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Athletic Bilbao vs Alavés Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
by Sridhar in LaLiga Predictions
It’s time for the Basque derby this weekend as Athletic Club welcomes Deportivo Alaves. This will be matchday 29 in La Liga and is set to be played at the San Mames Stadium in Bilbao on Saturday. The hosts are fifth in the standings after 28 matches with 53 points, while the visitors are 13th with 32 points. Athletic are only two points behind fourth-placed Atletico Madrid after a 2-0 win over Las Palmas last time and have a chance to get into the Champions League qualification spots temporarily. With Atletico having had to play penalties on Wednesday in the Champions League, they could be stretched physically in their match against Barcelona later in the week. This gives the hosts an opportunity to make the most of this matchday and get into the top four. Their record at this venue helps, as Athletic have won seven of their last eight home matches in La Liga.
Alaves are four points behind tenth-placed Osasuna, and a win here could get them closer to the top half. They defeated Rayo Vallecano 1-0 in the last round, which was their only win in six league games. That sequence saw them draw three matches, so it wasn’t all bad news for the visitors. They can be a handful on their day, as Sevilla found out in January, but Alaves have struggled on the road in recent times. They have failed to score in their last two away league matches, drawing 0-0 against Real Betis and losing 1-0 against Osasuna. It doesn’t help matters that they haven’t scored in four consecutive league matches against their derby rivals, including a 2-0 defeat in the reverse fixture.
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The Best Betting Odds for Athletic Bilbao v Alavés Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
---|---|---|---|---|
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1.6 | 3.6 | 6.5 |
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1.53 | 3.75 | 7 |
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1.53 | 3.75 | 7 |
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1.55 | 3.9 | 6.5 |
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1.6 | 4.09 | 6.78 |
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1.6 | 4.09 | 6.78 |
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1.55 | 3.96 | 6.45 |
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1.55 | 3.96 | 6.45 |
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1.57 | 3.95 | 6.8 |
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1.53 | 4 | 6.7 |
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1.57 | 3.95 | 6.8 |
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1.6 | 3.75 | 6 |
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1.5 | 4.1 | 6.75 |
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1.55 | 3.9 | 7.5 |
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1.57 | 4 | 6.5 |
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1.53 | 4.2 | 7.5 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Athletic Bilbao and Alavés?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/03/2024 between Athletic Bilbao and Alavés in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 55.2% for a win of Athletic Bilbao against Alavés with odds of 1.6 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Athletic Bilbao vs Alavés is 28.79% with odds of 4.2 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 16.01% chance ⭐ for a win of Alavés vs Athletic Bilbao with odds of 7.5 at Betfair.
Athletic Bilbao - Alavés Prediction and Best Odds:
Athletic Bilbao Alavés Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Athletic Bilbao wins | 55.2% | 1.6 at Bet365 |
Under 2.5 | 59.65% | 1.74 at 1xbet |
Both Team To Score | 31.25% | |
Half-time / Full-time : Athletic Bilbao/Athletic Bilbao | 22.8% | 2.45 at Ladbrokes |
Athletic Bilbao vs Alavés Form
Athletic Bilbao and Alavés's standings in the LaLiga
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5
|
68 | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 24 |
10
|
46 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | -10 |
Athletic Bilbao and Alavés Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
3 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
29 Feb 2024 - Copa del Rey
25 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
19 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
12 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
29 Feb 2024 - Copa del Rey
19 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
2 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
24 Jan 2024 - Copa del Rey
16 Jan 2024 - Copa del Rey
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
25 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
12 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
7 Feb 2024 - Copa del Rey
28 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
20 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
4 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
24 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
18 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
10 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
3 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
24 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
10 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
3 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
19 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
6 Jan 2024 - Copa del Rey
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
18 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
26 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
16 Jan 2024 - Copa del Rey
12 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
2 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
Athletic Bilbao vs Alavés Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Jan 2024 - Copa del Rey
22 Sep 2023 - LaLiga
9 Jan 2022 - LaLiga
1 Oct 2021 - LaLiga
10 Apr 2021 - LaLiga
4 Oct 2020 - LaLiga
Athletic Bilbao against Alavés Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Athletic Bilbao - Alavés Key Points
- Athletic have kept a clean sheet in their last four La Liga matches against Alaves
- Athletic have lost only two of their last 12 league matches, winning seven and drawing three
- At home, Athletic have won seven of their last eight league matches, drawing the other
- Alaves have failed to score in three of their last four away matches
- The last five league games involving Alaves have produced fewer than three goals
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Our Athletic Bilbao vs Alavés Prediction
The Basque derby has been lopsided this season, with Athletic defeating Alaves 2-0 in both La Liga and the Copa del Rey. The hosts have the extra incentive of putting pressure on the top four with a win. Alaves also have an incentive to bring their best to this trip, as a win could see them come closer to the top half of the league. Regardless, the poor scoring form of the visitors could come back to haunt them. Our prediction for Athletic Club vs Alaves is a win for Athletic.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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