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02 June 2024 - 12:00 

- Day 29

Italy - Serie A

Atalanta
VS
Fiorentina

Prediction :

Atalanta wins the match

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Atalanta vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

 by Sridhar in Serie A Predictions

It’s the last match of the Serie A season as Atalanta look to add final touches to their impressive season, finishing against Fiorentina. This match between the current Europa League champions and the Conference League finalists will be played in Bergamo at the Gewiss Stadium on Sunday. Atalanta are fresh off winning the Europa League, where they halted Bayer Leverkusen in the final. The spirits will be high as they target a third-place finish with a win. Even if they finish fourth with anything but a win, it would take nothing away from their impressive season. The hosts will be looking to end the season in front of their home fans on a high with a win, something they have done for six matches in a row. Even at home, ten wins from their last 12 home league games suggest Atalanta is going to be a tough nut to crack.

Fiorentina will be low on confidence as they lost 1-0 in extra time to Olympiacos on Wednesday in the final of the Europa Conference League. Regardless, they are set to finish eighth and are guaranteed a spot in next season’s Conference League playoffs. It remains to be seen if they can find some motivation for this season's finale. Fiorentina have won the reverse fixture 3-2 and have an edge, but that might not give them an edge on this trip. The visitors have struggled to lift their game on the road this season, which could be a factor on this trip. Fiorentina have lost three and drawn one of their last five away games in all competitions, which means they could struggle to halt Atalanta here.

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The Best Betting Odds for Atalanta v Fiorentina Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
101 7 1.1
Ladbrokes
1.48 4.6 5.75
NetBet
1.42 4.2 5.2
Betwinner
1.47 4.74 6.15
Melbet
1.61 4.34 5
Tonybet
1.47 4.9 6.4
Check all Atalanta vs Fiorentina odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Atalanta and Fiorentina?

Our prediction for the Atalanta vs Fiorentina match is: Atalanta to win

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 6/2/24 between Atalanta and Fiorentina in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 60.39% for a win of Atalanta against Fiorentina with odds of 101 at Bet365.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atalanta vs Fiorentina is 14.35% with odds of 7 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 25.26% chance ⭐ for a win of Fiorentina vs Atalanta with odds of 6.4 at Tonybet.

Atalanta - Fiorentina Prediction and Best Odds:

Atalanta Fiorentina Prediction Probability Odds
Atalanta wins 60.39% 101 at Bet365
Over 2.5 goals 56.96% 1.58 at Melbet
Both Team To Score 49.17% 1.67 at Ladbrokes
Half-time / Full-time : Atalanta/Atalanta 29.27% 2.38 at Bet365

Atalanta vs Fiorentina Form

Atalanta and Fiorentina's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4
Atalanta
Atalanta
69 38 21 6 11 30
8
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
60 38 17 9 12 15

Atalanta and Fiorentina Last Matches

Atalanta
Atalanta Last matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.5
BTTS
17%
Goals scored
2.17
Goals conceded
0.33
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

26 May 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
3 :  0
Turin

22 May 2024 - Europa League

Atalanta
3 :  0
Bayer Leverkusen

18 May 2024 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  2
Atalanta

15 May 2024 - Coppa Italia

Atalanta
0 :  1
Juventus

12 May 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Roma

9 May 2024 - Europa League

Atalanta
3 :  0
Marseille
Fiorentina
Fiorentina Last matches
L D W D W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3
BTTS
83%
Goals scored
1.5
Goals conceded
1.5
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

29 May 2024 - Conference League

Olympiacos
1 :  0
Fiorentina

23 May 2024 - Serie A

Cagliari
2 :  3
Fiorentina

17 May 2024 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  2
Napoli

13 May 2024 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  1
Monza

8 May 2024 - Conference League

Club Brugge
1 :  1
Fiorentina

5 May 2024 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
2 :  1
Fiorentina

Atalanta against Fiorentina : Head to Head (H2H)

Atalanta

33 %

Draw

17 %

Fiorentina

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
2.5
BTTS
50%
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.33
Goals scored (Team 2)
1.17
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

24 Apr 2024 - Coppa Italia

Atalanta
4 :  1
Fiorentina

3 Apr 2024 - Coppa Italia

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Atalanta

17 Sep 2023 - Serie A

Fiorentina
3 :  2
Atalanta

17 Apr 2023 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
Atalanta

2 Oct 2022 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  0
Fiorentina

20 Feb 2022 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Atalanta
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Atalanta against Fiorentina Lineups: Starting 11

Atalanta

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

29
M. Carnesecchi
2
R. Toloi
4
I. Hien
42
G. Scalvini
3
E. Holm
13
Ederson
7
T. Koopmeiners
22
M. Ruggeri
8
M. Pasalic
17
C. De Ketelaere
11
A. Lookman
20
A. Belotti
9
L. Beltran
17
G. Castrovilli
10
N. Gonzalez
32
A. Duncan
8
M. Lopez
3
C. Biraghi
16
L. Ranieri
28
L. Martinez Quarta
33
M. Kayode
30
T. Martinelli

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Fiorentina

Missing players

Atalanta
Atalanta
Defender

S. Kolasinac

Midfielder

M. de Roon

Ederson

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Forward

R. Sottil

Atalanta - Fiorentina Key Points

  1. Fiorentina have failed to win four of their last six matches
  2. Atalanta have won nine of their last 11 matches in all competitions
  3. In the league, Atalanta have won their last six matches
  4. Playing at home, Atalanta have won ten of their last 12 league games, losing only once
  5. Away from home, Fiorentina have lost three of their last five games, winning only once
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Our Atalanta vs Fiorentina Prediction

It has been a successful season for Atalanta, regardless of the result in this match against Fiorentina. Having already won the Europa League and confirmed their spot in the Champions League next season, they would be looking to end the season on a high. A win here will see them finish third, although even finishing fourth won’t be considered a failure. For Fiorentina, the hurt of losing in the final of the Conference League is still fresh, and it remains to be seen if they lift themselves up for this match that has very little importance. They are guaranteed to finish eighth, irrespective of the result here, and our prediction for Atalanta vs Fiorentina is a win for Atalanta.

Prediction :

Atalanta wins the match

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Atalanta vs Fiorentina Prediction
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