Atletico Lanus vs Independiente Medellin Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa Sudamericana
by Joseph King in Football Predictions
Argentinian side Lanus hosts Colombian club Independiente Medellin for this first leg match in the Copa Sudamericana quarter-final. Let’s break down the key statistics and offer a prediction for this clash between Granate and El Rojo Paisa.
2013 champions Lanus won both legs against defending champions LDU Quito in their round of 16 matchup to secure a 5-2 aggregate win. Knocking off the holders is sure to give the side confidence as they reach the quarter-finals for the first time since making the final in the 2019/20 edition.
It’s been a middling season for Lanus in the Argentine Primera Division as they sit 13th with 19 points. Following their 3-1 home win over LDU Quito in the second leg, Lanus would go on to draw three straight league matches.
Their most recent outing ended in a 1-1 stalemate with Union de Santa Fe. The hosts are now unbeaten in their last six across all competitions, although only two resulted in victories.
This quarter-final appearance for Independiente Medellin represents their best ever finish in the Copa Sudamericana. It’s also the furthest they’ve gone in a continental club tournament since making the semi-finals of the 2002/03 Copa Libertadores.
The Colombians topped their group with a 4-1-1 record and recorded a 6-2 aggregate victory over Palestino in the round of 16. Domestically, Independiente Medellin have struggled early on in the Categoria A with just a single win and five draws from seven fixtures.
They come into the first leg off the back of a 1-1 away draw with Aguilas Doradas at the weekend.
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The Best Betting Odds for Atletico Lanus v Independiente Medellin Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.7 | 3.6 | 5.5 |
|
|
2.05 | 2.37 | 4.8 |
|
|
2.42 | 6.42 | 1.85 |
|
|
2.42 | 6.42 | 1.85 |
|
|
1.72 | 3.45 | 5 |
|
|
1.77 | 3.52 | 4.88 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.5 | 5.2 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.54 | 4.98 |
|
|
1.72 | 3.45 | 4.8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico Lanus and Independiente Medellin?
Our prediction for the Atletico Lanus vs Independiente Medellin match is: Over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/09/2024 between Atletico Lanus and Independiente Medellin in Copa Sudamericana :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.98% for a win of Atletico Lanus against Independiente Medellin with odds of 2.42 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico Lanus vs Independiente Medellin is 45.4% with odds of 6.42 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 12.61% chance ⭐ for a win of Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Lanus with odds of 5.5 at Bet365.
Atletico Lanus - Independiente Medellin Prediction and Best Odds:
| Atletico Lanus Independiente Medellin Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 45.4% | 6.42 at 1xbet |
| Under 2.5 | 56.13% | 2.06 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 76.19% | 2.2 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 19.68% | 4.75 at Bet365 |
Atletico Lanus vs Independiente Medellin Form
Atletico Lanus and Independiente Medellin Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sep 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
30 Aug 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
25 Aug 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
21 Aug 2024 - Copa Sudamericana
17 Aug 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
14 Aug 2024 - Copa Sudamericana
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Liga Postobon, Finalizacion
11 Sep 2024 - Copa Postobon, Knockout stage
8 Sep 2024 - Liga Postobon, Finalizacion
26 Aug 2024 - Liga Postobon, Finalizacion
21 Aug 2024 - Copa Sudamericana
14 Aug 2024 - Copa Sudamericana
Atletico Lanus against Independiente Medellin Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Atletico Lanus - Independiente Medellin Key Points
- Three of Lanus’ four home matches in the Copa Sudamericana have finished with over 2.5 goals.
- These two sides both rank in the top six in the entire competition in terms of goals scored.
- Independiente Medellin have netted 22 goals in their nine Sudamericana fixtures.
- The visitors have seen six of their last seven Sudamericana matches go over the 2.5 goals mark.
- Lanus see an average of 2.75 goals per match in his competition while Independiente Medellin have an average of 3.44.
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Our Atletico Lanus vs Independiente Medellin Prediction
We could be in for an entertaining first leg in Buenos Aires on Wednesday based on what we’ve seen from these two teams in this competition so far. Neither team has been shy of goals with them both ranking among the top-scoring sides in the tournament.
Lanus are deserved favourites and should be able to score a couple in this matchup. However, the visitors are definitely live for a goal themselves in a match that should finish at least 2-1. Our Lanus vs Independiente Medellin prediction: over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atletico Lanus Independiente Medellin
| Atletico Lanus vs Independiente Medellin | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Lanus wins | 1.8 | 1.7 | -5.6% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.6 | +5.9% |
| Independiente Medellin wins | 4.75 | 5.5 | +15.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 29.4% and is now 27.8% (-1.6%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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