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Atalanta vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Kennedy Kechula in Champions League Predictions
Arsenal will shift focus to the Champions League on Thursday when they travel to Italy to take on Atalanta. Hosts La Dea will be looking to build on their run to win the Europa League last season. Meanwhile, the Gunners will seek to better their quarter-final finish in the Champions League. If you are looking to bet on this match, read on for our prediction.
This clash will mark the first ever meeting between the two teams. Atalanta had a fine showing in Europe in 2023/24, going all the way before dispatching Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 in the Europa League final. Coming into their fourth season in the Champions League, Atalanta will be eying only their third senior level title.
In two of their earlier three seasons in the Champions League, Atalanta sailed through to the knockouts. Arsenal’s appearance in this competition last season marked the end of a six-year absence. Getting to the quarters marked the first time they went past the last 16 since 2009/10.
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The Best Betting Odds for Atalanta v Arsenal Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4 | 3.7 | 1.9 |
|
|
4 | 3.7 | 1.85 |
|
|
4.31 | 3.98 | 1.88 |
|
|
4.31 | 3.98 | 1.88 |
|
|
4.1 | 3.6 | 1.9 |
|
|
4.12 | 3.66 | 1.86 |
|
|
4.12 | 3.66 | 1.86 |
|
|
4 | 3.75 | 1.94 |
|
|
4 | 3.78 | 1.86 |
|
|
4.1 | 3.9 | 1.85 |
|
|
4.4 | 3.9 | 1.8 |
|
|
4.1 | 3.8 | 1.9 |
|
|
4 | 3.6 | 1.88 |
|
|
4.3 | 3.61 | 1.96 |
|
|
4 | 3.6 | 1.88 |
|
|
4 | 3.75 | 1.92 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Atalanta and Arsenal?
Our prediction for the Atalanta vs Arsenal match is: Arsenal to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/09/2024 between Atalanta and Arsenal in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.68% for a win of Atalanta against Arsenal with odds of 4.4 at Betfair.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atalanta vs Arsenal is 7.43% with odds of 3.98 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 57.89% chance ⭐ for a win of Arsenal vs Atalanta with odds of 1.96 at Vbet.
Atalanta - Arsenal Prediction and Best Odds:
| Atalanta Arsenal Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 57.89% | 1.96 at Vbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.72% | 2.03 at Vbet |
| Both Team To Score | 40.48% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Arsenal/Arsenal | 25.35% | 3 at Bet365 |
Atalanta vs Arsenal Form
Atalanta and Arsenal's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 |
|
13
|
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 |
Atalanta and Arsenal Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Sep 2024 - Serie A
30 Aug 2024 - Serie A
25 Aug 2024 - Serie A
19 Aug 2024 - Serie A
14 Aug 2024 - Uefa Super Cup
9 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Sep 2024 - Serie A
2 Jun 2024 - Serie A
26 May 2024 - Serie A
22 May 2024 - Europa League
15 May 2024 - Coppa Italia
12 May 2024 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2024 - Serie A
25 Aug 2024 - Serie A
19 Aug 2024 - Serie A
14 Aug 2024 - Uefa Super Cup
9 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Sep 2024 - Premier League
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
11 Aug 2024 - Emirates Cup
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
11 Aug 2024 - Emirates Cup
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Sep 2024 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
12 May 2024 - Premier League
28 Apr 2024 - Premier League
20 Apr 2024 - Premier League
Atalanta - Arsenal: Form Analysis
In their profile as the Europa League winners, Atalanta will be called upon to give a better effort in this competition. They have one win only in their last eight Champions League matches and their start this season hasn’t been great.
In the Super Cup, they were easily dismantled by Real Madrid, then went on to lose twice in four Serie A matches. In one of the defeats they were thumped 4-0 by Inter Milan.
Gian Piero Gasperini’s side, however, recovered after the international break. They came from down to beat Fiorentina 3-2 on Sunday and will hope to carry this shape to the game against Arsenal. That result marked the fourth time in five matches that Atalanta conceded two or more goals.
Last season, they eliminated Liverpool from the Europa League and they won’t mind adding another English side to that fold.
These two teams are set to meet for the first time ever.
Arsenal will have a good feeling about this game, not just because they are coming from an important win. Mikel Arteta’s side is unbeaten in the four matches played this season, winning three.
The most recent of them was the 1-0 win over Tottenham in the north London derby. The match’s only goal was scored by Gabriel Magalhaes, and it ensured Arsenal stay unbeaten 10 matches in a row. In the said 10 matches, Arsenal registered nine wins.
A healthy run against Italian teams will also be a boost to Arsenal; that record stands at 19 wins in 35 matches. They only lost eight of those matches, and while playing in Italy, Arsenal have seven wins and six losses.
The last Italian team they met was Napoli in the 2018/19 Europa League, and won home and away. They have four straight wins against Serie A opposition.
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Atalanta against Arsenal Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
G. Scalvini
ForwardG. Scamacca
T. Tomiyasu
O. Zinchenko
Atalanta & Arsenal Squad Analysis
There will be a number of reunions when Atalanta and Arsenal meet on Thursday. Former Arsenal defender Sead Kolasinac will be in the Atalanta team after recovering in time for this game.
Ademola Lookman is another player Arsenal will know well, having faced him in England. The striker, who netted a hat trick in the Europa League final, has never scored against Arsenal before.
Meanwhile, for this game, Atalanta will surely miss the services of Gianluca Scamacca and Giorgio Scalvini. Rafael Toloi and Ben Godfrey remain as doubts but Nicolo Zaniolo could feature.
Arsenal skipper Ødegaard is among the absentees for the depleted visitors.
Arsenal fielded a depleted squad in the north London derby and will hope no more injuries came off that game. Bukayo Saka limped off in the final minutes but it didn’t seem like a major scare.
With skipper Martin Ødegaard, Mikel Merino, Riccardo Calafiori and Takehiro Tomiyasu all out, Arteta will do with some uplifting.
There won’t be places in the team either for Oleksandr Zinchenko and Kieran Tierney. However, the most significant news ahead of the game will be the availability of Declan Rice, who was suspended for the weekend game.
Most goals and assists
Atalanta
Arsenal
M. Retegui
(14 Goals)
K. Havertz
(11 Goals)
C. De Ketelaere
(8 Assists)
B. Saka
(13 Assists)
Atalanta - Arsenal Key Points
- Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 10 matches.
- Atalanta have three losses in their last five matches.
- In their last eight Champions League games, Atalanta managed one win.
- Arsenal won 11 more games than they lost against Italian sides in Europe.
- Atalanta have one win and two losses in home matches against English teams.
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Our Atalanta vs Arsenal Prediction
These two teams have had contrasting starts to the season. Atalanta are clearly struggling at these early stages of their campaign. They are coming into this game having won, but three of their five matches so far ended in defeat. That, and their numbers in the Champions League, doesn’t look so good on them ahead of this game.
Meanwhile, Arsenal are enjoying a good start to the season, their four matches without defeat stretching their unbeaten run from last season. They are also coming from a massive win in the Premier League. Our prediction for Atalanta v Arsenal is for Arsenal to win.
Atalanta vs Arsenal - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
These two sides are known for their abilities in attack; they rarely go a game without scoring. This attribute will be witnessed here as both sides fight for an early rise.
Atalanta will be looking to take advantage of their depleted visitors but Arsenal have shown even under pressure they can strike. All of Atalanta’s last four matches had over 2.5 goals and that will be our second prediction here.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atalanta Arsenal
| Atalanta vs Arsenal | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta wins | 4 | 4 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 3.7 | -2.6% |
| Arsenal wins | 1.83 | 1.9 | +3.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Arsenal is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 54.6% and is now 52.6% (-2.0%)
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Atalanta vs Arsenal match : Frequently asked questions
The Atalanta v Arsenal match will be played on Thursday 19th September starting 8pm UK time.
The Atalanta v Arsenal match will be played at the Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo, Italy.
The Atalanta v Arsenal match will be televised on Sky Sport and Prime Video in Italy. In England, it will be televised on Prime Video, BBC and TNT Sports. Through the Champions League Livescores page, SportyTrader will have the match updates.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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