Spain - Copa del Rey
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by Daniel Ngulu in Football Predictions
For the third time in just two months, Spanish giants Barcelona and Atletico Madrid will be meeting. This time they square off in the Copa Del Rey semi-final return leg, a tie that’s currently balanced at 4-4. We have the prediction for this match to be hosted by Atletico.
The hosts haven't had a lucky streak in their recent matches and in their last two meetings with Barcelona as well. Across their last five matches, Atletico’s only win had a sour ending as they eventually lost on post-match penalties.
Los Colchoneros have suffered three outright defeats in those five matches one of them against Barcelona.
Barcelona will be playing their third match since returning from the international break and haven't shown any signs of slowing down. They are coming off a 4-1 win against Girona and will be gunning for a seventh straight win.
This latest win stretched Barcelona’s unbeaten run to 20 matches and 17 of them are wins. The last time Barcelona actually lost a game was against Atletico Madrid just before Christmas 2024.
The visitors’ scoring record will be another area of focus here; in their last seven matches, they scored three or more six times. Two of those instances were against Atletico.
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The Best Betting Odds for Atletico Madrid v Barcelona Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.1 | 3.5 | 2.2 |
|
|
3 | 3.5 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.1 | 2.6 | 2.45 |
|
|
3.18 | 3.8 | 2.29 |
|
|
3.18 | 3.8 | 2.29 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico Madrid and Barcelona?
Our prediction for the Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona match is: Barcelona to win and both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/04/2025 between Atletico Madrid and Barcelona in Copa del Rey :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 28.44% for a win of Atletico Madrid against Barcelona with odds of 3.2 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona is 13.94% with odds of 6.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 57.62% chance ⭐ for a win of Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid with odds of 2.45 at Ladbrokes.
Atletico Madrid - Barcelona Prediction and Best Odds:
| Atletico Madrid Barcelona Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Barcelona wins | 57.62% | 2.45 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.42% | 1.65 at Betsson |
| Both Team To Score | 49.17% | 1.55 at Vbet |
| Half-time : Atletico Madrid / Full-time : Barcelona | 22.49% | 26 at Betsson |
Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona Form
Atletico Madrid and Barcelona Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
4 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
1 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
25 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
8 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
27 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
11 Mar 2025 - Champions League
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
2 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
27 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
11 Mar 2025 - Champions League
2 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
25 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
17 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
9 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
6 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
25 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
21 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
17 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
3 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
23 Apr 2023 - LaLiga
Atletico Madrid against Barcelona Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
J. Alvarez
(21 Goals)
R. Lewandowski
(36 Goals)
M. Llorente
(8 Assists)
L. Yamal
(15 Assists)
Atletico Madrid - Barcelona Key Points
- Barcelona are unbeaten in their last 20 matches.
- Atletico Madrid have lost three of their last five matches.
- Half of Barcelona’s last 10 matches had both teams score.
- In the last eight meetings with Atletico, Barcelona lost once.
- Both teams scored in the last three meetings between these two.
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Our Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction
Barcelona have seemed unstoppable offensively in recent matches. They haven't kept many clean sheets but in attack they’ve dominated almost all their recent opponents, Atletico included. A run of 20 matches without defeat will give them the impetus coming here.
Atletico, the last team to inflict defeat on Barcelona will feel they can repeat their December heroics. Though they will be at home, Atletico haven't been in the kind of form that saw them beat Barcelona 2-1. Our prediction for Atletico Madrid v Barcelona is for Barcelona to win and both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atletico Madrid Barcelona
| Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 2.63 | 3.1 | +17.9% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.5 | +2.9% |
| Barcelona wins | 2.55 | 2.2 | -13.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Barcelona is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 13.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 39.2% and is now 45.5% (6.2%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Atletico Madrid vs. Barcelona game!
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Try your luck on this year's Copa del Rey! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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