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Atalanta vs Club Brugge Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Kennedy Kechula in Champions League Predictions
Atalanta will be out to salvage their Champions League campaign when they play host to Belgian side Club Brugge this Tuesday. This will be the return leg match of their knockout play-off tie which at the moment stands in favor of the Belgians. Club Brugge left it late to beat Atalanta 2-1 in the first leg. In this preview we will offer two predictions for the possible outcome as the teams meet in Bergamo.
Heading into this two-legged tie pitting the Belgian champions against the Europa League holders, it was Atalanta who started as favorites. The Italians went into the playoffs having finished the league stage just a point below the top eight.
Club Brugge, however, ripped the form book in the opening leg, having finished the league phase in the last possible spot – 24th. Atalanta are taking on a Belgian side for the fourth time in history while Club Brugge are facing an Italian side for the fourth time this season. The aggregate winner from this two-legged tie will meet either Lille or Aston Villa in the next round.
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The Best Betting Odds for Atalanta v Club Brugge Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.45 | 4.5 | 7 |
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1.44 | 4.5 | 6 |
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1.75 | 2.8 | 5.25 |
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1.49 | 4.6 | 7.16 |
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1.49 | 4.6 | 7.16 |
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1.49 | 4.6 | 6.5 |
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1.47 | 4.46 | 6.7 |
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1.47 | 4.46 | 6.7 |
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1.47 | 4.7 | 6.8 |
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1.46 | 4.46 | 6.95 |
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1.5 | 4.7 | 6.6 |
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1.47 | 4.5 | 6 |
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1.48 | 4.75 | 6.5 |
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1.44 | 4.5 | 6.5 |
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1.49 | 4.75 | 6.5 |
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1.48 | 4.33 | 6.5 |
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1.43 | 4.7 | 7.5 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Atalanta and Club Brugge?
Our prediction for the Atalanta vs Club Brugge match is: draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/02/2025 between Atalanta and Club Brugge in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.17% for a win of Atalanta against Club Brugge with odds of 1.75 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atalanta vs Club Brugge is 37.71% with odds of 4.75 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.13% chance ⭐ for a win of Club Brugge vs Atalanta with odds of 7.5 at Unibet.
Atalanta - Club Brugge Prediction and Best Odds:
Atalanta Club Brugge Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Draw | 37.71% | 4.75 at Betsson |
Over 2.5 goals | 65.08% | 1.91 at Stake |
Both Team To Score | 70.83% | 1.91 at Bet365 |
Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 18.99% | 7 at Betfair |
Atalanta vs Club Brugge Form
Atalanta and Club Brugge Last Matches
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1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2025 - Serie A
12 Feb 2025 - Champions League
8 Feb 2025 - Serie A
4 Feb 2025 - Coppa Italia
1 Feb 2025 - Serie A
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2025 - Serie A
4 Feb 2025 - Coppa Italia
1 Feb 2025 - Serie A
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - Serie A
14 Jan 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Feb 2025 - Champions League
8 Feb 2025 - Serie A
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
25 Jan 2025 - Serie A
11 Jan 2025 - Serie A
2 Jan 2025 - Super Cup
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2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
12 Feb 2025 - Champions League
8 Feb 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
5 Feb 2025 - Belgian Cup
2 Feb 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Feb 2025 - Champions League
8 Feb 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
25 Jan 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
15 Jan 2025 - Belgian Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
5 Feb 2025 - Belgian Cup
2 Feb 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
12 Jan 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
22 Dec 2024 - Jupiler Pro League
Atalanta vs Club Brugge Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
12 Feb 2025 - Champions League
Atalanta - Club Brugge: Form Analysis
Atalanta trailed from early in the first leg and while they thought Mario Pasalic's goal could salvage a draw, late drama would ensue. Club Brugge won and converted a 94th minute penalty and the first ever meeting between the two sides ended in favor of the Belgians.
That match was just one in a largely lean spell for Gian Piero Gasperini’s side. They once looked like a solid side, but a poor run in recent times has them on three wins in the last 13 matches. In their last outing, Atalanta drew 0-0 with Cagliari.
That was their third draw in the last six matches, a period in which they only managed a 5-0 win against Verona. It will worry the Italians as well, that they managed just a win in their four league stage home matches.
Atalanta have managed two wins in 12 home Champions League matches.
Club Brugge will pull a great result if they can avoid defeat here. With a slim lead from the first leg, they need at least a draw in this game to advance. The last time they visited Italy, their match ended in a 3-1 loss to AC Milan.
They’ve since played two other Italian sides this season and avoided defeat. The latest of them was against Atalanta, which they left late to win 2-1.
It will build their confidence that in the last six Champions League matches, they lost just once. In that run, they registered three wins, all with a one-goal margin. On the flipside, Club Brugge have just a win in seven away matches in the Champions League.
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Atalanta against Club Brugge Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Formation : 4 - 5 - 1
Missing players
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O. Kossounou
G. Scalvini
ForwardG. Scamacca
D. Maldini
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Atalanta & Club Brugge Squad Analysis
Atalanta have a lengthy injury list and that’s what has stalled their progress both in Serie A and Europe. The most notable of them is Ademola Lookman’s injury, with the African Player of the Year set to miss out again here.
The Nigerian is recovering from a knee injury that is expected to keep him out until late February. Lookman has 14 goals across all competitions, with four of them being in the Champions League.
His numbers in the Champions League are quite impressive, taking 22 shots in seven matches and with a 3.90 expected goals return. He will definitely be missed, but Mateo Retegui, with three goals in the Champions League, will be a worthwhile option.
Retegui may be deployed as a lone striker though Atalanta need goals.
At Club Brugge the injuries haven't really been a concern this season. The only player on their injury list is Bjorn Meijer. The Dutch defender hasn’t been involved a lot in the season and only featured a total of 16 minutes in the Champions League so far.
In one of the matches, he was thrown into the fray against an Italian team – Juventus. Gustaf Nilsson scored the winner in the first leg, through a penalty. That was his first Champions League goal in five matches this season and he will be fired up for this game.
There’s a lot of improvement to target for the man who has nine league goals. In the Champions League he has only attempted four shots.
Most goals and assists
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Atalanta - Club Brugge Key Points
- In 21 away Champions League matches, Club Brugge won six only.
- In their last six matches, Atalanta produced just one win.
- Six of Atalanta’s last 13 matches produced draws.
- Three of Atalanta’s last five home Champions League matches had draws.
- Three of Club Brugge’s last seven away Champions league matches ended in draws.
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Our Atalanta vs Club Brugge Prediction
The last time Atalanta went into a European tie while trailing from the first leg was against Borussia Dortmund. Back then, in the 2017/18 Europa League, they would draw 1-1 Bergamo. Home fans would fear for the worst and they hope history doesn’t recur.
However, the possibility remains, as Atalanta have won four times in 13 Champions League matches. Club Brugge aren't on a great winning run either, and will be happy to come into this game leading. Our prediction for Atalanta v Club Brugge is for a draw.
Atalanta vs Club Brugge - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
Clean sheets have been a rare occurrence in these teams’ matches. Atalanta have one in their last five Champions League matches but they scored in all the matches. Club Brugge are coming into this one with just a clean sheet in the last five matches.
They also managed one in the last five Champions League matches, with both teams scoring in four. With such a trend, we are backing both teams to score, in our second prediction.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atalanta Club Brugge
Atalanta vs Club Brugge | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
---|---|---|---|
Atalanta wins | 1.55 | 1.45 | -6.5% |
Draw | 4.2 | 4.5 | +7.1% |
Club Brugge wins | 5.25 | 7 | +33.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 7.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 23.8% and is now 22.2% (-1.6%)
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Atalanta vs Club Brugge match : Frequently asked questions
The Atalanta v Club Brugge match will be played on Tuesday 18th February.
The Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo will host the Atalanta v Club Brugge match.
The Atalanta v Club Brugge match will be aired live. For followers based in Italy, Sky and Amazon Prime will carry the live feed. Those based in Belgium can watch through DPG Media, RTL Belgium, Proximus and Telenet. You may also follow Sportytrader’s UEFA Champions League livescore for match updates.
The Atalanta v Club Brugge aggregate winner will meet either Lille or Aston Villa in the next round.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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