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Aston Villa vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Cydias Aujard in Premier League Predictions
This evening's Premier League matchday 29 is brought forward to 8.30pm, due to the Carabao Cup final being played that weekend (mid-March) by Liverpool Reds, who will then take on Newcastle Magpies. Today, it is Aston Villa who stand in the way of Arne Slot's men in their quest for a 20th English league title.
Well established at the top of the PL, 7 points clear of Arsenal, it will be a two-way battle for the title until the 38th and final matchday. Behind them, Nottingham Forest are already 13 points off the pace and Manchester City are 2 behind the leaders.
Aston Villa, for their part, have had a fairly disappointing season given the investment they have made in recent years, and again this winter with the arrivals of Marcus Rashford, Donyell Malen, Axel Disasi and Marco Asensio in particular. The Birmingham club are only 9th in the Premier League, and are already 5 points off 6th place, which qualifies them for the Conference League. The top 4, meanwhile, are 6 points behind.
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The Best Betting Odds for Aston Villa v Liverpool Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.7 | 4 | 1.9 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.75 | 2 |
|
|
3.75 | 3.75 | 1.91 |
|
|
3.91 | 4.06 | 1.89 |
|
|
3.91 | 4.06 | 1.89 |
|
|
3.8 | 3.9 | 1.9 |
|
|
3.86 | 3.96 | 1.84 |
|
|
3.86 | 3.96 | 1.84 |
|
|
3.7 | 3.95 | 1.94 |
|
|
3.8 | 4.02 | 1.85 |
|
|
3.9 | 4 | 1.9 |
|
|
3.86 | 4 | 1.92 |
|
|
3.75 | 3.8 | 1.88 |
|
|
3.95 | 3.9 | 1.83 |
|
|
3.75 | 3.9 | 1.91 |
|
|
3.8 | 4 | 1.92 |
|
|
3.75 | 3.9 | 1.85 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Aston Villa and Liverpool?
Our prediction for the Aston Villa vs Liverpool match is: Liverpool or draw and both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/02/2025 between Aston Villa and Liverpool in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.07% for a win of Aston Villa against Liverpool with odds of 3.95 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Aston Villa vs Liverpool is 30.7% with odds of 4.06 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.23% chance ⭐ for a win of Liverpool vs Aston Villa with odds of 2 at Betfred.
Aston Villa - Liverpool Prediction and Best Odds:
| Aston Villa Liverpool Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins | 35.07% | 3.95 at Unibet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.02% | 1.58 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score | 70% | 1.55 at Betway |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Aston Villa | 13.18% | 9 at Bet365 |
Aston Villa vs Liverpool Form
Aston Villa and Liverpool's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
61 | 26 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 36 |
|
9
|
39 | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | -3 |
Aston Villa and Liverpool Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
9 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
26 Jan 2025 - Premier League
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
9 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
26 Jan 2025 - Premier League
10 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - Premier League
15 Jan 2025 - Premier League
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
14 Dec 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Feb 2025 - Premier League
12 Feb 2025 - Premier League
9 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
6 Feb 2025 - Carabao Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Feb 2025 - Premier League
6 Feb 2025 - Carabao Cup
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
5 Jan 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Feb 2025 - Premier League
9 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - Premier League
14 Jan 2025 - Premier League
Aston Villa vs Liverpool Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
13 May 2024 - Premier League
3 Sep 2023 - Premier League
20 May 2023 - Premier League
26 Dec 2022 - Premier League
10 May 2022 - Premier League
Aston Villa - Liverpool: Form Analysis
Aston Villa, who are not in the doldrums either, have been inconsistent in recent weeks, winning just 2 of their last 7 games. The English club is also suffering from stiff competition in the English top flight, where any slip-up can be costly.
After losing to Wolverhampton, who are fighting to stay in the Premier League, it was thought that victory in their next game against Tottenham would give Unai Emery's men a boost. However, the home draw against Ipswich Town was extremely disappointing...
Liverpool have won 6 of their last 9 games.
Liverpool, for their part, are losing a little more than they did at the start of the season but are still a real war machine. The Reds have won 6 of their last 9 outings, and are counting on this game in hand to put a little more pressure on the Arsenal Gunners.
Although Ibrahima Konaté's team-mates have been ‘crushing’ their opponents less in recent weeks, a big performance from the men in red can happen at any time, and Tottenham, for example, paid the price in the second leg of the Carabao Cup at the start of February (Spurs won the first game 1-0, before being thrashed 4-0 at Anfield).
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Aston Villa against Liverpool Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
P. Torres
E. Konsa
MidfielderR. Barkley
L. Bailey
B. Kamara
A. Onana
J. Gomez
ForwardC. Gakpo
Aston Villa & Liverpool Squad Analysis
The numerous absences are also likely to explain Aston Villa's lack of results and consistency in recent weeks. For this English clash, Unai Emery will once again be without Ross Barkley, Matty Cash, Boubacar Kamara, Ezri Konsa, Amadou Onana and Pau Torres. It is therefore the defensive side of the team that will be badly affected. Leon Bailey is doubtful.
As for the players in the starting line-up, and in particular the in-form players, Marcus Rashford made an excellent start to the last match, scoring the decisive goal with a well-executed free-kick. Otherwise, the inevitable Emiliano Martinez will be on hand in goal to try and stop the Reds' attackers, backed up by his faithful defender Tyrone Mings, who has just returned from a knee injury and played his first minutes in the last match.
Mohamed Salah has scored 23 goals and made 14 assists in the Premier League this season.
Liverpool are likely to travel with fewer injuries this evening. Only Joe Gomez is out of action with a thigh injury. Cody Gakpo, who picked up an injury against Wolverhampton, remains doubtful and we'll have to keep an eye on Arne Slot's squad.
In terms of those present, how could we not mention Mohamed Salah? The Egypt international is having an extraordinary season, probably his best in terms of numbers, and has quite simply scored 23 goals and provided 14 assists in 25 Premier League games this season. He is clearly the team's number 1 attacking asset.
Most goals and assists
Aston Villa
Liverpool
O. Watkins
(13 Goals)
M. Salah
(29 Goals)
O. Watkins
(9 Assists)
M. Salah
(20 Assists)
Aston Villa - Liverpool Key Points
- Aston Villa have won only 2 of their last 7 games in all competitions.
- The Villans are coming off 1 very disappointing draw at home to Ipswich Town.
- The ‘both teams score’ prediction has come correct in 4 of Aston Villa's last 5 games.
- Liverpool have won 6 of their last 9 games.
- The ‘both teams score’ prediction came true in the Reds' 2 games.
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Our Aston Villa vs Liverpool Prediction
It's a match that will count at the end of the season. In the midst of Champions League action, we are treated to a Premier League clash at 8.30pm! With the title race well and truly underway, Liverpool will be keen to take advantage of this trip to Villa Park to put a little more pressure on Mikel Arteta and his men, by taking at least an eight-point lead over their main rivals for the title. The Reds will have to be wary, however, as their defence has remained very shaky in recent weeks, and Aston Villa could well take advantage of this to present them with a tricky match.
Our Aston Villa - Liverpool prediction is Liverpool or draw and both teams to score.
Aston Villa vs Liverpool - Other Interesting Predictions
Mohamed Salah to score and team win
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Aston Villa Liverpool
| Aston Villa vs Liverpool | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins | 3.6 | 3.7 | +2.8% |
| Draw | 4 | 4 | 0% |
| Liverpool wins | 1.85 | 1.9 | +2.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Aston Villa is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 27.8% and is now 27.0% (-0.8%)
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Aston Villa vs Liverpool match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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