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Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
by Kennedy Kechula in LaLiga Predictions
Two sides with tough starts to the season will meet this Wednesday when Athletic Bilbao hosts Valencia in La Liga. Both are seeking first wins of the season, and are separated by just a point after two rounds. Read on for our prediction for this match.
Hosts Athletic have so far not shown flashes of their successful 2023/24 campaign. Los Leones started off with a 1-1 draw at home to Getafe before falling 2-1 to Barcelona. Oihan Sancet’s penalty temporarily raised hopes that they could shock Barcelona who had gone ahead through Lamine Yamal.
However, the Basque side’s hopes were dashed when Robert Lewandowski grabbed a 75th minute winner. Athletic will now return home hoping for a first win in three against Valencia. Their ambitions will be boosted by a 19-game unbeaten league run at home.
Valencia are one of two teams without a point after two matches. They opened their season with a 2-1 loss at home to Barcelona. That was followed by a 3-1 away loss at Celta Vigo.
A second straight away game doesn’t promise things will get easier for Valencia. It could get even tougher with Villarreal and Atletico Madrid lined up next. Ruben Baraja must just get his charges to winning ways early enough.
They beat Athletic in the last meeting, winning 1-0 at home but that is their only victory in this fixture in the last six meetings. Los Che haven't won away to Athletic in their last six visits and this further complicates matters.
Their own away form in La Liga doesn’t look good, Valencia being winless in the last four matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for Athletic Bilbao v Valencia Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.01 | 23 | 501 |
|
|
1.57 | 3.9 | 6 |
|
|
1.03 | 7.79 | 30 |
|
|
1.03 | 7.79 | 30 |
|
|
1.74 | 3.6 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.69 | 3.72 | 5.2 |
|
|
1.69 | 3.72 | 5.2 |
|
|
1.01 | 15.25 | 100 |
|
|
1.58 | 3.92 | 5.95 |
|
|
1.6 | 4 | 6 |
|
|
1.03 | 14 | 301 |
|
|
1 | 34 | 401 |
|
|
1.57 | 3.95 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.05 | 12 | 301 |
|
|
1.68 | 3.75 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.6 | 5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Athletic Bilbao and Valencia?
Our prediction for the Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia match is: Athletic Bilbao to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/08/2024 between Athletic Bilbao and Valencia in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.64% for a win of Athletic Bilbao against Valencia with odds of 1.74 at Betobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia is 37.56% with odds of 34 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.79% chance ⭐ for a win of Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao with odds of 501 at Bet365.
Athletic Bilbao - Valencia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Athletic Bilbao Valencia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 39.64% | 1.74 at Betobet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.73% | 12 at Betway |
| Both Team To Score | 78.33% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Athletic Bilbao/Athletic Bilbao | 17.54% | 6 at Betfair |
Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia Form
Athletic Bilbao and Valencia's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
20 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
|
20
|
7 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -9 |
Athletic Bilbao and Valencia Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
15 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2024 - LaLiga
11 May 2024 - LaLiga
19 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
14 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
17 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2024 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
28 May 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 May 2024 - LaLiga
16 May 2024 - LaLiga
Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
29 Oct 2023 - LaLiga
11 Feb 2023 - LaLiga
26 Jan 2023 - Copa del Rey
21 Aug 2022 - LaLiga
7 May 2022 - LaLiga
Athletic Bilbao against Valencia Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
U. Simon
M. Diakhaby
Most goals and assists
Athletic Bilbao
Valencia
O. Sancet
(5 Goals)
, 
I. Williams
(5 Goals)
H. Duro
(2 Goals)
A. Berenguer
(5 Assists)
D. Lopez
(1 Assists)
,
R. Mir
(1 Assists)
,
Pepelu
(1 Assists)
,
J. Gaya
(1 Assists)
Athletic Bilbao - Valencia Key Points
- Valencia have no win in four away league matches.
- In nine away league matches Valencia lost six times.
- Last season in La Liga, Valencia won just five away matches.
- In 19 home league games Athletic are unbeaten, winning 12 times.
- Athletic Bilbao are unbeaten in six matches at home against Valencia.
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Our Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia Prediction
Athletic Bilbao came close to getting at least four points in their opening two matches and will want to get it right at home. They have a good run in the league at San Mames Barria, being unbeaten in the last 19 matches there.
In this game, they welcome a side that hasn’t just lost both opening matches, but has also struggled away from home.
Valencia have no win in their last six matches away to Athletic and this will be another tough game for them. Our prediction for Athletic Bilbao v Valencia is for Athletic Bilbao to win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Athletic Bilbao Valencia
| Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 1.57 | 1.01 | -35.7% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 23 | +505.3% |
| Valencia wins | 6 | 501 | +8,250.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Athletic Bilbao is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 35.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 63.7% and is now 99.0% (35.3%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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