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Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
by Sridhar in LaLiga Predictions
In a blockbuster clash this weekend, Atletico Madrid welcome Barcelona in a crucial top-half six-pointer. This La Liga matchday 29 will be played at the Civitas Metropolitan Stadium in Madrid on Sunday. Before the start of this round, the hosts were fourth with 55 points, while the visitors were third with 61 points. Atletico are in the fourth and final spot for Champions League qualification spots, but with Athletic Club only two points behind, they will be under pressure to stay ahead. The hosts are coming off a thrilling win over Inter Milan in the Champions League that saw them progress to the quarterfinals. They would now look to sustain that momentum and improve their domestic fortunes, as Atletico have won only two of their last six league games. That said, with 13 wins and a draw in their home league games, this venue has been a fortress for Atletico.
Barcelona are only a point behind second-placed Girona, but leaders Real Madrid are eight points behind. That virtually makes this a must-win fixture to stay in the title race. The Catalans are coming off a 3-1 win over Napoli in the Champions League, also guaranteeing their progression to the quarterfinals. The visitors also boast an impressive record against Atletico in recent times, having won their last four league matches against them. That included a 1-0 win in the reverse fixture, when Joao Felix scored just before the half-hour mark. Repeating that success will require Barcelona to improve on their recent away form, which hasn’t been satisfactory. They have won only one of their last five away competitive matches, drawing the last two in a row and losing once.
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The Best Betting Odds for Atletico Madrid v Barcelona Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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2.25 | 3.6 | 3.1 |
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2.3 | 3.6 | 2.88 |
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2.2 | 3.5 | 3 |
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2.3 | 3.6 | 2.9 |
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1.14 | 5.65 | 21 |
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1.14 | 5.65 | 21 |
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2.23 | 3.5 | 3.14 |
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2.23 | 3.5 | 3.14 |
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2.31 | 3.7 | 3.05 |
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2.26 | 3.56 | 3.04 |
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2.36 | 3.65 | 2.9 |
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2.25 | 3.35 | 3.15 |
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2.3 | 3.6 | 2.9 |
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2.35 | 3.6 | 3 |
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2.34 | 3.69 | 3.06 |
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2.2 | 3.5 | 3.1 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico Madrid and Barcelona?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/03/2024 between Atletico Madrid and Barcelona in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.4% for a win of Atletico Madrid against Barcelona with odds of 2.36 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona is 16.94% with odds of 5.65 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 42.66% chance ⭐ for a win of Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid with odds of 21 at 1xbet.
Atletico Madrid - Barcelona Prediction and Best Odds:
Atletico Madrid Barcelona Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Barcelona wins | 42.66% | 21 at 1xbet |
Over 2.5 goals | 59.94% | 1.97 at 1xbet |
Both Team To Score | 56.67% | |
Half-time / Full-time: Barcelona/Barcelona | 19.36% | 5 at Betsson |
Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona Form
Atletico Madrid and Barcelona's standings in the LaLiga
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2
|
85 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 35 |
4
|
76 | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 27 |
Atletico Madrid and Barcelona Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Mar 2024 - Champions League
9 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
3 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
29 Feb 2024 - Copa del Rey
24 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
20 Feb 2024 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Mar 2024 - Champions League
3 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
17 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
7 Feb 2024 - Copa del Rey
31 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
28 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
29 Feb 2024 - Copa del Rey
24 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
20 Feb 2024 - Champions League
11 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
4 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Mar 2024 - Champions League
8 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
3 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
24 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
21 Feb 2024 - Champions League
17 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Mar 2024 - Champions League
8 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
24 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
11 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
31 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
27 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
21 Feb 2024 - Champions League
17 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
3 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
24 Jan 2024 - Copa del Rey
21 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
23 Apr 2023 - LaLiga
8 Jan 2023 - LaLiga
6 Feb 2022 - LaLiga
2 Oct 2021 - LaLiga
8 May 2021 - LaLiga
Atletico Madrid against Barcelona Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 1 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Most goals and assists
Atletico Madrid - Barcelona Key Points
- Atletico have won 19 of their last 21 matches at home in all competitions, losing only once
- The record is even stronger in La Liga, as Atletico have won 13 and drawn one of their 14 home matches this season
- Home and away, Atletico have avoided defeat in seven of their last nine La Liga matches
- Barcelona have failed to win their last two away matches
- Barcelona have lost two of their last three away league matches against Atletico
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Our Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction
Atletico have lost their last four La Liga matches against Barcelona, but they can’t afford a defeat here. Anything less than a win will put Atletico’s top-four chances under threat from Athletic Club. The hosts will hope that their momentum from Champions League progress can be harnessed here in this crucial fixture. Barcelona’s slim chances of staying in the title race depend on a win here, but they have been too inconsistent in recent games to be confident in their chances. Our prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona is a double chance for Atletico.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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