Spain - Copa del Rey
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Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa del Rey
by Sridhar | in Football Predictions
After a tight first leg that separated the teams by just one goal, Athletic Bilbao and Atletico Madrid face off in the second leg of the Copa del Rey semi-final. This leg will be played at the Estadio San Mamés on Thursday, with the winner going on to face the winner of the first semi-final between Mallorca and Real Sociedad. A first-half penalty from Alex Berenguer was the difference between the two sides when they met earlier in the month in Madrid. The hosts are looking for their first Copa final since 2020/21 and will be buoyed by that performance in the first leg. Interestingly, that win was their first over Atletico in this competition since the final in 1956, so the odds are definitely stacked up against them in this leg. They didn’t do themselves any favors by falling to a 3-1 loss to Real Betis over the weekend, marring their preparations.
Atletico won this competition in 2012/13, but they are making their first semi-final appearance in the Copa del Rey since 2016/17. They are coming off a 2-2 draw with Almeria in the league competition, which leaves them with just a single win across six competitive matches. The visitors are likely to give it their all, as this competition remains their only realistic chance of silverware this season. They are 13 points behind their city rivals Real Madrid in the league, which almost rules out the possibility of winning silverware. Even in the Champions League, they lost the first leg to Inter Milan, and their chances look bleak, increasing their focus on this competition. Their away form is probably not one to gloat about, as Atletico have won just two of their last ten away competitive matches. This sequence saw them lose six and draw two games, so the home fans will be quietly confident of another surprise result.
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The Best Betting Odds for Athletic Bilbao v Atletico Madrid Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.55 | 3.25 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.25 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.55 | 3.25 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.57 | 3.2 | 2.72 |
|
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2.63 | 3.25 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.63 | 3.25 | 2.7 |
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|
2.41 | 3.18 | 3.1 |
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2.41 | 3.18 | 3.1 |
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2.55 | 2.9 | 2.75 |
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2.39 | 3.2 | 3.11 |
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2.7 | 3.4 | 2.65 |
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2.61 | 3.45 | 2.76 |
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|
2.6 | 3.25 | 2.63 |
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|
2.55 | 3.25 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.65 | 3.3 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.55 | 3.2 | 2.8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Athletic Bilbao and Atletico Madrid?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/02/2024 between Athletic Bilbao and Atletico Madrid in Copa del Rey :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 61.97% for a win of Athletic Bilbao against Atletico Madrid with odds of 2.7 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid is 17.71% with odds of 3.45 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 20.32% chance ⭐ for a win of Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao with odds of 3.11 at Melbet.
Athletic Bilbao - Atletico Madrid Prediction and Best Odds:
| Athletic Bilbao Atletico Madrid Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 61.97% | 2.7 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 61.28% | 1.85 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 41.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Athletic Bilbao | 26.89% | 19 at Betsson |
Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid Form
Athletic Bilbao and Atletico Madrid Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
19 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
12 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
7 Feb 2024 - Copa del Rey
2 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
28 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
2 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
24 Jan 2024 - Copa del Rey
16 Jan 2024 - Copa del Rey
13 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
20 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
12 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
7 Feb 2024 - Copa del Rey
28 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
20 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
7 Jan 2024 - Copa del Rey
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
20 Feb 2024 - Champions League
17 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
11 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
7 Feb 2024 - Copa del Rey
4 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
7 Feb 2024 - Copa del Rey
31 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
28 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
25 Jan 2024 - Copa del Rey
18 Jan 2024 - Copa del Rey
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
20 Feb 2024 - Champions League
11 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
4 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
22 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
10 Jan 2024 - Super Cup
Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Feb 2024 - Copa del Rey
16 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
19 Feb 2023 - LaLiga
15 Oct 2022 - LaLiga
30 Apr 2022 - LaLiga
13 Jan 2022 - Super Cup
Players list
J. Agirrezabala
DefenderR. Garcia
A. Paredes
Y. Alvarez
D. Vivian
MidfielderD. Garcia
U. Gomez
B. Prados
ForwardN. Williams
R. Garcia
A. Berenguer
J. Oblak
DefenderP. Barrios
R. Mandava
S. Savic
MidfielderS. Niguez
R. De Paul
M. Llorente
A. Witsel
ForwardA. Morata
M. Depay
R. Riquelme
Substitutes
U. Simon
DefenderM. Adu
Y. Alvarez
I. Garcia de Albeniz
MidfielderM. Vesga
I. Muniain
U. Gomez
D. Garcia
A. Berenguer
R. Garcia
A. Villalibre
H. Moldovan
A. Gomis
DefenderG. Paulista
R. Mandava
S. El Hannouni
A. Vermeeren
S. Niguez
R. Riquelme
P. Barrios
M. Depay
Missing players
Y. Berchiche
MidfielderA. Herrera
T. Lemar
Most goals and assists
Athletic Bilbao
Atletico Madrid
G. Guruzeta
(14 Goals)
A. Griezmann
(22 Goals)
N. Williams
(11 Assists)
S. Lino
(8 Assists)
,
A. Griezmann
(8 Assists)
Athletic Bilbao - Atletico Madrid Key Points
- Athletic Bilbao are unbeaten in six of their last seven matches in all competitions
- At home, in all competitions, Athletic are unbeaten across their last 14 matches
- Athletic have won their last nine matches at this venue in all competitions
- Atletico Madrid have failed to win five of their last six matches in all competitions
- Away from home, Atletico have won just two of their last ten competitive matches which includes six defeats
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Our Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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