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Atletico Madrid vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Devesh Jaganath in Champions League Predictions
Bayer Leverkusen will be looking to secure their spot in the next round of the Champions League on Tuesday night when they travel to the Riyadh Air Metropolitano to face Atletico Madrid. Los Colchoneros are in 11th place while Die Werkself are fourth in the League Phase standings. Check out our match prediction below!
This match marks the 11th meeting between these two sides and each have won three games apiece while the remaining four have ended level. Bayer Leverkusen have been more successful in recent times, unbeaten in the last three encounters, winning two and drawing one. However, Atletico are unbeaten in their last 10 home games against German opposition (W7 D3 L0) - the visitors are hoping to become the first German team to beat Rojiblancos on their home patch since 1996.
A close matchup is expected based on the latest bookmaker odds, but the hosts are being given favour, marginally installed as favourites in this contest. Let’s get into the key stats.
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The Best Betting Odds for Atletico Madrid v Bayer Leverkusen Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.4 | 3.3 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.2 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.7 | 2.37 | 3 |
|
|
2.57 | 3.48 | 2.91 |
|
|
2.57 | 3.48 | 2.91 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.25 | 2.85 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.36 | 2.87 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.36 | 2.87 |
|
|
2.47 | 3.35 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.46 | 3.36 | 2.86 |
|
|
2.47 | 3.35 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.57 | 3.3 | 2.92 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.25 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.55 | 3.25 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.2 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.55 | 3.35 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.25 | 2.8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico Madrid and Bayer Leverkusen?
Our prediction for the Atletico Madrid vs Bayer Leverkusen match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/01/2025 between Atletico Madrid and Bayer Leverkusen in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.99% for a win of Atletico Madrid against Bayer Leverkusen with odds of 2.7 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico Madrid vs Bayer Leverkusen is 14.72% with odds of 3.48 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.3% chance ⭐ for a win of Bayer Leverkusen vs Atletico Madrid with odds of 3 at Ladbrokes.
Atletico Madrid vs Bayer Leverkusen Form
Atletico Madrid and Bayer Leverkusen's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
|
11
|
12 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
Atletico Madrid and Bayer Leverkusen Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
15 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
12 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
4 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
21 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
15 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
15 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
8 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
23 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
3 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
15 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
4 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
21 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
5 Dec 2024 - Copa del Rey
30 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
10 Dec 2024 - Champions League
7 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
3 Dec 2024 - DFB Pokal
30 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
9 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
5 Nov 2024 - Champions League
Atletico Madrid vs Bayer Leverkusen Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 Oct 2022 - Champions League
13 Sep 2022 - Champions League
6 Nov 2019 - Champions League
22 Oct 2019 - Champions League
15 Mar 2017 - Champions League
21 Feb 2017 - Champions League
Atletico Madrid - Bayer Leverkusen: Form Analysis
Atletico Madrid picked up where they left off in the New Year, churning out three consecutive wins across all competitions before suffering a shock defeat to Leganes on Saturday evening.
That result brought an end to an incredible 15-match winning streak dating back to the end of December and also led to them relinquishing the lead in La Liga to Real Madrid.
However, at home, Los Colchoneros have been excellent of late, currently riding a six-match win streak, while they have only been beaten at the Metropolitano once in 13 games this season.
A victory for Bayer Leverkusen will guarantee this a spot in the knockout round!
Indeed, the Bundesliga champions have enjoyed an impressive campaign and notched up their fourth victory in six games (D1 L1), beating Serie A giants Inter Milan last time out.
Die Werkself have also been in good shape domestically. They are unbeaten in 16 top-flight matches, which sees them trailing current Bundesliga leaders Bayern Munich by just four points after 18 games this season.
The visitors are on a four-match win streak in away games across all competitions and have scored two or more goals in all but one of those matches - the exception was a 1-0 away win over the Bavarians.
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Atletico Madrid vs Bayer Leverkusen last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
J. Gimenez
ForwardA. Sorloth
J. Belocian
ForwardA. Adli
V. Boniface
A. Sarco
Atletico Madrid & Bayer Leverkusen Squad Analysis
Atletico Madrid were dealt a massive blow last week, with Alexander Sorloth sustaining an injury in the victory over Elche, which forced him off the field at the interval after scoring a first-half brace.
The Norwegian missed the defeat over the weekend to Leganes and is listed as a major doubt for this match, though he has not been ruled out entirely at the time of writing.
On a slight positive note for the hosts, Jose Maria Gimenez reportedly returned to team training on Sunday and is expected to be available for selection.
Julian Alvarez has scored in three of Atleti’s last four Champions League matches!
Xabi Alonso’s side have been hit by major setbacks in the New Year, with the latest being that of Martin Terrier, who sustained a ruptured Achilles tendon at the weekend and is now set to miss the remainder of the season.
Jeanuel Belocian suffered a similar fate earlier this month, albeit due to a knee injury, while Nigerian striker Victor Boniface’s return was pushed back due to a complication in his rehabilitation.
Most goals and assists
Atletico Madrid
Bayer Leverkusen
A. Griezmann
(11 Goals)
P. Schick
(15 Goals)
A. Griezmann
(6 Assists)
, 
M. Llorente
(6 Assists)
F. Wirtz
(10 Assists)
Atletico Madrid and Bayer Leverkusen Stats in Champions League
Atletico Madrid - Bayer Leverkusen Key Points
- All six of Atletico Madrid’s Champions League games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Atletico Madrid have scored two or more goals in four of their last six home games.
- Bayer Leverkusen have scored two or more goals in seven of their last 10 matches.
- Four of Bayer Leverkusen’s last six away games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Three or more goals were scored in two of the last three matches between these sides.
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Our Atletico Madrid vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction
While Atletico Madrid have not been known to be the most prolific La Liga team in recent years, they have been very impressive in attack in this competition, currently averaging 2.3 goals per 90.
However, Bayer Leverkusen have been in fine form in front of goal themselves lately, having scored 14 goals in their last five league games, and two or more in seven of their last 10 across all competitions. Therefore, our Atletico Madrid vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction is over 2.5.
Atletico Madrid vs Bayer Leverkusen - Other Interesting Predictions
Atletico Madrid draw no bet
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Atletico Madrid vs Bayer Leverkusen match : Frequently asked questions
The Champions League match between Atletico Madrid and Bayer Leverkusen will be played on January 21 at 20:00 GMT.
The Champions League match between Atletico Madrid and Bayer Leverkusen will take place at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano in Madrid.
The Champions League match between Atletico Madrid and Bayer Leverkusen will be broadcast on TNT Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the Champions League Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
Davide Massa will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Ciro Carbone, Stefano Alassio and Michael Fabbri as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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