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Italy - Serie A

Atalanta
15 Sep 2024 09:00
Fiorentina

Prediction :

Over 2.5

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Atalanta vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

 by Sridhar in Serie A Predictions

Atalanta will look for a quick rebound to winning ways as they welcome Fiorentina in Serie A as action resumes post international break. This match #4 of the 2024-25 season will be played at the Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo on Sunday and comes with our prediction of being high on goals.

The hosts are 12th in the standings after three games with three points, while the visitors are right above them on the table, also with three points. Atalanta crashed to a 4-0 defeat at the hands of Inter Milan going into the international break making it two defeats in a row, following the 2-1 loss at Torino. The lone saving grace was the opening matchday win, a 4-0 away win against Lecce.

As they start their home campaign of this season with this match, La Dea will hope they can find form at the right time, as Fiorentina defeated them 3-2 in both league matches last season. The visitors will take a win of any magnitude now, as they come here on the back of three draws to start their campaign. One of those was a 0-0 stalemate against Venezia, but in the other two draws against Parma and Monza, Fiorentina needed late goals to salvage a point.

La Viola did win on their last trip, although that came in the Conference League qualification match against Puskas Academy. Can Fiorentina find their mojo and extend their recent dominance over Atalanta? Either way, this game looks high on goals.

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The Best Betting Odds for Atalanta v Fiorentina Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.85 3.4 4.33
Ladbrokes
2.1 2.6 3.9
1xbet
1.89 3.97 4.24
22bet
1.89 3.97 4.24
Betobet
1.81 3.8 4.4
Betwinner
1.9 3.52 4.08
Stake
1.82 3.8 4.4
Melbet
1.83 3.82 4.08
Tonybet
1.82 3.85 4.4
Check all Atalanta vs Fiorentina odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Atalanta and Fiorentina?

Our prediction for the Atalanta vs Fiorentina match is: Over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/09/2024 between Atalanta and Fiorentina in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.74% for a win of Atalanta against Fiorentina with odds of 2.1 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atalanta vs Fiorentina is 32.33% with odds of 3.97 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 28.93% chance ⭐ for a win of Fiorentina vs Atalanta with odds of 4.4 at Betobet.

Atalanta - Fiorentina Prediction and Best Odds:

Atalanta Fiorentina Prediction Probability Odds
Atalanta wins 38.74% 2.1 at Ladbrokes
Over 2.5 goals 66.03% 1.91 at Bet365
Both Team To Score 66.25%
Half-time / Full-time : Atalanta/Atalanta 18.18% 2.88 at Bet365

Atalanta vs Fiorentina Form

Atalanta and Fiorentina's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
Atalanta
Atalanta
22 11 7 1 3 15
4
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
22 11 6 4 1 13

Atalanta and Fiorentina Last Matches

Atalanta
Atalanta Last matches
L L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

30 Aug 2024 - Serie A

Inter Milan
4 :  0
Atalanta

25 Aug 2024 - Serie A

Turin
2 :  1
Atalanta

19 Aug 2024 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  4
Atalanta

14 Aug 2024 - Uefa Super Cup

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Atalanta

9 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

St. Pauli
3 :  0
Atalanta

4 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Parma
4 :  1
Atalanta
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

2 Jun 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  3
Fiorentina

26 May 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
3 :  0
Turin

22 May 2024 - Europa League

Atalanta
3 :  0
Bayer Leverkusen

15 May 2024 - Coppa Italia

Atalanta
0 :  1
Juventus

12 May 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Roma

9 May 2024 - Europa League

Atalanta
3 :  0
Marseille
L L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

30 Aug 2024 - Serie A

Inter Milan
4 :  0
Atalanta

25 Aug 2024 - Serie A

Turin
2 :  1
Atalanta

19 Aug 2024 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  4
Atalanta

14 Aug 2024 - Uefa Super Cup

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Atalanta

9 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

St. Pauli
3 :  0
Atalanta

4 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Parma
4 :  1
Atalanta
Fiorentina
Fiorentina Last matches
W D D D D D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

1 Sep 2024 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  2
Monza

29 Aug 2024 - Conference League

Puskas Akademia FC Felcsut
1 :  1
Fiorentina

25 Aug 2024 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  0
Venezia

22 Aug 2024 - Conference League

Fiorentina
3 :  3
Puskas Akademia FC Felcsut

17 Aug 2024 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  1
Fiorentina

5 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

US Grosseto
2 :  7
Fiorentina
D W W D D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

1 Sep 2024 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  2
Monza

25 Aug 2024 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  0
Venezia

22 Aug 2024 - Conference League

Fiorentina
3 :  3
Puskas Akademia FC Felcsut

4 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Fiorentina
2 :  1
Montpellier Hsc

19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Fiorentina
4 :  0
Reggiana

17 May 2024 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  2
Napoli
D L D W D D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Aug 2024 - Conference League

Puskas Akademia FC Felcsut
1 :  1
Fiorentina

17 Aug 2024 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  1
Fiorentina

5 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

US Grosseto
2 :  7
Fiorentina

30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Hull
2 :  2
Fiorentina

27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Preston North End
2 :  1
Fiorentina

26 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Bolton
1 :  1
Fiorentina

Atalanta vs Fiorentina Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Atalanta

33 %

Draw

17 %

Fiorentina

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.17
Total goals
67%
BTTS
1.67
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.5
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

2 Jun 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  3
Fiorentina

24 Apr 2024 - Coppa Italia

Atalanta
4 :  1
Fiorentina

3 Apr 2024 - Coppa Italia

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Atalanta

17 Sep 2023 - Serie A

Fiorentina
3 :  2
Atalanta

17 Apr 2023 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
Atalanta

2 Oct 2022 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  0
Fiorentina
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Players list

Atalanta
Atalanta
Goalkeeper

M. Carnesecchi

Defender

B. Djimsiti

M. Brescianini

S. Kolasinac

R. Bellanova

D. Zappacosta

Midfielder

Ederson

M. de Roon

Forward

C. De Ketelaere

A. Lookman

M. Pasalic

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Goalkeeper

D. De Gea

Defender

L. Martinez Quarta

M. Pongracic

C. Biraghi

Dodo

R. Gosens

Midfielder

R. Sottil

Y. Adli

A. Richardson

J. Ikone

Forward

M. Kean

Substitutes

Atalanta
Atalanta
Goalkeeper

R. Patricio

F. Rossi

Defender

M. Palestra

D. Zappacosta

M. Ruggeri

J. Cuadrado

O. Kossounou

P. Comi

Midfielder

M. Pasalic

M. Retegui

N. Zaniolo

L. Samardzic

Sulemana

M. Brescianini

I. Hien

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Goalkeeper

P. Terracciano

T. Martinelli

Defender

F. Parisi

M. Kayode

M. Moreno

M. Pongracic

L. Ranieri

P. Comuzzo

Midfielder

J. Ikone

A. Colpani

Y. Adli

D. Cataldi

A. Richardson

R. Mandragora

Forward

L. Beltran

R. Sottil

E. Bove

Missing players

Atalanta
Atalanta
Defender

G. Scalvini

Forward

G. Scamacca

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Forward

A. Gudmundsson

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Atalanta
CD Huachipato Fiorentina
Top Goalscorer
Italy M. Retegui (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy M. Kean (6 Goals)
Best assists
Nigeria A. Lookman (4 Assists)
Belgium C. De Ketelaere (4 Assists)
Best assists
Italy E. Bove (3 Assists)

Atalanta - Fiorentina Key Points

  1. In 17 of their last 20 Serie A matches, Atalanta have seen over 2.5 goals scored
  2. One team scored at least three goals in four of Atalanta’s last five league matches
  3. Seven of Atalanta’s last eight home league games featured at least three goals
  4. Fiorentina have seen over two goals scored in seven of their last nine league matches
  5. The last two league matches between Atalanta and Fiorentina featured five goals each
Up to $200 to bet on Atalanta - Fiorentina! 

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Our Atalanta vs Fiorentina Prediction

Atalanta went into the international break with one of their worst defeats of recent times. They would have used the time to get back into the scheme of things, and facing Fiorentina is going to be tricky based on recent history. The visitors are yet to win a match in the league this season, but there are goals in this match. That’s why our Atalanta vs Fiorentina prediction is for over 2.5 goals to be scored.

Prediction :

Over 2.5

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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atalanta Fiorentina

Atalanta vs Fiorentina Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Atalanta wins 1.83 1.85 +1.1%
Draw 3.4 3.4 0%
Fiorentina wins 4.2 4.33 +3.1%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Atalanta is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 1.1% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 54.6% and is now 54.1% (-0.6%)

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Atalanta vs Fiorentina Prediction
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