Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu in LaLiga Predictions
Atletico Madrid will welcome Athletic Bilbao when the Spanish La Liga enters matchday 26. The two teams sit side by side in the standings with Atletico in third edging fourth-placed Bilbao by five points. Our prediction for this match is below.
Atletico Madrid have accumulated 53 points after winning 15 and drawing eight of their 25 fixtures. This record has them just a point below the joint league leaders Barcelona and Real Madrid.
Diego Simeone’s men, who won the reverse match 1-0 back in August, arrive for this match having not lost in nine games. Atleti, who hammered Valencia 3-0 in the league last weekend, are coming off a 4-4 draw in the Copa del Rey away to Barcelona.
Athletic Bilbao are also putting their own unbeaten run on the line this weekend in the capital. Ernesto Valverde’s men haven’t lost in six matches.
The Lions, who have won three times in this stretch, produced one of the biggest results this season last weekend. Bilbao, playing at home against rock bottom side Valladolid, produced a 7-1 thumping.
Nico Williams scored twice in the game and was the only player with more than one goal. Bilbao have racked up 48 points thanks to 13 wins and nine draws.
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The Best Betting Odds for Atletico Madrid v Athletic Bilbao Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.1 | 3.25 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.25 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.37 | 2.37 | 3.7 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.41 | 3.85 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.41 | 3.85 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico Madrid and Athletic Bilbao?
Our prediction for the Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/03/2025 between Atletico Madrid and Athletic Bilbao in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.56% for a win of Atletico Madrid against Athletic Bilbao with odds of 2.37 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao is 36.83% with odds of 3.5 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 27.61% chance ⭐ for a win of Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid with odds of 4.5 at Betfair.
Atletico Madrid - Athletic Bilbao Prediction and Best Odds:
| Atletico Madrid Athletic Bilbao Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 36.83% | 3.5 at Betsson |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.96% | 2.2 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score | 60.83% | 1.92 at Betsson |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 18.43% | 5 at Betsson |
Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Form
Atletico Madrid and Athletic Bilbao's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
57 | 29 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 24 |
|
4
|
53 | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 22 |
Atletico Madrid and Athletic Bilbao Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
8 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
4 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
1 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
4 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
1 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
25 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
12 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
8 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
15 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
16 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
8 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
2 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
26 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
8 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
26 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
16 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
8 Jan 2025 - Super Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
2 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
22 Jan 2025 - Europa League
19 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
4 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
21 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
31 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
27 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
29 Feb 2024 - Copa del Rey
7 Feb 2024 - Copa del Rey
16 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
19 Feb 2023 - LaLiga
Atletico Madrid against Athletic Bilbao Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
Koke
Most goals and assists
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
J. Alvarez
(18 Goals)
O. Sancet
(14 Goals)
A. Griezmann
(7 Assists)
,
M. Llorente
(7 Assists)
,
G. Simeone
(7 Assists)
I. Williams
(10 Assists)
,
A. Berenguer
(10 Assists)
Atletico Madrid - Athletic Bilbao Key Points
- Four of Bilbao’s last five matches saw over 2.5 goals.
- Both Bilbao and Atleti have scored over 40 goals in the league this season.
- Two of the last three meetings between Bilbao and Atletico saw over 2.5 goals.
- Atletico have scored at least three goals a game four times in their last seven outings.
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Our Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction
This should be a mouthwatering tie, one in which we expect to see a high goal-scoring outcome. Atletico and Bilbao are both in the title picture and sit bumper-to-bumper in the standings. The two teams’ title and European football aspirations add to the intensity of this encounter.
Both teams are also in good form and are putting their respective unbeaten runs on the line. Our prediction for Atletico Madrid v Athletic Bilbao will be in the goals market and we will back over 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atletico Madrid Athletic Bilbao
| Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 1.8 | 2.1 | +16.7% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.25 | -9.7% |
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 4.33 | 3.5 | -19.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 9.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 27.8% and is now 30.8% (3.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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