England - Premier League
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
Aston Villa vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Steve Ashfield in Premier League Predictions
Aston Villa can climb above Manchester City in the Premier League with a home win on Saturday. The Villans begin the final weekend before Christmas at seventh in the table, two places behind their opponents. This is the first Premier League game of the weekend and both clubs are hoping to get back in winning ways after 2-1 losses last week. Aston Villa were beaten 2-1 at Nottingham Forest, while City slumped to a defeat at home to local rivals Manchester United.
Villa can move level on points with fourth placed Forest if they win this match. City will definitely go fourth if they beat Villa but with just one win in their last seven Premier League matches, can the Blues achieve that? City are on the kind of run that often gets a coach the sack rather than a new contract. All Guardiola wants for Christmas is his team to get back on the kind of winning run they usually go on at this time of year. Read our match prediction below.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
The Best Betting Odds for Aston Villa v Manchester City Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.1 | 3.6 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.5 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.2 | 2.6 | 2.37 |
|
|
3.34 | 3.68 | 2.18 |
|
|
3.34 | 3.68 | 2.18 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.7 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.16 | 3.58 | 2.18 |
|
|
3.16 | 3.58 | 2.18 |
|
|
3.15 | 3.65 | 2.22 |
|
|
3.12 | 3.56 | 2.22 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.75 | 2.22 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.68 | 2.22 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.5 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.6 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.25 | 3.6 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.15 | 3.7 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.5 | 2.2 |
|
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
What is the prediction for the football match between Aston Villa and Manchester City?
Our prediction for the Aston Villa vs Manchester City match is: over 2.5 goals to be scored.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/12/2024 between Aston Villa and Manchester City in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.5% for a win of Aston Villa against Manchester City with odds of 3.34 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Aston Villa vs Manchester City is 28.66% with odds of 3.75 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.84% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester City vs Aston Villa with odds of 2.37 at Ladbrokes.
Aston Villa - Manchester City Prediction and Best Odds:
| Aston Villa Manchester City Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins | 46.5% | 3.34 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.28% | 1.64 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 68.33% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Aston Villa | 21.1% | 8 at Betfair |
Aston Villa vs Manchester City Form
Aston Villa and Manchester City's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
38 | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 15 |
|
8
|
36 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | -1 |
Aston Villa and Manchester City Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2024 - Premier League
10 Dec 2024 - Champions League
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
1 Dec 2024 - Premier League
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
23 Nov 2024 - Premier League
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
26 Oct 2024 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2024 - Premier League
10 Dec 2024 - Champions League
1 Dec 2024 - Premier League
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
3 Nov 2024 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Dec 2024 - Premier League
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
1 Dec 2024 - Premier League
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
23 Nov 2024 - Premier League
26 Oct 2024 - Premier League
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
1 Dec 2024 - Premier League
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
5 Nov 2024 - Champions League
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
Aston Villa vs Manchester City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Apr 2024 - Premier League
6 Dec 2023 - Premier League
12 Feb 2023 - Premier League
3 Sep 2022 - Premier League
22 May 2022 - Premier League
1 Dec 2021 - Premier League
Aston Villa - Manchester City: Form Analysis
Aston Villa led 1-0 at Nottingham Forest last weekend going into the 87th minute and ended up losing 2-1. If they'd held onto that lead, they'd be fourth in the Premier League. The VIllans had won their last three league and cup games before that defeat.
They are unbeaten in their last seven home league and cup matches. Only Arsenal have beaten them in their last 13 played in the Premier League but six have been drawn. Four of their last five games have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
Just what has happened to Manchester City?
A form guide for the last five Premier League games has Manchester City in 17th place with just four points. City have already lost five league games this season and that's already two defeats than last season. In terms of goals, 23 have been conceded and they only had 34 put past them in last season's Premier League. Just what is wrong with them?
Injuries is one reason for one win in their last 11 league and cup games. Defending has to be improved with the Blues conceding at least twice in ten of their last 11 fixtures. Their last four away league games have produced just one point.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Aston Villa against Manchester City Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
D. Carlos
O. Bobb
Rodri
Aston Villa & Manchester City Squad Analysis
Matty Cash could be left out of Aston Villa's home Premier League game against Manchester City. Unai Emery could switch Morgan Rogers to the flank instead of Cash. Coming into the Villa side could be Amadou Onana. Ollie Watkins might again start on the bench for this match.
Jacob Ramsey is still out injured and unlikely to return until the New Year. The same applies to Leon Bailey who has a hamstring injury. Tyrone Mings missed last weekend's game against Nottingham Forest due to illness but is expected to return for this match.
Lewis available again for Manchester City.
Manchester City will have defender Rico Lewis available again for this match. He was sent off in the recent 2-2 draw at Crystal Palace and was suspended for last weekend's Manchester derby.
Manuel Akanji has been missing for recent games but there's a chance he could feature this weekend. Rodri, Bobb and Ake will all be missing for City. It remains to be seen if Jack Grealish will start against his former club.
Most goals and assists
Aston Villa
Manchester City
J. Duran
(12 Goals)
E. Haaland
(22 Goals)
Y. Tielemans
(6 Assists)
, 
O. Watkins
(6 Assists)
K. De Bruyne
(7 Assists)
, 
Savinho
(7 Assists)
Aston Villa - Manchester City Key Points
- Four of Aston Villa's last five games have had over 2.5 goals scored in them.
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in five of the last seven games played between these two clubs.
- Two of the last three Aston Villa home league games have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in five of the last seven Manchester City away league matches.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Our Aston Villa vs Manchester City Prediction
This is a match that looks full of goals. Aston Villa have a strong home record with only one league game lost this season. Like their opponents, they looked to be heading for a win last weekend and then conceded two late goals to lose the match.
Manchester City continue to bemuse Pep Guardiola with a string of poor performances. This poor (almost unimaginable) run of form has been going on for nearly two months now. Our main Aston Villa v Manchester City prediction is over 2.5 goals to be scored.
Aston Villa vs Manchester City - Other Interesting Predictions
Draw and over 2.5 goals
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Aston Villa Manchester City
| Aston Villa vs Manchester City | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins | 4.2 | 3.1 | -26.2% |
| Draw | 4 | 3.6 | -10.0% |
| Manchester City wins | 1.73 | 2.2 | +27.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Aston Villa is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 26.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 23.8% and is now 32.3% (8.4%)
Bet £10 and Get £30 in Free Bets when you join William Hill
New customers who register with the William Hill site can benefit from an exciting Free Bet Welcome Offer of up to £30! All you have to do to be eligible for this offer is create a new account, and place your first deposit at the site using one of the accepted payment methods. The promo code R30 has to be used. You can then proceed to place your first bet to qualify for this offer, which must be of minimum stake £10 and minimum odds 1/2. You receive three £10 free bets when the qualifying bet has been settled. Full details and terms of this offer apply, and can be found at the William Hill site - register now to find out more!
Aston Villa vs Manchester City match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
