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Atalanta vs Sturm Graz Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Steve Ashfield in Champions League Predictions
Atalanta still have a chance of automatically qualifying for the last 16 of the Champions League. They are 13th in the league phase with visitors Sturm Graz struggling down in 29th position. Can the Black and Blues boost their qualification hopes? Read our match prediction.
The Serie A side are in the seeded play-off positions but only two points adrift of the top eight. They are third in Serie A but have gone five league and cup games without a win. We'll look at this run in more depth in the form section of this preview. Their final game is at Barcelona.
Sturm Graz are still on their winter break but are top of the Austrian Bundesliga. That form hasn't been carried into the much tougher Champions League. Five of their six games in the league phase have been lost, the other a home win over Girona. They are five points adrift of the unseeded play-off positions and only a win in Italy will maintain their qualification hopes before a final home game against RB Leipzig.
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The Best Betting Odds for Atalanta v Sturm Graz Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.17 | 7.5 | 13 |
|
|
1.2 | 7 | 13 |
|
|
1.4 | 3.5 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.21 | 7.7 | 15 |
|
|
1.21 | 7.7 | 15 |
|
|
1.19 | 7 | 13.5 |
|
|
1.17 | 7.4 | 15 |
|
|
1.17 | 7.4 | 15 |
|
|
1.21 | 7.2 | 13 |
|
|
1.17 | 7.4 | 15 |
|
|
1.22 | 7 | 13 |
|
|
1.21 | 7.5 | 14 |
|
|
1.18 | 7 | 11 |
|
|
1.19 | 6.75 | 16 |
|
|
1.2 | 7 | 14 |
|
|
1.2 | 7.5 | 15 |
|
|
1.2 | 7 | 13 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Atalanta and Sturm Graz?
Our prediction for the Atalanta vs Sturm Graz match is: Atalanta to win and lead at half and full time.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/01/2025 between Atalanta and Sturm Graz in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.94% for a win of Atalanta against Sturm Graz with odds of 1.4 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atalanta vs Sturm Graz is 25.82% with odds of 7.7 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.24% chance ⭐ for a win of Sturm Graz vs Atalanta with odds of 16 at Unibet.
Atalanta vs Sturm Graz Form
Atalanta and Sturm Graz's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
13
|
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 |
|
29
|
3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 |
Atalanta and Sturm Graz Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2025 - Serie A
14 Jan 2025 - Serie A
11 Jan 2025 - Serie A
2 Jan 2025 - Super Cup
28 Dec 2024 - Serie A
22 Dec 2024 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2025 - Serie A
14 Jan 2025 - Serie A
22 Dec 2024 - Serie A
18 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia
10 Dec 2024 - Champions League
6 Dec 2024 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2025 - Serie A
2 Jan 2025 - Super Cup
28 Dec 2024 - Serie A
14 Dec 2024 - Serie A
2 Dec 2024 - Serie A
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
7 Dec 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
23 Nov 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
2 Nov 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
30 Oct 2024 - ÖFB Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
7 Dec 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
30 Nov 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
9 Nov 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
Atalanta vs Sturm Graz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Nov 2023 - Europa League
26 Oct 2023 - Europa League
Atalanta - Sturm Graz: Form Analysis
Atalanta led at the weekend but still ended up losing 3-2 at home to Napoli. That made it three draws and two defeats since Christmas and they are now third in the table but seven points behind leaders Napoli.
It's been a tough run of fixtures though with other matches including games against the other four sides in the top five. Sturm Graz certainly aren't at the level of that opposition.
Atalanta have won three of their six games in this league phase, all away from home. On home soil, they drew with Arsenal but lost to defending champions Real Madrid.
Sturm Graz need to win their last two games to have any chance of reaching the play-offs. Just three points have been earned from their six games with five defeats. Their only win was at home to Girona and on the road, they have lost at Brugge, Dortmund and Lille.
Their last competitive fixture was on December 11. They have gone 11 away Champions League games without a win, not winning since 2001.
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Atalanta vs Sturm Graz last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 1 - 2
Missing players
J. Cuadrado
O. Kossounou
ForwardG. Scamacca
Atalanta & Sturm Graz Squad Analysis
Sead Kolasinac has served his suspension that kept him out of Serie A matches. Atalanta will be without Gianluca Scamacca and Odilon Kossounou for this match. There are doubts over the fitness of Juan Cuadrado with Mtteo Ruggeri, Davide Zappacosta and Raoul Bellanova possible starters.
They may also decide to include Charles De Ketelaere up front. He'd partner Ademola Lookman and Mateo Retegui who played against Napoli at the weekend.
Problems galore for Sturm Graz.
Sturm Graz haven't played a competitive fixture since December 11. They have been playing friendly matches but the last three have only produced a draw and two defeats.
They come into this match with plenty of selection problems. Top striker Mika Biereth has been transferred to Monaco and full-back Jusuf Gazibegovic is at Koln now. Out injured are Max Johnston and Seedy Jatta but goalie Kjell Scherpen and Amady Camara are available.
There could be as many as five teenagers playing for Sturm Graz but they have already played in this league phase.
Most goals and assists
Atalanta
Sturm Graz
M. Retegui
(16 Goals)
M. Biereth
(13 Goals)
C. De Ketelaere
(8 Assists)
W. Boving Vick
(3 Assists)
,
M. Biereth
(3 Assists)
, 
J. Gorenc-Stankovic
(3 Assists)
Atalanta and Sturm Graz Stats in Champions League
Atalanta - Sturm Graz Key Points
- Atalanta have won three of their six matches in this league phase.
- Sturm Graz only have three points from their six matches.
- Atalanta have only lost two of their last 11 home games in all competitions.
- Sturm Graz have lost their last six Champions League away games.
- Sturm Graz have only ever won two away Champions League games, the most recent one being 24 years ago.
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Our Atalanta vs Sturm Graz Prediction
Atalanta look like being in the seeded positions for the Champions League play-offs. They could yet finish in the top eight but may well need to get a win at Barcelona to do so. Before that, they need to beat Sturm Graz at home.
They don't have a great home record in this competition but have been facing much tougher opposition. Sturm Graz are struggling to get into the unseeded play-off positions and haven't won an away Champions League since 2001.
Our main Atalanta v Sturm Graz prediction is Atalanta to win and lead at half and full time.
Atalanta vs Sturm Graz - Other Interesting Predictions
Atalanta to win and both teams to score
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
More than 80 leagues and competitions are available on this football promotion from bet365. If the team that you have backed takes a two-goal lead at any point in the game, then your bet is a winner. This counts on both single bets and on multiple placed on the full time market, though of course on a multiple it is only the game in question that is marked as a winner, all the other selections still have to win as well.
A bet placed on any enhanced price is not valid for this offer, nor any bet that is cashed out. If you have partially chased out, the remainder of the stake is paid out as a winner. If your acca selection would have been a loser but for this offer then you will not gain any acca boost winnings. So for example, your team goes 2-0 up so you are paid out as a winner but the end result is 2-2, your bet is still a winner if all the other selections win but you do not gain any acca boost.
Atalanta vs Sturm Graz match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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