Spain - Super Cup
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Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona Prediction & Betting Tips - Super Cup
by Devesh Jaganath | in Football Predictions
Athletic Bilbao and Barcelona will head to the King Abdullah Sports City in Saudi Arabia to face off in the semi-final of the Spanish Super Cup on Wednesday evening. The winner of this match will move on to meet either Real Madrid or Mallorca in the grand final on January 12. Check out our match prediction below.
Athletic Bilbao will be returning to the Super Cup for the first time since 2021 when they went on to win the competition, beating Barcelona in the final 3-2 after extra time.
Los Leones come into this match in excellent form, currently unbeaten in their last 15 matches across all competitions, including 11 wins and four draws, dating back to the start of October.
During their active unbeaten streak, Athletic have only failed to score in two matches, and picked up notable scalps along the way, such as Real Madrid and Real Sociedad.
Meanwhile, Barcelona were beaten finalists in this competition last season and have only lifted the Super Cup title once since it was revamped to a four-team format back in 2020.
Blaugrana will see this as a must-win competition too, having experienced a significant dip in form in La Liga ahead of the festive break when they lost back-to-back matches and the lead in the league standings.
However, the Catalans did beat this opponent in the top flight earlier this season and have only lost one of their last six encounters with them across all competitions.
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The Best Betting Odds for Athletic Bilbao v Barcelona Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.9 | 4 | 1.8 |
|
|
3.75 | 3.6 | 1.8 |
|
|
3.8 | 2.62 | 2.1 |
|
|
4.27 | 4.05 | 1.87 |
|
|
4.27 | 4.05 | 1.87 |
|
|
4.1 | 4 | 1.82 |
|
|
4.06 | 3.86 | 1.82 |
|
|
4.06 | 3.86 | 1.82 |
|
|
4 | 3.95 | 1.86 |
|
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4.06 | 3.86 | 1.82 |
|
|
4.2 | 4.1 | 1.83 |
|
|
4 | 3.9 | 1.75 |
|
|
4.2 | 4 | 1.83 |
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3.9 | 3.7 | 1.85 |
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|
4.2 | 4.1 | 1.84 |
|
|
3.8 | 4 | 1.83 |
|
|
4.2 | 3.8 | 1.77 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Athletic Bilbao and Barcelona?
Our prediction for the Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona match is: both team to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/01/2025 between Athletic Bilbao and Barcelona in Super Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.58% for a win of Athletic Bilbao against Barcelona with odds of 4.27 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona is 25.44% with odds of 4.1 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.98% chance ⭐ for a win of Barcelona vs Athletic Bilbao with odds of 2.1 at Ladbrokes.
Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona Prediction and Best Odds:
| Athletic Bilbao Barcelona Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 43.58% | 4.27 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.3% | 1.67 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 50.83% | 1.62 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Athletic Bilbao | 17.25% | 9.5 at Betfair |
Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona Form
Athletic Bilbao and Barcelona Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
21 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
15 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
11 Dec 2024 - Europa League
8 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
4 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
4 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
28 Nov 2024 - Europa League
24 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
3 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
24 Oct 2024 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
21 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
15 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
11 Dec 2024 - Europa League
1 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
10 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
21 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
15 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
7 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
3 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
15 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
30 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
3 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
7 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
3 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
23 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
10 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
24 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
3 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
24 Jan 2024 - Copa del Rey
22 Oct 2023 - LaLiga
12 Mar 2023 - LaLiga
23 Oct 2022 - LaLiga
Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona Key Points
- Athletic Bilbao have scored two or more goals in six of their last eight matches across all competitions.
- Athletic Bilbao have only failed to score in two of their last 22 matches.
- Five of Barcelona’s last seven matches across all competitions have ended with both teams scoring.
- Barcelona have only kept two clean sheets in their last 12 matches.
- Both teams have scored in two of the last three matches between these sides.
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Our Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona Prediction
After a blistering start to the season, Barcelona experienced a notable drop-off in the final two months of the year, managing just four wins in their final 10 games leading up to the December break.
In contrast, Athletic Bilbao were in great shape leading up to the festive break and will feel that they are in with a genuine chance of pulling off an upset here given their recent form. This should be a close contest and we feel that both sides will be able to find the back of the net. Our Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona prediction is both team to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Athletic Bilbao Barcelona
| Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 3.8 | 3.9 | +2.6% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 4 | +5.3% |
| Barcelona wins | 1.85 | 1.8 | -2.7% |
At 2 hours before kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Athletic Bilbao is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 26.3% and is now 25.6% (-0.7%)
Use £30 free bets for the Athletic Bilbao vs. Barcelona game!
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Try your luck on this year's Super Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of £10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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