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Aston Villa vs Manchester United Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Devesh Jaganath in Premier League Predictions
After midweek’s elation, Villa Park will come to life again on Sunday afternoon when Aston Villa play host to Manchester United in the Premier League. The Villans enter this match in fifth place in the league standings, while the Red Devils are languishing down in 13th. Check out our prediction below!
While Aston Villa are the side on the up this season, they have won only one of their last 25 Premier League matches against Man United. That victory came in Unai Emery’s first game in charge of the club back in November 2022. United, meanwhile, have beaten Villa 40 times in the top flight - they have only bested Everton more often in the history of the Premier League (41).
Given Man United’s patchy form this season, it comes as little surprise to see them installed as the underdogs in this match, but can an under-pressure Erik ten Hag lead his side to a much-needed victory? Let’s get into the key stats in this one.
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The Best Betting Odds for Aston Villa v Manchester United Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.1 | 3.9 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.6 | 3 |
|
|
2.23 | 3.99 | 3.02 |
|
|
2.23 | 3.99 | 3.02 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.8 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.33 | 3.68 | 2.84 |
|
|
2.33 | 3.68 | 2.84 |
|
|
2.23 | 3.9 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.17 | 3.84 | 3.02 |
|
|
2.23 | 3.8 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.85 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.7 | 3 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.9 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.6 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.98 | 3.17 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.75 | 3 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Aston Villa and Manchester United?
Our prediction for the Aston Villa vs Manchester United match is: Over 2.5!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/10/2024 between Aston Villa and Manchester United in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.49% for a win of Aston Villa against Manchester United with odds of 2.33 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Aston Villa vs Manchester United is 28.48% with odds of 3.99 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.03% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester United vs Aston Villa with odds of 3.17 at Vbet.
Aston Villa - Manchester United Prediction and Best Odds:
| Aston Villa Manchester United Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins | 45.49% | 2.33 at Betwinner |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70.53% | 1.64 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 66.25% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Aston Villa | 21.19% | 6 at Bet365 |
Aston Villa vs Manchester United Form
Aston Villa and Manchester United's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
19 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
|
12
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
Aston Villa and Manchester United Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
29 Sep 2024 - Premier League
24 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
17 Sep 2024 - Champions League
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
13 May 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Sep 2024 - Premier League
24 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
17 Sep 2024 - Champions League
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Oct 2024 - Europa League
29 Sep 2024 - Premier League
25 Sep 2024 - Europa League
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
17 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Sep 2024 - Premier League
25 Sep 2024 - Europa League
17 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
1 Sep 2024 - Premier League
16 Aug 2024 - Premier League
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Oct 2024 - Europa League
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Community Shield
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Aston Villa vs Manchester United Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
11 Feb 2024 - Premier League
26 Dec 2023 - Premier League
30 Apr 2023 - Premier League
10 Nov 2022 - Carabao Cup
6 Nov 2022 - Premier League
15 Jan 2022 - Premier League
Aston Villa - Manchester United: Form Analysis
Aston Villa will be riding a wave of confidence entering this match, having overcome Bayern Munich in midweek here at Villa Park in the first European match played at the venue in over four decades.
That result extended the Villans' unbeaten run across all competitions to seven in a row. The only match they’ve lost this season was against Arsenal back in gameweek two of the league campaign.
The loss to the Gunners was also Villa’s only home defeat conceded this term. Since then, they have rattled off three consecutive victories, including scoring three goals apiece against Everton and Wolves in their two league fixtures.
Aston Villa have scored two or more goals in five of their six league games this season!
Meanwhile, Manchester United were also involved in European competition in midweek and played out a frenetic 3-3 draw away to Porto. In that match, United allowed a two-goal advantage to slip, were reduced to 10 men, and scored a stoppage-time equaliser.
With that, the Red Devils are now on a four-match winless run, including three draws and a loss. Their only victories this season were against newly promoted Southampton and lower-league Barnsley in the EFL Cup.
In three away games, United have split the results one win, one draw and one loss, though they have kept clean sheets in their last two outings. However, the Red Devils have only scored five goals this season, which is the second-worst record in the division.
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Players list
E. Martinez
DefenderM. Cash
D. Carlos
P. Torres
I. Maatsen
MidfielderR. Barkley
Y. Tielemans
J. Duran
ForwardM. Rogers
J. Philogene
O. Watkins
A. Onana
DefenderV. Lindelof
M. De Ligt
J. Evans
D. Dalot
MidfielderCasemiro
C. Eriksen
B. Fernandes
ForwardA. Garnacho
Antony
J. Zirkzee
Substitutes
J. Gauci
DefenderK. Nedeljkovic
D. Carlos
I. Maatsen
S. Swinkels
MidfielderL. Bogarde
K. Young
E. Buendia
ForwardJ. Duran
A. Bayindir
DefenderM. De Ligt
L. Martinez
V. Lindelof
M. Ugarte
A. Diallo
Casemiro
J. Zirkzee
Antony
Missing players
B. Kamara
A. Onana
J. Ramsey
L. Shaw
T. Malacia
L. Yoro
Aston Villa & Manchester United Squad Analysis
While Aston Villa picked up the victory over the Bavarians in midweek, they also suffered two fresh injury blows, with Jacob Ramsey and Amadou Onana both unable to complete the match.
The midfield duo are now flagged as doubts for this weekend’s fixture. If unable to return in time, they will join the likes of John McGinn (hamstring), Robin Olsen (head), Boubacar Kamara (knee), Jaden Philogene (knock) and Tyrone Mings (cruciate ligament tear) on the sidelines.
Ollie Watkins has scored four goals in his last three Premier League games, while Jhon Duran has scored three in his last four.
Bruno Fernandes will be available for Man United this weekend after his red card against Spurs was overturned on appeal!
However, the Red Devils are still missing several players, including long-term absentees Leny Yoro and Tyrell Malacia, who are ruled out with a fractured metatarsal and serious knee injury respectively.
Luke Shaw is reportedly closing in on recovery from a calf problem but is still a few weeks away, while Kobbie Mainoo (muscle) and Mason Mount (head) are also considered doubts for this match.
Most goals and assists
Aston Villa
Manchester United
J. Duran
(8 Goals)
A. Garnacho
(6 Goals)
Y. Tielemans
(5 Assists)
B. Fernandes
(6 Assists)
Aston Villa - Manchester United Key Points
- Five of Aston Villa’s six league games this season have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Aston Villa have scored two or more goals in five of their six league games this season.
- Aston Villa have not kept a clean sheet in league games this season.
- Four of Manchester United’s six league games this season have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Manchester United have conceded two or more goals in three of their last five league games.
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Our Aston Villa vs Manchester United Prediction
Aston Villa have been in excellent form this season, particularly in attack, where they have already netted 12 goals in just six games, which is the third-best tally of any side in the division.
Man United, meanwhile, carry a decent attacking threat as we saw in midweek against Porto, but they have also shipped three goals in each of their last two matches in all competitions, indicating their defensive frailty. Therefore, our Aston Villa vs Manchester United prediction: Over 2.5!
Aston Villa vs Manchester United - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
Aston Villa have failed to keep a single clean sheet so far this season and have seen five of their six matches end with both teams scoring.
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
More than 80 leagues and competitions are available on this football promotion from bet365. If the team that you have backed takes a two-goal lead at any point in the game, then your bet is a winner. This counts on both single bets and on multiple placed on the full time market, though of course on a multiple it is only the game in question that is marked as a winner, all the other selections still have to win as well.
A bet placed on any enhanced price is not valid for this offer, nor any bet that is cashed out. If you have partially chased out, the remainder of the stake is paid out as a winner. If your acca selection would have been a loser but for this offer then you will not gain any acca boost winnings. So for example, your team goes 2-0 up so you are paid out as a winner but the end result is 2-2, your bet is still a winner if all the other selections win but you do not gain any acca boost.
Aston Villa vs Manchester United match : Frequently asked questions
The Premier League match between Aston Villa and Manchester United will be played on October 6 at 14:00 GMT.
The Premier League match between Aston Villa and Manchester United will take place at Villa Park in Birmingham.
The Premier League match between Aston Villa and Manchester United game will be broadcast live on Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports Premier League.
Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the Premier League Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
Robert Jones will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Neil Davies, Akil Howson and Simon Hooper as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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