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Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
by Daniel Ngulu in LaLiga Predictions
Real Madrid have slashed down their deficit against Barcelona and are even in line to go top of La Liga in midweek. Los Blancos will be traveling to Athletic Bilbao for their next league game scheduled for Wednesday. Read on for our prediction of this match.
Los Leones, like Real Madrid, have high ambitions for this game. Placed fourth, their best guarantee to stay there is by winning this match and Bilbao will target just that.
With a nine-match unbeaten run they’ll be confident of downing Real. At home they are unbeaten in eight matches, winning six.
Real Madrid have a game in hand on Barcelona and trail them by just a point. While they have gained nine points off their last three matches, Barcelona managed just one point in the same period.
The visitors have had a mixed run in the defence of their two titles. They are struggling in Europe, but things have picked up well domestically. They come into this match having registered three straight wins and clean sheets in La Liga.
The champions have one loss in 46 La Liga matches. Against Bilbao, they haven't lost in 18 league matches. In three of the last four, Real Madrid won without conceding.
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The Best Betting Odds for Athletic Bilbao v Real Madrid Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.4 | 3.3 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.3 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.69 | 3.37 | 2.16 |
|
|
3.69 | 3.37 | 2.16 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.35 | 2.35 |
|
|
3.35 | 3.4 | 2.28 |
|
|
3.18 | 3.38 | 2.26 |
|
|
3.35 | 3.45 | 2.22 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.3 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.4 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.25 | 3.3 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.45 | 3.47 | 2.26 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.3 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.35 | 2.23 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Athletic Bilbao and Real Madrid?
Our prediction for the Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid match is: Real Madrid win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/12/2024 between Athletic Bilbao and Real Madrid in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.03% for a win of Athletic Bilbao against Real Madrid with odds of 3.69 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid is 19.64% with odds of 3.47 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.33% chance ⭐ for a win of Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao with odds of 2.35 at Betobet.
Athletic Bilbao - Real Madrid Prediction and Best Odds:
| Athletic Bilbao Real Madrid Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 48.03% | 3.69 at 1xbet |
| Under 2.5 | 61.3% | 2.06 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 35.83% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Athletic Bilbao | 18.78% | 7.5 at Betfair |
Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid Form
Athletic Bilbao and Real Madrid's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
46 | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 27 |
|
4
|
39 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 13 |
Athletic Bilbao and Real Madrid Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
28 Nov 2024 - Europa League
24 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
10 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
7 Nov 2024 - Europa League
3 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Nov 2024 - Europa League
24 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
3 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
24 Oct 2024 - Europa League
19 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
3 Oct 2024 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
10 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
7 Nov 2024 - Europa League
28 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
6 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
26 Sep 2024 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
24 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
9 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
5 Nov 2024 - Champions League
26 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
9 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
5 Nov 2024 - Champions League
26 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
5 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
24 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
19 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
29 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
14 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
31 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
12 Aug 2023 - LaLiga
4 Jun 2023 - LaLiga
22 Jan 2023 - LaLiga
3 Feb 2022 - Copa del Rey
16 Jan 2022 - Super Cup
Players list
J. Agirrezabala
DefenderO. De Marcos
D. Vivian
Y. Alvarez
MidfielderY. Berchiche
M. Jauregizar
I. Ruiz De Galarreta
U. Gomez
ForwardI. Williams
N. Williams
G. Guruzeta
T. Courtois
DefenderA. Guler
R. Asencio
A. Rudiger
F. Mendy
MidfielderF. Valverde
L. Modric
B. Diaz
J. Bellingham
ForwardEndrick
K. Mbappe
Substitutes
U. Simon
DefenderY. Berchiche
O. De Marcos
U. Nunez
A. Paredes
I. Lekue
MidfielderI. Ruiz De Galarreta
U. Gomez
M. Vesga
ForwardA. Djalo
N. Serrano
G. Guruzeta
A. Lunin
S. Mestre
DefenderL. Aguado
F. Mendy
J. Vallejo
MidfielderL. Modric
A. Guler
G. Torres
B. Diaz
Endrick
Most goals and assists
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
I. Williams
(8 Goals)
, 
O. Sancet
(8 Goals)
K. Mbappe
(14 Goals)
I. Williams
(7 Assists)
V. Junior
(6 Assists)
, 
J. Bellingham
(6 Assists)
Athletic Bilbao - Real Madrid Key Points
- Real Madrid have three straight wins, all with clean sheets.
- Real Madrid have lost only once in their last 46 La Liga matches.
- Athletic Bilbao are winless in 19 league meetings with Real Madrid.
- In five of seven home matches against Real Madrid, Bilbao lost without scoring.
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Our Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid Prediction
Real Madrid are coming into this game on a strong run, and we could say the same about Athletic Bilbao. However, Real Madrid are on a better run, having lost just once in their last 46 La Liga matches. Los Blancos will be unfazed about playing away from home, having dominated Athletic Club home and away.
The visitors have mostly won their recent matches with clean sheets and it has also been the case in most away games at Bilbao. Our prediction for Athletic Bilbao v Real Madrid is for Real Madrid to win to nil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Athletic Bilbao Real Madrid
| Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 3.6 | 3.4 | -5.6% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.3 | -5.7% |
| Real Madrid wins | 2 | 2.2 | +10.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Athletic Bilbao is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 5.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 27.8% and is now 29.4% (1.6%)
Use £30 free bets for the Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Madrid game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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