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Aston Villa vs Southampton Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Devesh Jaganath in Premier League Predictions
Aston Villa will be looking to close the gap to the top four teams in the Premier League when they play host to Southampton at Villa Park on Saturday afternoon. The Villans are seventh in the league standings while the Saints are rooted to the bottom of the table after 14 games. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Villa will enter this contest having won their last three matches against the Saints while maintaining clean sheets in each of those wins - a significant turnaround after winning just two of the preceding 13 matches with the Saints. The Villans are also unbeaten in all 11 of their top-flight matches against newly-promoted sides since Unai Emery took charge at Villa Park, including winning five of their six at home.
Southampton have lost their last two visits to this venue by an aggregate score of 5-0 and are the clear underdogs in this match. Let’s take a look at some other interesting stats at play in this one.
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The Best Betting Odds for Aston Villa v Southampton Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.3 | 5.5 | 9 |
|
|
1.53 | 3.25 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.36 | 5.75 | 8.65 |
|
|
1.36 | 5.75 | 8.65 |
|
|
1.36 | 5.25 | 8.75 |
|
|
1.36 | 5.6 | 8 |
|
|
1.36 | 5.35 | 7.6 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.8 | 8.4 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.5 | 9 |
|
|
1.32 | 5.8 | 10 |
|
|
1.38 | 5 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.34 | 5.7 | 10 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.25 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.35 | 5 | 9 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Aston Villa and Southampton?
Our prediction for the Aston Villa vs Southampton match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/12/2024 between Aston Villa and Southampton in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 55.54% for a win of Aston Villa against Southampton with odds of 1.53 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Aston Villa vs Southampton is 28.62% with odds of 5.8 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 15.84% chance ⭐ for a win of Southampton vs Aston Villa with odds of 10 at Betsson.
Aston Villa - Southampton Prediction and Best Odds:
| Aston Villa Southampton Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins | 55.54% | 1.53 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 53.22% | 2.8 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 54.17% | 1.91 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Aston Villa | 24.2% | 4.35 at Unibet |
Aston Villa vs Southampton Form
Aston Villa and Southampton's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
28 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
|
20
|
5 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | -25 |
Aston Villa and Southampton Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
1 Dec 2024 - Premier League
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
23 Nov 2024 - Premier League
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
23 Nov 2024 - Premier League
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
26 Oct 2024 - Premier League
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Dec 2024 - Premier League
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
3 Nov 2024 - Premier League
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
29 Sep 2024 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
29 Nov 2024 - Premier League
24 Nov 2024 - Premier League
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
29 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
24 Nov 2024 - Premier League
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
29 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2024 - Premier League
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
26 Oct 2024 - Premier League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
30 Sep 2024 - Premier League
17 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
Aston Villa vs Southampton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Jan 2023 - Premier League
16 Sep 2022 - Premier League
5 Mar 2022 - Premier League
5 Nov 2021 - Premier League
30 Jan 2021 - Premier League
1 Nov 2020 - Premier League
Aston Villa - Southampton: Form Analysis
After making a very impressive start to the season, conceding just one defeat in their first 13 matches in all competitions, Aston Villa experienced a major drop-off between the end of October and the start of this month.
During that period, the Villans failed to win a single match, losing five and drawing three, which saw them slip out of the European qualification spots.
However, Villa brought that dismal run of form to an end with a 3-1 victory over Brentford in midweek, marking the first time they have scored three goals in a match since mid-October.
Villa are now unbeaten in their last six home games in the league (W3 D3 L0)!
Meanwhile, Southampton are at risk of being cut adrift by Christmas, as they are dead last in the league standings and their five points to date leave them seven points from safety.
The Saints suffered a thumping 5-1 defeat to Chelsea in midweek, marking their fourth consecutive league game without victory, while they conceded 11 goals during that period.
On the road, the visitors have only managed a single point in seven outings this term and conceded two or more goals in four of those matches.
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Players list
E. Martinez
DefenderE. Konsa
D. Carlos
P. Torres
L. Digne
MidfielderB. Kamara
R. Barkley
J. McGinn
J. Philogene
ForwardM. Rogers
O. Watkins
J. Lumley
DefenderJ. Aribo
T. Harwood-Bellis
N. Wood
K. Walker-Peters
MidfielderK. Sulemana
B. Brereton
M. Fernandes
ForwardT. Dibling
A. Armstrong
S. Amo-Ameyaw
Substitutes
R. Olsen
DefenderT. Mings
L. Digne
M. Cash
MidfielderR. Barkley
A. Onana
E. Buendia
ForwardO. Watkins
J. Philogene
A. McCarthy
DefenderR. Edwards
C. Taylor
Y. Sugawara
MidfielderJ. Aribo
S. Amo-Ameyaw
R. Fraser
B. Brereton
K. Sulemana
Missing players
J. Ramsey
G. Bazunu
A. Ramsdale
MidfielderW. Smallbone
ForwardR. Stewart
Aston Villa & Southampton Squad Analysis
Emiliano Martinez was a doubt ahead of the side’s match with Brentford due to an injury sustained against Chelsea, but the shot-stopper featured in the match and should be available this weekend.
Amadou Onana sat out the win against the Bees owing to a foot injury and is still touch-and-go for this match. Jacob Ramsey is expected to miss at least another two weeks of action.
Ollie Watkins has scored five goals in Villa’s last six home league games!
Southampton were forced to field their third-choice goalkeeper Joe Lumley in the thrashing against Chelsea, with Gavin Bazunu and Aaron Ramsdale both out with injuries.
Adam Lallana (hamstring), Will Smallbone (hamstring) and Ross Stewart (calf) are also sidelined at present, while Jack Stephens was sent off against the Blues and is suspended.
However, Tyler Dibling, Flynn Downes and Taylor Harwood-Bellis will be eligible to return to action this weekend, having served their one-match suspensions.
Most goals and assists
Aston Villa
Southampton
J. Duran
(12 Goals)
C. Archer
(5 Goals)
Y. Tielemans
(6 Assists)
M. Fernandes
(4 Assists)
Aston Villa - Southampton Key Points
- Seven of Aston Villa’s last 10 league games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Aston Villa have only kept one clean sheet in seven home games this season.
- Seven of Southampton’s last 10 league games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Southampton have only kept one clean sheet in the league this season.
- Southampton have conceded two or more goals in four of their six away games this season.
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Our Aston Villa vs Southampton Prediction
Aston Villa experienced a major slump over the last month, but they got back in the win column in midweek with a solid showing against Brentford and will be looking to build on that result this weekend.
Southampton, meanwhile, have been the worst team in the division this term, but they have somehow managed to find the net in all but two of their last 10 games. The hosts should get the win but we feel the visitors could nick a goal in this one as well. Our Aston Villa vs Southampton prediction is both teams to score.
Aston Villa vs Southampton - Other Interesting Predictions
Ollie Watkins to score anytime
While Ollie Watkins has gone under the radar this season, the England forward has netted five goals in the Villans' last six home league games, including in each of his last two at Villa Park.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Aston Villa Southampton
| Aston Villa vs Southampton | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins | 1.33 | 1.3 | -2.3% |
| Draw | 5 | 5.5 | +10.0% |
| Southampton wins | 7.5 | 9 | +20.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Aston Villa is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 75.2% and is now 76.9% (1.7%)
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Aston Villa vs Southampton match : Frequently asked questions
The Premier League match between Aston Villa and Southampton will be played on November 7 at 15:00 GMT.
The Premier League match between Aston Villa and Southampton will take place at Villa Park in Birmingham.
The Premier League match between Aston Villa and Southampton will not be broadcast on TV in the UK.
However, you can stay up to the minute with all the Premier League Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
Darren Bond will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Lee Betts, Richard West and John Busby as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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