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Spain - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
01/03/2025 14:00
Athletic Bilbao

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5

 
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Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga

 by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions

Atletico Madrid will welcome Athletic Bilbao when the Spanish La Liga enters matchday 26. The two teams sit side by side in the standings with Atletico in third edging fourth-placed Bilbao by five points. Our prediction for this match is below.

Atletico Madrid have accumulated 53 points after winning 15 and drawing eight of their 25 fixtures. This record has them just a point below the joint league leaders Barcelona and Real Madrid.

Diego Simeone’s men, who won the reverse match 1-0 back in August, arrive for this match having not lost in nine games. Atleti, who hammered Valencia 3-0 in the league last weekend, are coming off a 4-4 draw in the Copa del Rey away to Barcelona.

Athletic Bilbao are also putting their own unbeaten run on the line this weekend in the capital. Ernesto Valverde’s men haven’t lost in six matches.

The Lions, who have won three times in this stretch, produced one of the biggest results this season last weekend. Bilbao, playing at home against rock bottom side Valladolid, produced a 7-1 thumping.

Nico Williams scored twice in the game and was the only player with more than one goal. Bilbao have racked up 48 points thanks to 13 wins and nine draws.

The Best Betting Odds for Atletico Madrid v Athletic Bilbao Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2 3.5 3.7
Betfred
2.05 3.4 3.6
Ladbrokes
2.37 2.37 3.7
1xbet
2.06 3.58 3.99
22bet
2.06 3.58 3.99
Betobet
2.05 3.4 3.7
Betwinner
1.98 3.44 3.84
LSbet
1.98 3.44 3.84
Stake
2.07 3.45 3.8
Melbet
2 3.44 3.8
Tonybet
2.07 3.4 3.75
Vbet
2.04 3.47 3.89
Betway
2 3.4 3.75
Unibet
1.97 3.4 3.75
Betfair
1.8 3.4 4.5
Betsson
2.05 3.5 3.75
William Hill
2 3.4 3.8
Check all Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico Madrid and Athletic Bilbao?

Our prediction for the Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao match is: over 2.5.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/03/2025 between Atletico Madrid and Athletic Bilbao in LaLiga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.8% for a win of Atletico Madrid against Athletic Bilbao with odds of 2.37 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao is 34.38% with odds of 3.58 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 25.81% chance ⭐ for a win of Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid with odds of 4.5 at Betfair.

Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Form

Atletico Madrid and Athletic Bilbao's standings in the LaLiga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
53 25 15 8 2 26
4
Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao
48 25 13 9 3 22

Atletico Madrid and Athletic Bilbao Last Matches

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid Last matches
W W D D W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

25 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey

Barcelona
4 :  4
Atletico Madrid

22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
0 :  3
Atletico Madrid

15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  1
Celta Vigo

8 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  1
Atletico Madrid

4 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey

Atletico Madrid
5 :  0
Getafe

1 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  0
Mallorca
W W D W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  1
Celta Vigo

4 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey

Atletico Madrid
5 :  0
Getafe

1 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  0
Mallorca

25 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  1
Villarreal

21 Jan 2025 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Bayer Leverkusen

12 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Osasuna
W L W D W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

25 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey

Barcelona
4 :  4
Atletico Madrid

22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
0 :  3
Atletico Madrid

8 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  1
Atletico Madrid

29 Jan 2025 - Champions League

Salzburg
1 :  4
Atletico Madrid

18 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Leganés
1 :  0
Atletico Madrid

15 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey

Elche
0 :  4
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao Last matches
D W D W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

23 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
7 :  1
Valladolid

16 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Espanyol
1 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

8 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
3 :  0
Girona

2 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Betis
2 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

30 Jan 2025 - Europa League

Athletic Bilbao
3 :  1
Viktoria Plzen

26 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  0
Leganés
L L D W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

23 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
7 :  1
Valladolid

8 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
3 :  0
Girona

30 Jan 2025 - Europa League

Athletic Bilbao
3 :  1
Viktoria Plzen

26 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  0
Leganés

16 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey

Athletic Bilbao
2 :  3
Osasuna

8 Jan 2025 - Super Cup

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  2
Barcelona
W D W L D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

16 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Espanyol
1 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

2 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Betis
2 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

22 Jan 2025 - Europa League

Besiktas Istanbul
4 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

19 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
1 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

4 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey

UD Logrones
0 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

21 Dec 2024 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Atletico Madrid

50 %

Draw

0 %

Athletic Bilbao

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
17%
BTTS
0.83
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.17
Goals scored (Team 2)
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5

31 Aug 2024 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  1
Atletico Madrid

27 Apr 2024 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

29 Feb 2024 - Copa del Rey

Athletic Bilbao
3 :  0
Atletico Madrid

7 Feb 2024 - Copa del Rey

Atletico Madrid
0 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

16 Dec 2023 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
2 :  0
Atletico Madrid

19 Feb 2023 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Athletic Bilbao
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao last Lineups

Atletico Madrid

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

1
J. Musso
14
M. Llorente
2
J. Gimenez
15
C. Lenglet
21
J. Galan
22
G. Simeone
5
R. De Paul
8
B. Pablo
4
C. Gallagher
7
A. Griezmann
19
J. Alvarez
21
M. Sannadi
10
N. Williams
8
O. Sancet
9
I. Williams
23
M. Jauregizar
6
M. Vesga
17
Y. Berchiche
4
A. Paredes
3
D. Vivian
18
O. De Marcos
1
U. Simon

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Athletic Bilbao

Missing players

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Midfielder

Koke

Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao
Forward

A. Djalo

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Atletico Madrid
CD Huachipato Athletic Bilbao
Top Goalscorer
Argentina J. Alvarez (15 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Spain O. Sancet (14 Goals)
Best assists
France A. Griezmann (7 Assists)
Best assists
Ghana I. Williams (10 Assists)

Atletico Madrid and Athletic Bilbao Stats in LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao
60%
Victories
52%
32%
Draw
36%
8%
Defeats
12%
2.32
Total goals per match
2.64
1.68
Goals scored per match
1.76
0.64
Goals conceded per match
0.88
36%
Over 2.5
48%
64%
Under 2.5
52%
44%
BTTS
68%
48%
No goals conceded
28%

Atletico Madrid - Athletic Bilbao Key Points

  1. Four of Bilbao’s last five matches saw over 2.5 goals.
  2. Both Bilbao and Atleti have scored over 40 goals in the league this season.
  3. Two of the last three meetings between Bilbao and Atletico saw over 2.5 goals.
  4. Atletico have scored at least three goals a game four times in their last seven outings.

Our Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction

This should be a mouthwatering tie, one in which we expect to see a high goal-scoring outcome. Atletico and Bilbao are both in the title picture and sit bumper-to-bumper in the standings. The two teams’ title and European football aspirations add to the intensity of this encounter.

Both teams are also in good form and are putting their respective unbeaten runs on the line. Our prediction for Atletico Madrid v Athletic Bilbao will be in the goals market and we will back over 2.5.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction

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