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by Sridhar in LaLiga Predictions
Athletic Bilbao will continue their search for a goal as they host Rayo Vallecano in a La Liga matchday 31 fixture on Sunday. This match at San Mames between the fourth-placed Lions and the ninth-placed Red Sashes comes with our prediction of under 2.5 goals.
With 54 points, Athletic are comfortable in fourth place with a six-point lead over Villarreal. Vallecano have 40 points and are three points outside the top seven places and an outside bet to qualify for Europe.
A 0-0 draw at Ibrox against the Rangers in the Europa League on Thursday meant Athletic have now recorded three successive 0-0 draws. That said, four clean sheets in a row are a reason why they are unbeaten in six competitive matches.
While the next week’s second leg casts a shadow over their preparations, Athletic will be comfortable knowing they are unbeaten in seven home matches in a row.
Vallecano were thrashed 4-0 at home by Espanyol last weekend, but that only continued their poor recent run. They had just one win from their last seven league matches, losing four and drawing two.
This sequence has pulled them down in the race for Europe, and Vallecano hope to find a second away league win in a row for the first time this season.
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The Best Betting Odds for Athletic Bilbao v Rayo Vallecano Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.83 | 3.1 | 5 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.2 | 4.6 |
|
|
2.2 | 2.25 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.15 | 5 |
|
|
1.88 | 3.2 | 5.37 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Athletic Bilbao and Rayo Vallecano?
Our prediction for the Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano match is: under
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/04/2025 between Athletic Bilbao and Rayo Vallecano in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.84% for a win of Athletic Bilbao against Rayo Vallecano with odds of 2.2 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano is 29.45% with odds of 3.4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 13.71% chance ⭐ for a win of Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao with odds of 5.4 at Vbet.
Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano Prediction and Best Odds:
| Athletic Bilbao Rayo Vallecano Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 56.84% | 2.2 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 51.34% | 2.13 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 52.92% | 2.2 at Betway |
| Half-time / Full-time : Athletic Bilbao/Athletic Bilbao | 28.22% | 3.1 at Betfair |
Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano Form
Athletic Bilbao and Rayo Vallecano's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
57 | 31 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 24 |
|
10
|
40 | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | -4 |
Athletic Bilbao and Rayo Vallecano Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Apr 2025 - Europa League
6 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
30 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
25 May 2024 - LaLiga
2 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
5 Mar 2023 - LaLiga
17 Sep 2022 - LaLiga
23 Jan 2022 - LaLiga
Athletic Bilbao against Rayo Vallecano Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
Y. Berchiche
A. Mumin
MidfielderJ. Montiel
ForwardS. Camello
Most goals and assists
Athletic Bilbao
Rayo Vallecano
O. Sancet
(16 Goals)
J. De Frutos
(4 Goals)
, 
P. Ciss
(4 Goals)
I. Williams
(10 Assists)
,
A. Berenguer
(10 Assists)
A. Garcia
(5 Assists)
Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano Key Points
- Athletic (2.33) and Rayo (2.27) average among the lowest five clubs in terms of goals this league season.
- Over the last eight La Liga matches, Athletic (2.13) and Rayo (2.25) average the lowest goals per match.
- Athletic’s last three matches in all competitions ended 0-0 draws.
- Four of Vallecano’s last five away league matches produced two or fewer goals.
- Athletic kept six clean sheets at home in this league season, the joint second best.
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Our Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction
Athletic Club went a third game without scoring, as a 0-0 draw at Rangers in the Europa League quarter-final first leg made it a third such score in a row. Their impressive defensive record continues to bail them out and could do so once again in this match. Four clean sheets in their last six home La Liga matches indicate it could be a tough outing for Rayo to get off the blocks. Goals could be scarce here, and our Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano prediction is under 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Athletic Bilbao Rayo Vallecano
| Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 1.62 | 1.83 | +13.0% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.1 | -13.9% |
| Rayo Vallecano wins | 6.5 | 5 | -23.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Athletic Bilbao is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 13.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 61.7% and is now 54.6% (-7.1%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Athletic Bilbao vs. Rayo Vallecano game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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