb 2024 - Champions League
11 Aug 2018 - International Champions Cup
Atletico Madrid - Inter Milan: Form Analysis
Atletico Madrid lost 2-0 to relegation-threatened Cadiz over the weekend in La Liga. That was their fifth defeat across eight games, a run where they could win only two games. This poor run has seen them lose control of their top-four chances in the league, leaving them at risk of being upstaged by Athletic Club. That puts them in danger of missing out on the Champions League action next season. Atletico could at least get some momentum into their game with a win here, and all hopes are likely to rest on their home form. This venue has seen them win 18 and draw one of their 20 competitive matches, with the lone defeat coming against Athletic Club in the Copa del Rey competition.
Inter Milan are likely to present a bigger threat, especially considering their impressive recent form. The Italians rested many first team regulars and still won 1-0 against Bologna in Serie A. That brought up a 13th win in a row for the Nerazzurri, who are leading the Serie A title race by 16 points. That buffer has certainly given them enough leeway to concentrate on this match, rather than focus on next weekend’s tough game against Napoli. While Atletico’s form at home throws Inter a challenge, their away form suggests they could work their way around. The visitors have won eight of their last nine away matches in all competitions, and even a draw here would be enough to confirm progression. A draw was the result in two of their three away Champions League matches this season, including a 1-1 result in Spain when they visited Real Sociedad in the group stages.
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Atletico Madrid against Inter Milan Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Atletico Madrid & Inter Milan Squad Analysis
Atletico Madrid will be without Antoine Griezmann for this fixture after the French forward suffered an ankle injury. The home side is also set to be without Thomas Lemar, Marcos Paulo, and Cesar Azpilicueta. Inter also have a few injuries in their camp for this trip. They are set to be without Juan Cuadrado, who continues to recover from Achilles’ tendon surgery. Stefano Sensi is also set to be out of this contest. There are doubts over the participation of Carlos Augusto and Marko Arnautovic, with the Austrian incidentally scoring the only goal in the first leg.
Most goals and assists
Atletico Madrid
Inter Milan
A. Griezmann
(22 Goals)
L. Martinez
(26 Goals)
S. Lino
(8 Assists)
,
A. Griezmann
(8 Assists)
M. Thuram
(7 Assists)
, 
H. Mkhitaryan
(7 Assists)
Atletico Madrid - Inter Milan Key Points
- Atletico have failed to win seven of their last nine matches in all competitions, losing five
- At this venue, Atletico have conceded in three of their last four matches in all competitions
- In their last three home games in the Champions League knockouts, Atletico have drawn two and lost one
- Atletico have failed to score in five of their last eight Champions League knockout stage matches
- Inter have won their last 13 matches in all competitions
- Away from home in this season, Inter haven’t lost a competitive match, winning 14 and drawing five
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Our Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan Prediction
Atletico Madrid haven’t quite lived up to their usual standards lately, winning only two matches since February. Five losses across nine matches in this period put a question mark over their ability to overturn the first-leg deficit. Their home form is very impressive to raise hopes, although Inter Milan are set to present a tougher opposition. With the confidence of a 13-game winning run behind them, the Italians are more than likely to go for another victory here to settle the tie. Our prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan is a double chance for Inter Milan.
Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan - Other Interesting Predictions
Lautaro Martinez to score anytime
Inter Milan rested Lautaro Martinez over the weekend, and he should be geared up for this match. The Argentine forward has scored four goals for Inter in his last five matches in all competitions. To go with that, he has two goals in this season’s Champions League competition, both coming away from home. One of those was in Spain against Real Sociedad, and Lautaro could fancy his chances of getting on the score sheet here.
Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan match : Frequently asked questions
Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan UEFA Champions League match will be broadcast live on TNT Sports 1 in the UK. The match can also be streamed live online via the Discovery+ app and website.
You can also keep up to the minute with all the action on the SportyTrader livescore page.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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