Europe - Champions League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Champions League Predictions
Aston Villa have it all to do to reach the last four of the Champions League. The English Premier League club trail visitors PSG 3-1 after the first leg of this quarter-final. Can the Villans reach the last four? Here's our match prediction.
The winners of this match will face either Arsenal or Real Madrid in the semi-finals. That's looking like Arsenal after they won the first leg 3-0. Could we therefore see an all-Premier League semi-final? Villa certainly need to put in a great performance if they are to claw back a two-goal deficit against PSG. Their home form in this season's Champions League has been impressive though.
PSG have already won Ligue 1 and can concentrate on trying to win their first ever Champions League title. They are playing their third game in England in this season's Champions League with one win at Anfield and a loss at Arsenal so far. What will their third visit produce?
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The Best Betting Odds for Aston Villa v PSG Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.25 | 3.8 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.8 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.8 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.25 | 3.75 | 2.07 |
|
|
3.42 | 3.79 | 2.15 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Aston Villa and PSG?
Our prediction for the Aston Villa vs PSG match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/04/2025 between Aston Villa and PSG in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.18% for a win of Aston Villa against PSG with odds of 3.42 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Aston Villa vs PSG is 9.87% with odds of 3.99 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 55.95% chance ⭐ for a win of PSG vs Aston Villa with odds of 2.15 at 1xbet.
Aston Villa vs PSG Form
Aston Villa and PSG Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2025 - Premier League
9 Apr 2025 - Champions League
5 Apr 2025 - Premier League
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
30 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
20 Mar 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2025 - Premier League
20 Mar 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
28 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
19 Feb 2025 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2025 - Premier League
9 Apr 2025 - Champions League
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
30 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Apr 2025 - Champions League
5 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
1 Apr 2025 - French Cup
29 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
11 Mar 2025 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Apr 2025 - Champions League
5 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
1 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Feb 2025 - Champions League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Apr 2025 - French Cup
29 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
11 Mar 2025 - Champions League
8 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Feb 2025 - French Cup
23 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
Aston Villa vs PSG Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
9 Apr 2025 - Champions League
Aston Villa - PSG: Form Analysis
Aston Villa led in the first leg of this tie but ended up losing 3-1. When it was 2-1 in second-half added-on time, they were probably happy with the score. Conceding again in the 92nd minute has put a totally different complexion on this quarter-final.
The Lions bounced back from their loss in the first leg with a 3-0 win at Southampton on Saturday. It took them until late in the second half to score against the Saints who are already relegated.
Home form has been strong for Villa in this season's Champions League. They have won four of their five games with the other being a goalless draw with Juventus.
PSG are bidding to make it eight successive victories.
PSG have won their last seven competitive games and they haven't had to play a match since the first leg. Their only loss in the last games was inflicted in Paris by Liverpool. On the road, the Parisians have had a few problems in this season's Champions League.
They lost at Arsenal and Bayern Munich in the league phase. The last four have been won though with 11 goals scored.
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Aston Villa vs PSG last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
L. Bailey
Aston Villa & PSG Squad Analysis
Aston Villa go into this second leg knowing they need to score at least twice to have a chance of qualification. That late goal in Paris last week really has made their job of reaching the last four so much more difficult.
At least they have few injury concerns for this return leg at Villa Park. Their only real concern is Leon Bailey who is approaching a return to fitness but this match will come too soon for the Jamaican forward.
Neither Watkins, McGinn or Malen started the weekend game at Southampton but did come on as subs. Whether Asensio remains their penalty taker remains to be seen. He missed two against the Saints on Saturday and this tie could easily be decided by a penalty shootout.
Watkins is likely to start this match.
The worry for Villa though is if they can't get an early breakthrough or even go a goal down. Watkins didn't start the first leg but is expected to be on from the start on Tuesday.
PSG will be boosted by the return of Marquinhos. He missed the first leg through suspension. Not playing a match since the first leg has also helped the Ligue 1 champions. Lucas Beraldo was highly influential last week with 148 passes completed.
They will look for more goals from Ousmane Dembele who has already scored six goals in this season's Champions League. Another on Tuesday would take PSG a major step towards the last four.
Most goals and assists
Aston Villa
PSG
O. Watkins
(15 Goals)
O. Dembélé
(28 Goals)
O. Watkins
(10 Assists)
B. Barcola
(12 Assists)
Aston Villa and PSG Stats in Champions League
Aston Villa - PSG Key Points
- Two of the last three Aston Villa games have seen both teams score.
- 11 of the last 13 Aston Villa home matches have seen both teams get on the scoresheet.
- Both teams have scored in three of the last four Aston Villa games in the Champions League.
- Four of the last five PSG games have seen both teams score.
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Our Aston Villa vs PSG Prediction
Aston Villa will have been disappointed to return from Paris with a two-goal deficit, especially after taking the lead. They have shown good home form in the Champions League and will need to be on top form on Tuesday. Recent home games have seen them scoring plenty but also conceding.
PSG started this season's Champions League slowly but have recovered well. They have already won Ligue 1 and can put all their efforts into finally winning the Champions League. Our main Aston Villa v PSG prediction is both teams to score.
Aston Villa vs PSG - Other Interesting Predictions
Ousmane Dembele to score
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Aston Villa vs PSG match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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