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Aston Villa vs Wolves Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Sridhar in Premier League Predictions
Aston Villa will look to pile more misery on Wolverhampton as the Midlands derby lights up the 2024-25 English Premier League season this week. This match at the Villa Park in Birmingham on Saturday comes with our prediction of being a high-scoring match.
The hosts made a flying start to this league campaign and are also coming off a win in the midweek Champions League fixture. It would be tough to see beyond them in terms of a winner, although stranger things have happened in derbies.
Wolves will hope to turn their season around, as they come here with just one point from their four league games. Even the midweek EFL Cup didn’t bring success, crashing out after a loss to Brighton.
Villa have won this fixture 2-0 last season, but the Midlands derby has been closer than anticipated in recent times. Will that tradition continue and give the Wolves a ray of hope? Read on to find out more about our prediction.
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The Best Betting Odds for Aston Villa v Wolves Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.62 | 4.1 | 5 |
|
|
1.83 | 2.8 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.63 | 4.47 | 5.33 |
|
|
1.63 | 4.47 | 5.33 |
|
|
1.58 | 4.3 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.58 | 4.4 | 5.2 |
|
|
1.58 | 4.4 | 5.2 |
|
|
1.56 | 4.5 | 5.6 |
|
|
1.58 | 4.34 | 5.15 |
|
|
1.6 | 4.4 | 5.4 |
|
|
1.55 | 4.33 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.5 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.33 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.58 | 4.7 | 5.6 |
|
|
1.52 | 4.33 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.59 | 4.5 | 5.7 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Aston Villa and Wolves?
Our prediction for the Aston Villa vs Wolves match is: Over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/09/2024 between Aston Villa and Wolves in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.22% for a win of Aston Villa against Wolves with odds of 1.83 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Aston Villa vs Wolves is 23.63% with odds of 4.7 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.15% chance ⭐ for a win of Wolves vs Aston Villa with odds of 5.8 at William Hill.
Aston Villa - Wolves Prediction and Best Odds:
| Aston Villa Wolves Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins | 52.22% | 1.83 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.11% | 1.7 at Vbet |
| Both Team To Score | 72.08% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Aston Villa/Aston Villa | 20.58% | 2.4 at Bet365 |
Aston Villa vs Wolves Form
Aston Villa and Wolves's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
18 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
|
19
|
6 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -11 |
Aston Villa and Wolves Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Sep 2024 - Champions League
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
13 May 2024 - Premier League
2 May 2024 - Conference League
27 Apr 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Sep 2024 - Champions League
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
15 Sep 2024 - Premier League
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
25 Aug 2024 - Premier League
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Sep 2024 - Premier League
28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
25 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2024 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2024 - Premier League
Aston Villa vs Wolves Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Mar 2024 - Premier League
8 Oct 2023 - Premier League
6 May 2023 - Premier League
4 Jan 2023 - Premier League
2 Apr 2022 - Premier League
16 Oct 2021 - Premier League
Aston Villa - Wolves: Form Analysis
Aston Villa is fifth in the standings ahead of this weekend, with nine points from four matches. They are only three behind leaders Manchester City and have three wins and a loss so far.
The hosts are coming off a 3-0 win over BSC Young Boys in the Champions League during the midweek. That made it three consecutive wins in all competitions. In the league, they won their last two matches after a 2-0 loss to Arsenal on matchday two.
Villa won just one of their last four Premier League home matches.
That has to do with a blip they encountered at the end of last season, where they lost one and drew two of the last three home league games. Wolves find themselves in the relegation zone ahead of this round, with one point from four matches. Their lone point came in a 1-1 draw against Nottingham Forest on matchday three.
They are coming off a 3-2 loss to Brighton in the EFL Cup, which makes it four losses, one draw, and just one win in their six competitive matches this season. Worryingly enough, they have already conceded 11 goals and will sweat ahead of this derby.
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Players list
E. Martinez
DefenderE. Konsa
D. Carlos
P. Torres
L. Bailey
MidfielderR. Barkley
Y. Tielemans
I. Maatsen
J. Duran
ForwardM. Rogers
E. Buendia
S. Johnstone
DefenderN. Semedo
S. Bueno
C. Dawson
R. Ait-Nouri
MidfielderM. Lemina
Andre
T. Doyle
R. Gomes
ForwardM. Cunha
G. Guedes
Substitutes
J. Gauci
DefenderI. Maatsen
R. Barkley
K. Young
E. Buendia
L. Bogarde
L. Bailey
K. Nedeljkovic
ForwardJ. Duran
J. Sa
DefenderM. Doherty
S. Bueno
T. Doyle
G. Guedes
H. Hee-chan
P. Sarabia
R. Gomes
C. Borges
Missing players
M. Cash
B. Meupiyou
MidfielderB. Traore
ForwardS. Kalajdzic
Aston Villa & Wolves Squad Analysis
Aston Villa continues to be without Matty Cash, Boubacar Kamara, and Tyrone Mings. The trio could be out of contention for some time, but the hosts have been impressive, thanks to their squad strength.
Thankfully for the hosts, they didn’t suffer any injuries in their Champions League midweek match in Switzerland. Ollie Watkins was seen strapping an ice pack to his ankle after being replaced, but it was seen as a precaution.
Leon Bailey has recovered and could be available.
Wolves coach Gary O’Neil made as many as ten changes to the side that lost to Newcastle for their EFL Cup game in the midweek. Toti, who had a minor hamstring strain, should be fit again to face Villa.
Sasa Kalajdzic, David Gonzalez, and Leon Chiwome are out of contention for the visitors. Craig Dawson remains a doubt, while Rayan Ait-Nouri is doubtful following an ankle injury. Yerson Mosquera is another doubtful player for the Wolves.
In terms of impact, Jhon Duran has three goals in four matches, all off the bench, and will hope to get a starting role here. From the Wolves’ camp, Matheus Cunha scored in their 6-2 loss against Chelsea and could be an interesting player to watch.
Most goals and assists
Aston Villa
Wolves
J. Duran
(8 Goals)
M. Cunha
(5 Goals)
Y. Tielemans
(4 Assists)
R. Ait-Nouri
(2 Assists)
, 
M. Lemina
(2 Assists)
, 
J. Larsen
(2 Assists)
, 
N. Semedo
(2 Assists)
,
M. Cunha
(2 Assists)
Aston Villa - Wolves Key Points
- Three of Villa’s four league matches this season have produced over 2.5 goals
- Villa have scored exactly three goals in four of their last six home league matches
- Wolves have conceded nine goals in their last three league matches
- In six of their last eight away league games, Wolves have conceded at least two goals
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Our Aston Villa vs Wolves Prediction
Aston Villa started this season the way they ended the last—on a high. They have been impressive in their three wins so far, with their lone defeat coming against a strong Arsenal side. Wolves have been impressive too, in terms of goals, although the final results haven’t been to their liking. They have already conceded 11 goals this season, although six of those were in one match against Arsenal. This derby also promises to be full of goals, and that’s why our prediction for Aston Villa vs Wolverhampton is for over 2.5 goals to be scored.
Aston Villa vs Wolves - Other Interesting Predictions
Jhon Duran to score anytime
Considered to be a generational talent, Jhon Duran is rated very high at Aston Villa. Unai Emeri believes that he can transform the youngster into a world-class forward and is closely monitoring his progress. He is struggling to get into the starting XI though, as Ollie Watkins is in impressive form himself. That said, Duran has scored three goals in his last four Premier League matches. He can be an interesting option to back in the scorers’ market.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Aston Villa Wolves
| Aston Villa vs Wolves | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins | 1.5 | 1.62 | +8.0% |
| Draw | 4.5 | 4.1 | -8.9% |
| Wolves wins | 5.75 | 5 | -13.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Aston Villa is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 8.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 66.7% and is now 61.7% (-4.9%)
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Aston Villa vs Wolves match : Frequently asked questions
This Aston Villa vs Wolverhampton English Premier League match will be televised live on Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports Premier League in the UK.
You can also follow the game through our live scores. Check out our English Premier League Livescore page!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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