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Italy - Serie A

Atalanta
06/12/2024 14:45
AC Milan

Prediction :

 

Atalanta wins the match

 
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Atalanta vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

 by Steve Ashfield in Serie A Predictions

Atalanta are in excellent form and a home draw with Milan can see them go top of Serie A.  The Black and Blues are second in the table and host seventh-placed Milan. They only trail leaders Napoli by a single point after 14 games of the season and recently had a 3-0 away win over them. Atlanta have been scoring goals for fun in Serie A this season and with 36 are the top scorers in the league.

Milan will be attempting to end Atalanta's run of 13 games unbeaten in league and cup matches. The Red and Blacks are four points adrift of the final European qualification position and six behind the Champions League places. They have won six of their 13 league games and are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. Their away form isn't great though and this is going to be tough for them. Read our match prediction.

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The Best Betting Odds for Atalanta v AC Milan Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.1 3.4 3.4
Ladbrokes
2.37 2.5 3.4
1xbet
2.23 3.51 3.38
22bet
2.23 3.51 3.38
Betobet
2.2 3.5 3.4
Stake
2.19 3.6 3.4
Melbet
1.97 3.6 3.72
Tonybet
2.13 3.6 3.45
Vbet
2.19 3.53 3.55
Betway
2.1 3.4 3.4
Unibet
2.2 3.45 3.25
Betfair
2.1 3.4 3.4
Betsson
2.18 3.45 3.35
William Hill
2.1 3.5 3.5
Check all Atalanta vs AC Milan odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Atalanta and AC Milan?

Our prediction for the Atalanta vs AC Milan match is: Atalanta to win.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/12/2024 between Atalanta and AC Milan in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.9% for a win of Atalanta against AC Milan with odds of 2.37 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atalanta vs AC Milan is 21.29% with odds of 3.6 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 30.81% chance ⭐ for a win of AC Milan vs Atalanta with odds of 3.72 at Melbet.

Atalanta - AC Milan Prediction and Best Odds:

Atalanta AC Milan Prediction Probability Odds
Atalanta wins 47.9% 2.37 at Ladbrokes
Over 2.5 goals 63.05% 1.92 at Stake
Both Team To Score 66.25%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Atalanta 17.99% 5.6 at Unibet

Atalanta vs AC Milan Form

Atalanta and AC Milan's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
Atalanta
Atalanta
43 21 13 4 4 22
8
AC Milan
AC Milan
31 20 8 7 5 8

Atalanta and AC Milan Last Matches

Atalanta
Atalanta Last matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
3 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

2 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Roma
0 :  2
Atalanta

26 Nov 2024 - Champions League

BSC Young Boys
1 :  6
Atalanta

23 Nov 2024 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  3
Atalanta

10 Nov 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Udinese

6 Nov 2024 - Champions League

Stuttgart
0 :  2
Atalanta

3 Nov 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  3
Atalanta
L W D W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

10 Nov 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Udinese

30 Oct 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  0
Monza

26 Oct 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
6 :  1
Hellas Verona

23 Oct 2024 - Champions League

Atalanta
0 :  0
Celtic

5 Oct 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
5 :  1
Genoa

24 Sep 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  3
Como 1907
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
3 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

2 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Roma
0 :  2
Atalanta

26 Nov 2024 - Champions League

BSC Young Boys
1 :  6
Atalanta

23 Nov 2024 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  3
Atalanta

6 Nov 2024 - Champions League

Stuttgart
0 :  2
Atalanta

3 Nov 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  3
Atalanta

20 Oct 2024 - Serie A

Venezia
0 :  2
Atalanta
AC Milan
AC Milan Last matches
W D D W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

3 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
6 :  1
Sassuolo

30 Nov 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  0
Empoli

26 Nov 2024 - Champions League

SK Slovan Bratislava
2 :  3
AC Milan

23 Nov 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  0
Juventus

9 Nov 2024 - Serie A

Cagliari
3 :  3
AC Milan

5 Nov 2024 - Champions League

Real Madrid
1 :  3
AC Milan
W W L D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

3 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
6 :  1
Sassuolo

30 Nov 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  0
Empoli

23 Nov 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  0
Juventus

29 Oct 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  2
Napoli

22 Oct 2024 - Champions League

AC Milan
3 :  1
Club Brugge

19 Oct 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Udinese
L L W W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

26 Nov 2024 - Champions League

SK Slovan Bratislava
2 :  3
AC Milan

9 Nov 2024 - Serie A

Cagliari
3 :  3
AC Milan

5 Nov 2024 - Champions League

Real Madrid
1 :  3
AC Milan

2 Nov 2024 - Serie A

Monza
0 :  1
AC Milan

6 Oct 2024 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  1
AC Milan

1 Oct 2024 - Champions League

Bayer Leverkusen
1 :  0
AC Milan

Atalanta vs AC Milan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Atalanta

33 %

Draw

33 %

AC Milan

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.67
Total goals
67%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.5
Goals scored (Team 2)
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5

25 Feb 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  1
Atalanta

10 Jan 2024 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
1 :  2
Atalanta

9 Dec 2023 - Serie A

Atalanta
3 :  2
AC Milan

26 Feb 2023 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  0
Atalanta

21 Aug 2022 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  1
AC Milan

15 May 2022 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  0
Atalanta
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Atalanta - AC Milan: Form Analysis

Atalanta have won their last eight matches in all competitions. The weekend saw them win 2-0 at Roma and they have now scored 26 goals in their last eight matches. 13 games have been played since their last defeat. A win over Milan will be their ninth successive victory in Serie A.

Atlanta just can't stop scoring.

In each of those games they have scored at least twice and in 10 of their last 11 league games. Home form has produced five wins and a loss to Como in September. Since then they have won four home league matches with 15 goals put past their opponents.

Milan beat Empoli 3-0 at home in their most recent outing. That extended their unbeaten run to six league and cup matches. Four games have been played in Serie A since their last defeat but they'd drawn two league games before beating Empoli.

Away form is not the greatest with a couple of wins, two draws and the same number of defeats. Ten goals have been scored but the same number conceded. Only one of their last three away league games has been won.

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Atalanta against AC Milan Lineups: Starting 11

Atalanta

Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2

29
M. Carnesecchi
19
B. Djimsiti
4
I. Hien
23
S. Kolasinac
16
R. Bellanova
13
Ederson
15
M. De Roon
22
M. Ruggeri
8
M. Pasalic
17
C. De Ketelaere
11
A. Lookman
7
A. Morata
10
R. Leao
11
C. Pulisic
80
Y. Musah
14
T. Reijnders
29
Y. Fofana
19
T. Hernandez
28
M. Thiaw
46
M. Gabbia
22
Emerson
16
M. Maignan

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

AC Milan

Missing players

Atalanta
Atalanta
Forward

G. Scamacca

AC Milan
AC Milan

Atalanta & AC Milan Squad Analysis

Atalanta coach Gian Piero Gasperini won't be in the dugout for this match. He will be in the stands due to still serving a touchline ban. That's the bad news for him but he doesn't have many selection problems for this home game against Milan.

Gianluca Scamacca is still out due to a knee injury and Davide Zappacosta isn't quite fit yet after having a muscular problem. Atalanta have been going well during their absence though. The good news is that their top scorer Mateo Retegui is fit and ready to score more goals for the home side.

Morata is likely to return for Milan.

Milan won 6-1 on Tuesday when beating Sassuolo at home in the Coppa Italia. That's despite coach Paulo Fonseca leaving out several players for that match. Those left out are expected to make their return for this Serie A fixture at Atalanta. Tammy Abraham played in that cup tie and scored their final goal. However, it is expected that Alvaro Morata will make hs retun to the side on Friday. They will be without Alessandro Fiorenzi, Luka Jovic and Ismael Bennacer.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Atalanta
CD Huachipato AC Milan
Top Goalscorer
Italy M. Retegui (17 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
USA C. Pulisic (8 Goals) Netherlands T. Reijnders (8 Goals)
Best assists
Belgium C. De Ketelaere (9 Assists)
Best assists
France Y. Fofana (6 Assists)

Atalanta - AC Milan Key Points

  1. Atalanta have won their last eight matches.
  2. 26 goals have been scored by Atalanta in their last eight matches.
  3. Atalanta have scored 15 goals in their last four home league matches.
  4. Milan have only won two of their six away league games.
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Our Atalanta vs AC Milan Prediction

Atalanta are in top form at present and scoring goals for fun. Their last eight league games have all been won and they can go top of Serie A if avoiding defeat in this match. They are the top goalscorers in Serie A this season and scored at least twice in ten of their last 11 games.

Milan are also on a good run at present but they need to improve their away form. A 3-3 draw at Cagliari indicates that Atalanta's attack could prosper in this match. Our main Atalanta v Milan prediction is Atalanta to win.

Prediction :

 

Atalanta wins the match

 
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Atalanta vs AC Milan - Other Interesting Predictions

Atalanta to win and both teams to score

Odds 1.91
In Serie A, three of the last four Atalanta home wins have seen both teams get on the scoresheet. They have won their last three home league games against Milian and both teams scored in each victory.
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atalanta AC Milan

Atalanta vs AC Milan Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Atalanta wins 2.2 2.1 -4.5%
Draw 3.6 3.4 -5.6%
AC Milan wins 3.1 3.4 +9.7%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Atalanta is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.5% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 45.5% and is now 47.6% (2.2%)

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Atalanta vs AC Milan match : Frequently asked questions

This match in Serie A is being played on Friday December 6.
This is a home match for Atalanta and that means it will be played at the Gweiss Stadium in Bergamo, Italy.
This match will be shown live on the subscription channel TNT Sports. You can follow all the action on our Serie A livescore, where there will be updated statistics and live text commentary throughout the match.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Atalanta vs AC Milan Prediction
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