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Atletico Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Ian John | in Champions League Predictions
Atletico Madrid face Borussia Dortmund on Wednesday night in the first leg of their Champions League quarterfinal tie. The Spanish side overcame Inter Milan in the Round of 16 to reach this stage of the competition, while Dortmund did likewise over Dutch side PSV Eindhoven. The winners of this two-legged tie will go on to face either Paris St Germain or Barcelona in the semi-finals.Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
The Best Betting Odds for Atletico Madrid v Borussia Dortmund Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.8 | 3.6 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.75 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.6 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.87 | 3.4 | 3.7 |
|
|
2.23 | 4.62 | 2.38 |
|
|
2.23 | 4.62 | 2.38 |
|
|
1.99 | 3.6 | 3.64 |
|
|
1.99 | 3.6 | 3.64 |
|
|
1.94 | 3.6 | 4 |
|
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1.85 | 3.78 | 4.02 |
|
|
1.78 | 4 | 4.4 |
|
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3.75 | 3.4 | 2.1 |
|
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1.05 | 14 | 56 |
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1.06 | 10 | 251 |
|
|
1.82 | 3.7 | 4.55 |
|
|
1.29 | 5 | 11 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.81 | 4.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico Madrid and Borussia Dortmund?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/04/2024 between Atletico Madrid and Borussia Dortmund in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.57% for a win of Atletico Madrid against Borussia Dortmund with odds of 3.75 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund is 19.95% with odds of 14 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.48% chance ⭐ for a win of Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid with odds of 251 at Betfair.
Atletico Madrid - Borussia Dortmund Prediction and Best Odds:
| Atletico Madrid Borussia Dortmund Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund wins | 41.48% | 251 at Betfair |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.02% | 2.4 at Betway |
| Both Team To Score | 41.67% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Borussia Dortmund/Borussia Dortmund | 20.54% | 8 at Ladbrokes |
Atletico Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Form
Atletico Madrid and Borussia Dortmund Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
17 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
13 Mar 2024 - Champions League
9 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
3 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
29 Feb 2024 - Copa del Rey
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
13 Mar 2024 - Champions League
3 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
17 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
7 Feb 2024 - Copa del Rey
31 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
9 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
29 Feb 2024 - Copa del Rey
24 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
20 Feb 2024 - Champions League
11 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
30 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
13 Mar 2024 - Champions League
9 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
2 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
13 Mar 2024 - Champions League
25 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
9 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
28 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
9 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
2 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
20 Feb 2024 - Champions League
17 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
2 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
Atletico Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Nov 2018 - Champions League
24 Oct 2018 - Champions League
Atletico Madrid - Borussia Dortmund: Form Analysis
Atletico Madrid come into this game not in the best of form domestically. There last seven La Liga games has seen them win three, lose three and draw one and they failed to score in the three games they lost. One of those losses was their first at home this season, a 3-0 defeat to Barcelona with the others coming away to Sevilla (1-0) and Cadiz (2-0). On the plus side, they did beat Las Palmas 5-0 at home, then Betis 2-1 and on the 1st April defeated Villarreal 2-1 away from home. Atletico lie 4th in La Liga, well off the pace of Real Madrid at the top of the table and they are under real pressure from Athletic Bilbao for a top four spot and a place in this competition next season.
Dortmund showed their calibre on the road in their last away game where they beat Bayern Munich 2-0 at the Allianz Arena. That was their fourth win in a row, three of which had come away from home, but they then struggled at home against Stuttgart on Saturday, losing 1-0 to the team now directly above them in the Bundesliga table. Stuttgart are the only team to beat Dortmund away from home in the Bundesliga this season, while PSG are the only team to do that in the Champions League. Certainly, the German side have the quality to cause Atletico Madrid problems and it is sure to be a hugely intriguing tie when the teams meet at the Wanda Metropolitano on Wednesday.
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Atletico Madrid against Borussia Dortmund Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Atletico Madrid & Borussia Dortmund Squad Analysis
Atletico Madrid manager Diego Simeone will be without four players for the game with Dortmund. Long term absentees Vitolo and Thomas Lemar remain sidelined while Jose Maria Giminez is not yet ready to return from a muscule injury. The same can be said for another centre back Mario Hermoso. Atletico also have 5 players at risk of a suspension in the second leg if they receive a booking. Samuel Lino, Alvaro Morata, Koke, Stefan Savic, while Mario Hermoso is another who may miss a game if booked, but who is unlikely to play due to the aforementioned injury. Antoine Griezmann has been the star man for Atletico this season with the Frenchman playing in a deeper-lying more creative role for the team.
Borussia Dortmund boss Edin Terzic only has one player in danger of suspension from another booking, but it is their lynchpin and veteran centre back Mats Hummels. Die Schwarzgelben have picked up a trio of injuries in the last few weeks which will rob them of three players for the first leg of the tie. Full back Ramy Bensebaini isn't expected back until next season, while Abdoulaye Kamara and Donyell Malen both look very likely to miss out having not played for Dortmund since March. Jadon Sancho has started to find his best form since his loan move from Manchester United in the winter transfer window.
Most goals and assists
Atletico Madrid
Borussia Dortmund
A. Griezmann
(22 Goals)
N. Fullkrug
(15 Goals)
, 
D. Malen
(15 Goals)
S. Lino
(8 Assists)
,
A. Griezmann
(8 Assists)
J. Brandt
(14 Assists)
Atletico Madrid - Borussia Dortmund Key Points
- Atletico have won all four of their home Champions League ties this season scoring 13 goals and conceding 3 in those games.
- Dortmund have won two, drawn one and lost one of their four Champions League away games this season, their sole defeat coming away to Paris St Germain. They scored 5 goals on the road, conceding four.
- Atletico lost their first home game of the season in their last domestic league game at the Wanda Metropolitano, losing 3-0 to Barcelona. Prior to that they had won 11 and drawn just one game at home in La Liga.
- Domestically, Dortmund have lost just one away game all season (at Stuttgart) and they are unbeaten in their last 9 away games in the Bundesliga.
- Both teams have scored in 10 of Atletico's 15 home La Liga games and in two of their four Champions League home games. For Dortmund both teams scored in 8 of their 14 Bundesliga away games and in 2 of their 4 Champions League away games.
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Our Atletico Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction
Atletico Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund - Other Interesting Predictions
Atletico Madrid to win and Both Teams to Score
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Atletico Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund match : Frequently asked questions
Atletico Madrid (Spain) will take on Borussia Dortmund (Germany) in the Champions League Quarterfinal First Leg tie at the Wanda Metropolitano Stadium in Madrid, on Wednesday 10th April, kicking off at 8pm in the UK.
The second leg takes place on Tuesday 16th April, kick off 8pm, at Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund, Germany.
You can watch the first leg of the Atletico Madrid v Borussia Dortmund game live on TNT in the UK, but if you do not have a subscription to the channel, or can't tune in, you can visit SportyTrader's page for the Champions League action and this game to get real-time updates on the data and key incidents from the game.
The weather in Madrid is expected to be a somewhat pleasant 20-21 degrees centigrade on Wednesday evening at kick off time, dropping just a couple of degrees as the game progresses.
No rain is forecast and the skies should be clear with very little wind and low humidity too.
The teams have met four times previously in the Champions League and each has recorded two wins apiece.
The first two games came in the Group Stages of the Champions League in the 1996/97 season. Dortmund were the winners in the first game, defeating Atletico 1-0 in Madrid, but just a couple of weeks later, Atletico gained revenge with a 2-1 win in Dortmund.
In 2018/19, the teams met again on Matchday 3 and 4 of the Group Stages. This time Dortmund played at home first and ran out comfortable 4-0 winners over the Spanish side. However, a couple of weeks later, Atletico Madrid gained revenge for that defeat by winning 2-0 at home.
Dortmund have scored six goals compared to Atletico's four when the teams have met in this competition previously.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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