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Italy - Serie A

Atalanta
18/01/2025 14:45
Napoli

Prediction :

 

Napoli wins the match

 
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Atalanta vs Napoli Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

The most awaited game in the Italian Serie A this weekend must be Atalanta playing host to Napoli in the 21st week of matches. Atalanta start the week placed third after being deposed by Napoli, who have spent the better part of this season topping the standings. In this article we will offer two predictions on the possible outcome of this match. 

For either side, given their title ambitions, there’s almost no room at all for error. The outcome of this match will in the end play a massive role as to where the Serie A title eventually lands. Both teams are in the thick of it, Napoli seeking their fourth league title and Atalanta only eyeing their first. 

In a match that playing at home doesn’t count for much, will Atalanta be able to better their recent home run in this fixture? Read on for our preview of the 56th meeting between these two.

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The Best Betting Odds for Atalanta v Napoli Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.25 3.25 3.25
Betfred
2.25 3.2 3.1
Ladbrokes
2.25 3.25 3.2
1xbet
2.39 3.39 3.31
22bet
2.39 3.39 3.31
Betobet
2.3 3.2 3.25
Betwinner
2.29 3.28 3.2
LSbet
2.29 3.28 3.2
Stake
2.29 3.3 3.3
Melbet
2.3 3.26 3.19
Tonybet
2.32 3.3 3.3
Vbet
2.3 3.33 3.33
Betway
2.25 3.25 3.2
Unibet
2.25 3.15 3.35
Betfair
2.38 3.2 3.3
Betsson
2.38 3.2 3.15
William Hill
2.3 3.2 3.1
Check all Atalanta vs Napoli odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Atalanta and Napoli?

Our prediction for the Atalanta vs Napoli match is: Napoli wins the match.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/01/2025 between Atalanta and Napoli in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.03% for a win of Atalanta against Napoli with odds of 2.39 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atalanta vs Napoli is 19.14% with odds of 3.39 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 41.83% chance ⭐ for a win of Napoli vs Atalanta with odds of 3.35 at Unibet.

Atalanta vs Napoli Form

Atalanta and Napoli's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Napoli
Napoli
47 20 15 2 3 20
3
Atalanta
Atalanta
43 20 13 4 3 23

Atalanta and Napoli Last Matches

Atalanta
Atalanta Last matches
W W D L D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

14 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  1
Juventus

11 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
0 :  0
Atalanta

2 Jan 2025 - Super Cup

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Atalanta

28 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  1
Atalanta

22 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
3 :  2
Empoli

18 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia

Atalanta
6 :  1
Cesena
W W L W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

14 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  1
Juventus

22 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
3 :  2
Empoli

18 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia

Atalanta
6 :  1
Cesena

10 Dec 2024 - Champions League

Atalanta
2 :  3
Real Madrid

6 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
AC Milan

10 Nov 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Udinese
W W W D L D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

11 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
0 :  0
Atalanta

2 Jan 2025 - Super Cup

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Atalanta

28 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  1
Atalanta

14 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  1
Atalanta

2 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Roma
0 :  2
Atalanta

26 Nov 2024 - Champions League

BSC Young Boys
1 :  6
Atalanta
Napoli
Napoli Last matches
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

12 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  0
Hellas Verona

4 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  3
Napoli

29 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
1 :  0
Venezia

21 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  2
Napoli

14 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  3
Napoli

8 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  1
Lazio
W L W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
0% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

12 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  0
Hellas Verona

29 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
1 :  0
Venezia

8 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  1
Lazio

24 Nov 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
1 :  0
Roma

3 Nov 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  3
Atalanta

26 Oct 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
1 :  0
Lecce
D W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

4 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  3
Napoli

21 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  2
Napoli

14 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  3
Napoli

5 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia

Lazio
3 :  1
Napoli

1 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Torino FC
0 :  1
Napoli

10 Nov 2024 - Serie A

Inter Milan
1 :  1
Napoli

Atalanta vs Napoli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Atalanta

33 %

Draw

0 %

Napoli

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.5
Goals scored (Team 2)
83%
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5

3 Nov 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  3
Atalanta

30 Mar 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  3
Atalanta

25 Nov 2023 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  2
Napoli

11 Mar 2023 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  0
Atalanta

5 Nov 2022 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  2
Napoli

3 Apr 2022 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  3
Napoli
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Atalanta - Napoli: Form Analysis

Atalanta have two straight wins against Napoli, but both happened away in Naples. In their last three home matches against Napoli, they suffered defeat. 

This is their chance to address that but first they’ll want some stability. La Dea have lost form in recent matches and come here winless in the last four outings. 

In the latest of them, they came from a goal down to register a 1-1 draw with Juventus. That was their third straight draw in the league, a run that has seen them relinquish their place at the top of the Serie A standings. 

As Inter Milan play a day after them, Atalanta will go second with a win here.

Napoli have lost three times in the league, one of them against Atalanta.

Napoli are four points ahead of Atalanta and will come here the more confident of the two. They aren’t just buoyed by their recent form, Napoli claimed straight wins in their last three visits to Bergamo.

The league leaders weren’t part of the Super Cup lineup and it means they’ve played less games than Atalanta.

Being well-rested, this is a game they will be targeting a win in. After their back-to-back defeats to Lazio, Napoli are unbeaten ahead of this game. They won each of their last five matches and have the most wins in the league at the moment (15).

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Atalanta vs Napoli last Lineups

Atalanta

Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2

29
M. Carnesecchi
42
G. Scalvini
19
B. Djimsiti
23
S. Kolasinac
77
D. Zappacosta
15
M. De Roon
13
Ederson
22
M. Ruggeri
8
M. Pasalic
17
C. De Ketelaere
11
A. Lookman
37
L. Spinazzola
11
R. Lukaku
7
D. Neres
8
S. Mctominay
68
S. Lobotka
99
F. Anguissa
21
M. Politano
5
J. Jesus
13
A. Rrahmani
22
G. Di Lorenzo
1
A. Meret

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Napoli

Missing players

Atalanta
Atalanta
Defender

J. Cuadrado

O. Kossounou

S. Kolasinac

Forward

G. Scamacca

Napoli
Napoli
Defender

A. Buongiorno

Atalanta & Napoli Squad Analysis

Home fans are going to pin a lot of hopes on Ademola Lookman coming into this game. The Nigerian international has four goals in five matches against Napoli.

He scored a brace in the first leg win over Napoli and will be fired up for this too. Atalanta will also reap from the return of Mateo Retegui from injury.

The Italian announced his return with a goal in the 1-1 draw with Juventus. He was also on the mark in the first leg win over Napoli.

Atalanta’s injury list is easing now, with Gianluca Scamacca and Odilon Kossounou missing. Meanwhile Sead Kolasinac sits out on suspension.

Mateo Retegui scored his 13th league goal in Atalanta’s last match.

At Napoli, there’s a bit of gloom after their top player Khvicha Kvaratskhelia agreed to a move to PSG. Scorer of five league goals, the Georgian international will be missed.

David Neres will, however, offer some consolation as he has been in good form lately. He will ensure Romelu Lukaku upfront is well supported. 

Lukaku has had four goal contributions in the last two matches and will be hunting for goal number eight in the league in the season. Napoli will also be without Alessandro Buongiorno who is injured.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Atalanta
CD Huachipato Napoli
Top Goalscorer
Italy M. Retegui (15 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Belgium R. Lukaku (7 Goals)
Best assists
Belgium C. De Ketelaere (8 Assists)
Best assists
Belgium R. Lukaku (6 Assists)

Atalanta and Napoli Stats in Serie A

Atalanta
Atalanta
Napoli
Napoli
65%
Victories
75%
20%
Draw
10%
15%
Defeats
15%
3.25
Total goals per match
2.2
2.2
Goals scored per match
1.6
1.05
Goals conceded per match
0.6
60%
Over 2.5
45%
40%
Under 2.5
55%
60%
BTTS
25%
35%
No goals conceded
60%

Atalanta - Napoli Key Points

  1. Napoli are on five straight wins.
  2. Napoli are unbeaten in nine away league matches.
  3. Atalanta are winless in their last four matches.
  4. Napoli won four times in six meetings with Atalanta.
  5. Atalanta lost all their last three home games against Napoli.
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Our Atalanta vs Napoli Prediction

Napoli are in great form coming into this game. They also have the advantage of not having played in the Super Cup, so they are well-rested. Additionally, the past few matches between these sides have favored the visiting team.

Napoli will want to tap on that and especially after winning there in three straight visits. Atalanta have the capacity to do well in this match but they haven't been on a really great run. Our prediction for Atalanta v Napoli is that Napoli wins the match.

Prediction :

 

Napoli wins the match

 
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$200 offered for betting!

Atalanta vs Napoli - Other Interesting Predictions

Both teams to score

Odds 1.8

Six of the last 10 matches between these teams had both teams scoring. This game features two sides on good attacking runs and we expect goals here.

Napoli might have lost a key attacking cog, but they still have sharp players in attack. The same is true for Atalanta, and our second prediction is for both teams to score.

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bet365 welcome offer

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Try your luck on this year's Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of £10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger. 

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Atalanta vs Napoli match : Frequently asked questions

The Atalanta v Napoli match will be played on Saturday 18th January.

The Atalanta v Napoli match is set to be played at the Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo.

The Atalanta v Napoli match will be refereed by Andrea Colombo. Stefano Alassio and Giorgio Peretti will serve as the assistants.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Atalanta vs Napoli Prediction
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