England - Premier League
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by Kennedy Kechula in Premier League Predictions
Two sides in superb form, Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa, will go head-to-head in their next Premier League game this weekend. The two clash in the 31st round of matches, both seeking to secure places in Europe at the end of the season. With the sides coming into the weekend on positive runs, let’s have a look at the preview and at least two predictions of the match.
Aston Villa will play host, starting the weekend in seventh place on 48 points. Their visitors are four places ahead, with 57 points, and more crucially a seven-point buffer ahead of fifth spot.
Villa have hit a purple patch, securing a place in the Champions League quarter-finals and FA Cup semi-final. Meanwhile, Forest are well in control of their top four destiny and are also in the FA Cup semis. By all means, looking at the stakes, this will be one of the major games to follow this weekend.
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The Best Betting Odds for Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.95 | 3.5 | 3.75 |
|
|
2 | 3.6 | 3.75 |
|
|
2.3 | 2.45 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.55 | 3.59 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.55 | 3.59 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest?
Our prediction for the Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest match is: draw and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/04/2025 between Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.2% for a win of Aston Villa against Nottingham Forest with odds of 2.3 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest is 29.31% with odds of 3.75 at Betfair.
- Our prediction model gives a 17.49% chance ⭐ for a win of Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa with odds of 4.1 at Vbet.
Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest Prediction and Best Odds:
| Aston Villa Nottingham Forest Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins | 53.2% | 2.3 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.93% | 1.96 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 59.58% | 1.75 at William Hill |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Aston Villa | 25.39% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Form
Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
60 | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 14 |
|
7
|
57 | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 5 |
Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
30 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
20 Mar 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
28 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
19 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
30 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
25 Feb 2025 - Premier League
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Apr 2025 - Premier League
29 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
15 Mar 2025 - Premier League
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
3 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Apr 2025 - Premier League
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
3 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
19 Jan 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
15 Mar 2025 - Premier League
23 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
11 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Dec 2024 - Premier League
24 Feb 2024 - Premier League
5 Nov 2023 - Premier League
8 Apr 2023 - Premier League
10 Oct 2022 - Premier League
13 Mar 2019 - Championship
Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest: Form Analysis
While there is still a lot to play, this match could have a season-defining feel for Aston Villa. They are just two points from the top five though this could change by the time they get to host Forest.
The race for European football is congested and Villa, with a -1 goal difference, will only be safe with a win. Villa are three points only ahead of ninth placed Fulham, and hold the most inferior goal difference among the top 12 teams.
Unai Emery’s side thrashed Brighton 3-0 in the last game, posting a sixth straight win in all competitions.
Aston Villa have only lost once in the league at home this season.
At this point in time, it is hard to imagine Nottingham Forest were battling for survival last season. They’ve had a fairytale campaign and are not only turning heads in the league but also in the FA Cup.
Nuno Espirito Santo’s side is each week moving closer to sealing a top-four place. They edged there with a well-deserved 1-0 home win against Manchester United last time out.
Their recent six matches are dotted with three draws, two in the FA Cup but the visitors will be targeting a fourth straight league win here.
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Players list
E. Martinez
DefenderA. Disasi
T. Mings
I. Maatsen
MidfielderE. Konsa
B. Kamara
Y. Tielemans
ForwardJ. Ramsey
J. McGinn
M. Rogers
M. Rashford
M. Sels
DefenderN. Williams
N. Milenkovic
W. Boly
MidfielderMurillo
R. Yates
E. Anderson
R. Sosa
M. Gibbs-White
ForwardJ. Silva
C. Hudson-Odoi
Substitutes
R. Olsen
DefenderM. Cash
E. Konsa
L. Digne
P. Torres
MidfielderB. Kamara
J. McGinn
J. Ramsey
M. Rashford
C. Miguel
DefenderH. Toffolo
Z. Abbott
E. Da Silva Moreira
W. Boly
D. Oliveira
I. Sangare
ForwardR. Sosa
J. Silva
Missing players
R. Barkley
L. Bailey
O. Aina
ForwardC. Wood
Aston Villa & Nottingham Forest Squad Analysis
The case for Ollie Watkins at Aston Villa is a curious one. The England international has started from the bench in the team’s last two matches. Despite being their leading scorer, with 13 goals and six assists, he has played second fiddle to Manchester United loanee Marcus Rashford.
Of his 72 shots this season in the Premier League, 42% were on target and he has an xG of 13.87.
His replacement, Rashford has done well in the last two matches. He got his first league goal for Villa in the win against Brighton, having scored twice in the FA Cup earlier.
The manager is clearly looking to make the most of his recent form as well as boosting his confidence.
Marco Asensio is the other offensive outlet for Villa. Across the last eight matches, the Spaniard has scored eight times, three being in the league.
Aston Villa might be without Ross Barkley who is nursing a calf injury.
Nottingham Forest are sweating over the fitness of top scorer Chris Wood. The striker hurt his thigh during the international break and has so far missed two matches.
With 21 goal contributions, it is little wonder why he features prominently in Forest’s pre-match talks. So prolific he has been this season in the league that his xG is rated at an impressive 11.04.
In his absence, Anthony Elanga is emerging as a worthwhile replacement. The 22-year-old has scored three times in the team’s last two league matches. His latest, the winner against his former team, Manchester United, pushed his goal contributions for the season to 14, having assisted eight.
Defensively, Forest are well covered, with goalkeeper Matz Sels, who kept his 13th clean sheet of the season last time out. However, Ola Aina will be out after sustaining a calf injury in the same game.
Most goals and assists
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
O. Watkins
(16 Goals)
C. Wood
(19 Goals)
O. Watkins
(11 Assists)
A. Elanga
(9 Assists)
Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest Key Points
- Aston Villa drew seven of their last 12 home league matches.
- Four of Aston Villa’s last nine league matches ended in draws.
- Seven of Aston Villa’s last 10 home league games had over 2.5 goals.
- Across all competitions, Nottingham have three draws in six matches.
- Eight of Nottingham Forest’s last 10 away league games had over 2.5 goals.
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Our Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Prediction
Three times in their last five away league matches, Nottingham Forest scored at least three goals. They will look to carry this form to a Villa side with just one clean sheet in 10 home matches. Villa, on the other hand, have a good scoring run and their forwards have hit top form.
The hosts haven't lost at home lately, but the number of draws coming from their home matches is a concern. It will be another big test against Forest. Our prediction for Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest is for a draw and over 2.5 goals.
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
Nottingham Forest have had three clean sheets in their last four matches. Facing Aston Villa’s free-scoring forward line will put the visitors to test. It will be hard to withstand this for 90 minutes while at the same time, Villa’s style will invite Forest to attack. The hosts rarely keep clean sheets at home in the league. With that in mind, our second prediction is for both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Aston Villa Nottingham Forest
| Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins | 2.2 | 1.95 | -11.4% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.5 | +2.9% |
| Nottingham Forest wins | 3.2 | 3.75 | +17.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Aston Villa is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 11.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 45.5% and is now 51.3% (5.8%)
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Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest match : Frequently asked questions
The Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest match will be played on Saturday 5th April.
The Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest match will be played at Villa Park, in Birmingham.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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