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Athletic Bilbao vs Leganés Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
by Daniel Ngulu in LaLiga Predictions
Athletic Bilbao will host Leganes as they continue with the push for a top four place in La Liga. The two sides are on opposite ends of the league standings, Bilbao fourth and Leganes 15th. We have below a prediction for this match.
Things haven't been great for Bilbao in recent times. They come here having lost three of their last four matches. The most recent of those was a 4-1 away defeat at Besiktas in the Europa League.
In each of those defeats, Bilbao have registered a worrying trend of conceding at least twice. In four matches they conceded 10 times.
Leganes are carrying into this game great form and will be confident of shocking Athletic Bilbao. The last time Leganes visited the San Mames Barria, they emerged 2-0 winners. That, however, was a rare win.
In this fixture they suffered defeat in four of the last six meetings. There’s some impetus though, from Leganes coming into this game. They are unbeaten in their last four matches.
The most recent of those was a big one, as they defeated title chasers Atletico Madrid 1-0. Their away run is also impressive, coming into this match undefeated in six and will be confident of getting a positive result.
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The Best Betting Odds for Athletic Bilbao v Leganés Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.36 | 4.5 | 10 |
|
|
1.36 | 4.6 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.65 | 2.75 | 7 |
|
|
1.41 | 4.61 | 9.84 |
|
|
1.41 | 4.61 | 9.84 |
|
|
1.38 | 4.7 | 10 |
|
|
1.35 | 4.8 | 9.7 |
|
|
1.35 | 4.8 | 9.7 |
|
|
1.38 | 4.9 | 9.8 |
|
|
1.34 | 4.84 | 10 |
|
|
1.38 | 4.9 | 9.4 |
|
|
1.34 | 4.5 | 11 |
|
|
1.3 | 4.4 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.36 | 5 | 10 |
|
|
1.38 | 4.4 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.37 | 4.7 | 10 |
|
|
1.38 | 4.5 | 9 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Athletic Bilbao and Leganés?
Our prediction for the Athletic Bilbao vs Leganés match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/01/2025 between Athletic Bilbao and Leganés in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.51% for a win of Athletic Bilbao against Leganés with odds of 1.65 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Athletic Bilbao vs Leganés is 23.13% with odds of 5 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.36% chance ⭐ for a win of Leganés vs Athletic Bilbao with odds of 11 at Unibet.
Athletic Bilbao - Leganés Prediction and Best Odds:
| Athletic Bilbao Leganés Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 44.51% | 1.65 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 50.87% | 2 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 55% | 2.5 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Athletic Bilbao | 21.98% | 3.9 at Unibet |
Athletic Bilbao vs Leganés Form
Athletic Bilbao and Leganés's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
40 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 13 |
|
16
|
23 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | -10 |
Athletic Bilbao and Leganés Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jan 2025 - Europa League
19 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
16 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
8 Jan 2025 - Super Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
21 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
8 Jan 2025 - Super Cup
8 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
4 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
28 Nov 2024 - Europa League
24 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jan 2025 - Europa League
19 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
4 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
21 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
15 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
11 Dec 2024 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
15 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
11 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
5 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
22 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
15 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
22 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
8 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
24 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
9 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
27 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
11 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
5 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
15 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
4 Dec 2024 - Copa del Rey
30 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
Athletic Bilbao vs Leganés Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
16 Jul 2020 - LaLiga
25 Sep 2019 - LaLiga
24 Apr 2019 - LaLiga
20 Aug 2018 - LaLiga
11 Mar 2018 - LaLiga
Athletic Bilbao against Leganés Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Most goals and assists
Athletic Bilbao
Leganés
O. Sancet
(8 Goals)
, 
I. Williams
(8 Goals)
J. Cruz
(4 Goals)
I. Williams
(7 Assists)
D. Raba
(4 Assists)
Athletic Bilbao - Leganés Key Points
- Athletic Bilbao’s last five matches produced 15 goals.
- Each of Bilbao’s last three matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Leganes’ last five away matches averaged three goals.
- Three times in the last five, Leganes’ matches had over 2.5 goals.
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Our Athletic Bilbao vs Leganés Prediction
This match brings together two sides in contrasting form but both coming off high-scoring matches. Ordinarily, Leganes would come into the match as underdogs, but will be pumped up off the back of a fine run.
Bilbao have been off form but will feel this is a winnable game. Looking at the number of goals scored in both teams’ matches the goals market looks tempting here. Our prediction for Athletic Bilbao v Leganes is over 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Athletic Bilbao Leganés
| Athletic Bilbao vs Leganés | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 1.36 | 1.36 | 0% |
| Draw | 5 | 4.5 | -10.0% |
| Leganés wins | 7.5 | 10 | +33.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Athletic Bilbao is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 73.5% and is now 73.5% (0.0%)
Use £30 free bets for the Athletic Bilbao vs. Leganés game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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