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Athletic Bilbao vs Roma Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
by Devesh Jaganath in Europa League Predictions
Athletic Bilbao and Roma will resume their Europa League round of 16 clash in the second leg on Thursday evening at San Mames Barria. The winner of this last 16 tie between Los Leones and I Giallorossi will move on to face either Rangers or Fenabahce in the quarter-final. Check out our match prediction below!
The hosts have it all to do this week after losing the first leg of this tie 2-1 at Stadio Olimpico. Athletic Club have won eight of their last 10 home games against Italian opposition in all European competitions (W8 D1 L1). Roma, on the other hand, have not fared well in this part of the world, managing only two wins in their last 12 away games in Spain.
A look at the latest odds shows that bookmakers fancy Los Leones to win this match, but they still have the visitors installed as the favourites to qualify for the last eight. Let’s take a look at the key stats.
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The Best Betting Odds for Athletic Bilbao v Roma Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.9 | 3.6 | 4 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.75 | 4 |
|
|
2.2 | 2.45 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.96 | 3.67 | 4.32 |
|
|
1.96 | 3.67 | 4.32 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.6 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.5 | 4.16 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.5 | 4.16 |
|
|
1.96 | 3.6 | 4 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.5 | 4.16 |
|
|
1.97 | 3.55 | 3.95 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.4 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.92 | 3.5 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.5 | 4 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.65 | 4.3 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Athletic Bilbao and Roma?
Our prediction for the Athletic Bilbao vs Roma match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/03/2025 between Athletic Bilbao and Roma in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.54% for a win of Athletic Bilbao against Roma with odds of 2.2 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Athletic Bilbao vs Roma is 27.26% with odds of 3.75 at Betfred.
- Our prediction model gives a 43.2% chance ⭐ for a win of Roma vs Athletic Bilbao with odds of 4.32 at 1xbet.
Athletic Bilbao vs Roma Form
Athletic Bilbao and Roma Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
23 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
16 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
8 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
23 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
8 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
26 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
16 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
16 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
2 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
22 Jan 2025 - Europa League
19 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Mar 2025 - Serie A
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
2 Mar 2025 - Serie A
24 Feb 2025 - Serie A
20 Feb 2025 - Europa League
16 Feb 2025 - Serie A
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
2 Mar 2025 - Serie A
24 Feb 2025 - Serie A
20 Feb 2025 - Europa League
2 Feb 2025 - Serie A
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Mar 2025 - Serie A
16 Feb 2025 - Serie A
13 Feb 2025 - Europa League
9 Feb 2025 - Serie A
5 Feb 2025 - Coppa Italia
26 Jan 2025 - Serie A
Athletic Bilbao vs Roma Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
26 Sep 2024 - Europa League
Athletic Bilbao - Roma: Form Analysis
Athletic Bilbao were made to rue missed opportunities in the first leg when they registered 16 attempts, but only one of those was on target and led to the goal.
Los Leones followed up that match with another underwhelming performance over the weekend, drawing 1-1 with Mallorca - their third consecutive match without victory in all competitions.
However, the hosts have won all four of their home UEFA Europa League matches this season, marking their longest winning run at San Mames in European competition since 2011-12.
Athletic Club have kept clean sheets in three of their four Europa League home games!
Meanwhile, Roma continued their magnificent home form in this competition last week, with that victory marking the fourth time they scored two or more goals at Stadio Olimpico.
I Giallorossi have progressed from each of their last nine major European knockout ties after winning the first leg, dating back to a 4-3 aggregate loss to Porto in the 2018-19 Champions League.
However, the visitors have not won a single away game in this season’s Europa League, splitting their four League Phase outings two draws and two defeats before a 1-1 stalemate against Porto in the playoffs.
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Athletic Bilbao vs Roma last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
D. Vivian
ForwardA. Djalo
Athletic Bilbao & Roma Squad Analysis
Athletic Bilbao will have to make do without the services of veteran defender Yeray Alvarez this week after he was shown a red card in the final five minutes of the first-leg encounter.
The hosts' Europa League top scorer Inaki Williams has netted five goals now for Bilbao this season - the joint most that a Ghanaian player has recorded in a single major European season.
Four of Inaki Williams’ five goals in this competition have come in away games!
Roma are understood to be sweating over the fitness of Argentine international Paulo Dybala, who missed the weekend’s victory over Empoli due to reported physical discomfort.
Manu Kone has done a stellar job carrying the ball in midfield for the hosts in this competition. The French midfielder is the fifth-most fouled player in the Europa League this season (23 fouls suffered).
Most goals and assists
Athletic Bilbao
Roma
O. Sancet
(14 Goals)
A. Dovbyk
(11 Goals)
I. Williams
(10 Assists)
P. Dybala
(4 Assists)
Athletic Bilbao and Roma Stats in Europa League
Athletic Bilbao - Roma Key Points
- Seven of Athletic Bilbao’s last 10 games across all competitions have ended with both teams scoring.
- Each of Athletic Bilbao’s last three Europa League matches have ended with both teams scoring.
- Athletic Bilbao have scored two or more goals in three of their four home games in this competition.
- Each of Roma’s last three Europa League matches have ended with both teams scoring.
- Roma have failed to keep an away clean sheet in the Europa League this season.
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Our Athletic Bilbao vs Roma Prediction
Last week, we saw a total of 28 shots at goal between these sides, and with both teams giving some of their key players the weekend off, they should be fresh and firing again in this concluding chapter.
Roma have been in fine goal-scoring form of late, netting two or more in all but one of their last five matches, while Athletic Club have yet to be shut out when playing at San Mames Barria in this competition. Therefore, our Athletic Bilbao vs Roma prediction is both teams to score.
Athletic Bilbao vs Roma - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5
Five of Athletic Bilbao’s last six Europa League games have ended with over 2.5 goals, while Roma have scored two or more goals in four of their last five matches ahead of this one.
A red card to be shown
A player was sent off in three of Athletic Bilbao’s last four Europa League games and in four of Roma’s last six games in this competition.
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Athletic Bilbao vs Roma match : Frequently asked questions
The Europa League match between Athletic Bilbao and Roma will be played on March 13 at 17:45 GMT.
The Europa League match between Athletic Bilbao and Roma will take place at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano in Madrid.
The Europa League match between Athletic Bilbao and Roma will be broadcast on TNT Sports in the UK. Spanish viewers can tune in to Telefonica, while Sky will broadcast the match in Italy.
Alternatively, you can keep up to the minute with all the action using our Europa League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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