England - Premier League
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by Kennedy Kechula in Premier League Predictions
Aston Villa and Newcastle United were in action in midweek in different competitions and had contrasting outcomes. This weekend, they converge in the Premier League in a battle for three points that are sure to be crucial in their chase for European football next year. In this match hosted by Aston Villa, below is our preview and a prediction.
Aston Villa finished the 32nd round of fixtures placed seventh with 54 points. With the Premier League set to supply five teams for the Champions League next season, Villa are contenders, being just a point behind the top five.
Meanwhile, Newcastle have been on a steady rise and find themselves in the top three heading into this clash. Across the last five rounds, no team in the league has enjoyed as good a run as Eddie Howe’s men. Can they be the second team in the league to beat Aston Villa at Villa Park this season?
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The Best Betting Odds for Aston Villa v Newcastle Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.55 | 3.6 | 2.63 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.75 | 2.63 |
|
|
2.7 | 2.6 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.55 | 2.62 |
|
|
2.64 | 3.59 | 2.72 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Aston Villa and Newcastle?
Our prediction for the Aston Villa vs Newcastle match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/04/2025 between Aston Villa and Newcastle in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.43% for a win of Aston Villa against Newcastle with odds of 2.7 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Aston Villa vs Newcastle is 5.27% with odds of 3.75 at Betfred.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.3% chance ⭐ for a win of Newcastle vs Aston Villa with odds of 3 at Betfair.
Aston Villa - Newcastle Prediction and Best Odds:
| Aston Villa Newcastle Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins | 53.43% | 2.7 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 76.92% | 1.71 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 48.75% | 1.55 at Betway |
| Half-time: Newcastle / Full-time: Aston Villa | 19.73% | 30 at Betsson |
Aston Villa vs Newcastle Form
Aston Villa and Newcastle's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
59 | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 21 |
|
7
|
54 | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 3 |
Aston Villa and Newcastle Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Apr 2025 - Champions League
12 Apr 2025 - Premier League
9 Apr 2025 - Champions League
5 Apr 2025 - Premier League
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
30 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Apr 2025 - Champions League
5 Apr 2025 - Premier League
20 Mar 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
28 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2025 - Premier League
9 Apr 2025 - Champions League
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
30 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Apr 2025 - Premier League
13 Apr 2025 - Premier League
7 Apr 2025 - Premier League
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
16 Mar 2025 - Carabao Cup
10 Mar 2025 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Apr 2025 - Premier League
13 Apr 2025 - Premier League
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
2 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
23 Feb 2025 - Premier League
5 Feb 2025 - Carabao Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Apr 2025 - Premier League
16 Mar 2025 - Carabao Cup
10 Mar 2025 - Premier League
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
Aston Villa vs Newcastle Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
0 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
30 Jan 2024 - Premier League
12 Aug 2023 - Premier League
15 Apr 2023 - Premier League
29 Oct 2022 - Premier League
13 Feb 2022 - Premier League
Aston Villa - Newcastle: Form Analysis
Aston Villa have nine wins in their last 10 matches. They put up a brave fight in midweek to beat French heavyweights PSG 3-2 in their Champions League quarter-final return leg.
However, their efforts in the end counted for little, as they lost 5-4 on aggregate. There isn’t time to mourn; attention shifts straight back to the Premier League.
The Lions have won four straight matches in the league and will want to pick it up from there after the midweek heartbreak. In their last league game, Villa beat Southampton 3-0.
At home in the league this season, only one team has beaten Villa – second placed Arsenal.
Villa are unbeaten at home in their last 18 matches in all competitions.
If there is a team that will genuinely feel they can break Villa at home, it has to be Newcastle United. Apart from their current good run, the Magpies have also dominated recent meetings with Aston Villa.
They come here having beaten Villa in each of their last three clashes, the most recent ending 3-0 in December. Last season they completed a double, and on Saturday they will be gunning for the same.
It will be hard to argue against Newcastle’s ability to achieve that, as they have six straight wins in all competitions. The sixth was a 5-0 win at home to Crystal Palace in midweek.
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Aston Villa vs Newcastle last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Aston Villa & Newcastle Squad Analysis
This match will be a display for some of the best forwards in the league. At Aston Villa, Ollie Watkins will be hoping for a starting berth. The England international has been coming in from the bench in most of the team’s recent matches.
Unai Emery has shown a preference to start with Marcus Rashford despite Watkins having scored 14 times in the league this season. Apart from Watkins and Rashford, Marco Asensio will be the other outlet for goals if needed.
The Spaniard has scored eight across three competitions since his winter arrival. He will hope to atone for the two penalty misses against Southampton.
Aston Villa have a fully fit squad to pick from.
At Newcastle United, there is no guessing who will shoulder the burden for goals. Alexander Isak will be the main man again even though lately goals have been flying in from all departments.
In their last outing they had five different scorers, with Isak netting the final one. He now has 21 league goals and six assists from 29 matches.
In this game, the Magpies will be without three men – Jamaal Lascelles, Lewis Hall and Sven Botman – all who are nursing various injuries.
Most goals and assists
Aston Villa
Newcastle
O. Watkins
(15 Goals)
A. Isak
(24 Goals)
O. Watkins
(10 Assists)
J. Murphy
(12 Assists)
Aston Villa and Newcastle Stats in Premier League
Aston Villa - Newcastle Key Points
- Each of Aston Villa’s last seven matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Villa’s past five league matches produced a total of 14 goals.
- Villa’s last five league matches averaged three goals per game.
- An average of 2.8 goals were scored in Newcastle’s last five away matches.
- Newcastle United scored at least three goals in their last three league matches.
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Our Aston Villa vs Newcastle Prediction
This match promises goals, as the two sides that face off have been scoring a lot while keeping few clean sheets. Aston Villa, for example, scored 12 times in the last five matches but conceded five goals in the process while keeping two clean sheets.
It is the same case at Newcastle United; they have two clean sheets and have scored in all of the last five. The Magpies scored 16 times in the said five matches. In that regard, our prediction for Aston Villa v Newcastle United is for over 2.5.
Aston Villa vs Newcastle - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
Our second prediction for this match would be for both teams to score. In their good scoring forms, which have been accompanied by few clean sheets, seeing goals on both ends is a strong possibility.
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Aston Villa vs Newcastle match : Frequently asked questions
The Aston Villa v Newcastle United match will be played at Villa Park.
The Aston Villa v Newcastle United match is scheduled for Saturday 19 April.
Jared Gillet will be the center referee for the Aston Villa v Newcastle United match. He will be assisted by Lee Betts and Sian Massey-Ellis.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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