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Aston Villa vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Ian John | in Premier League Predictions
Monday evening in the Premier League sees fourth-place Aston Villa host third-place Liverpool. A few weeks ago, this looked like being a game with a Champions League spot on the line for Villa and potentially a Premier League title at stake for Liverpool. Recent results have changed that meaning that this game doesn’t have as much pressure on it for either team, with Liverpool likely out of the title race and Villa very close to qualifying for Europe due to Spurs lack of form of late. A win for Villa would confirm a place in the Champions League, while this being Jurgen Klopp's final away game as Liverpool manager will make it a special away day for visiting fans.Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
The Best Betting Odds for Aston Villa v Liverpool Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
21 | 1.05 | 15 |
|
|
3.6 | 3 | 1.95 |
|
|
3.65 | 4.4 | 1.73 |
|
|
1.02 | 9.84 | 30 |
|
|
1.02 | 9.84 | 30 |
|
|
3.7 | 4.74 | 1.75 |
|
|
3.7 | 4.74 | 1.75 |
|
|
3.65 | 4.3 | 1.88 |
|
|
4.06 | 4.4 | 1.73 |
|
|
3.95 | 4.8 | 1.73 |
|
|
17 | 1.07 | 12 |
|
|
4 | 4.8 | 1.74 |
|
|
46 | 11 | 1.06 |
|
|
7.5 | 5.5 | 1.33 |
|
|
3.5 | 4.2 | 1.88 |
|
|
4.1 | 4.8 | 1.74 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Aston Villa and Liverpool?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/05/2024 between Aston Villa and Liverpool in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.1% for a win of Aston Villa against Liverpool with odds of 46 at Betfair.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Aston Villa vs Liverpool is 27.45% with odds of 11 at Betfair.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.45% chance ⭐ for a win of Liverpool vs Aston Villa with odds of 30 at 1xbet.
Aston Villa - Liverpool Prediction and Best Odds:
| Aston Villa Liverpool Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins | 41.1% | 46 at Betfair |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70.06% | 2.49 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 67.92% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Aston Villa/Aston Villa | 16.55% | 41 at Betfair |
Aston Villa vs Liverpool Form
Aston Villa and Liverpool's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
82 | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 45 |
|
4
|
68 | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 15 |
Aston Villa and Liverpool Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 May 2024 - Conference League
5 May 2024 - Premier League
2 May 2024 - Conference League
27 Apr 2024 - Premier League
21 Apr 2024 - Premier League
18 Apr 2024 - Conference League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2024 - Conference League
27 Apr 2024 - Premier League
21 Apr 2024 - Premier League
11 Apr 2024 - Conference League
6 Apr 2024 - Premier League
30 Mar 2024 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 May 2024 - Conference League
5 May 2024 - Premier League
18 Apr 2024 - Conference League
14 Apr 2024 - Premier League
3 Apr 2024 - Premier League
17 Mar 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 May 2024 - Premier League
27 Apr 2024 - Premier League
24 Apr 2024 - Premier League
21 Apr 2024 - Premier League
18 Apr 2024 - Europa League
14 Apr 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 May 2024 - Premier League
14 Apr 2024 - Premier League
11 Apr 2024 - Europa League
4 Apr 2024 - Premier League
31 Mar 2024 - Premier League
14 Mar 2024 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2024 - Premier League
24 Apr 2024 - Premier League
21 Apr 2024 - Premier League
18 Apr 2024 - Europa League
7 Apr 2024 - Premier League
17 Mar 2024 - FA Cup
Aston Villa vs Liverpool Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
17 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Sep 2023 - Premier League
20 May 2023 - Premier League
26 Dec 2022 - Premier League
10 May 2022 - Premier League
11 Dec 2021 - Premier League
10 Apr 2021 - Premier League
Aston Villa - Liverpool: Form Analysis
Unai Emery’s Aston Villa team came into this game on the back of a loss in the Europa Conference League semi-finals, where they went out to Greek side Olympiacos. Last weekend, they were beaten 1-0 by Brighton in the league too. Therefore, they head into this game with great home form overall in the EPL, but having lost all their last three matches in all competitions. With two games left to play, Villa are seven points clear of Spurs, who do have a game in hand, but a win here for the home side would ensure they land the fourth Champions League qualification spot in the Premier League. They haven’t beaten Liverpool in any of their last seven games against Jurgen Klopp’s team, but their last win was the memorable 7-2 victory at Villa Park back in October 2020.
Jurgen Klopp’s penultimate game as Liverpool manager sees the Reds likely now out of the title race, barring a collapse of unbelievable proportions by both Arsenal and Manchester City. The Reds recent away form isn’t great. One win in four on the road has been the reason why they have fallen off the pace being set by the top two. They did get back to winning ways last time out, defeating Tottenham 4-2 at Anfield in a somewhat strange game where Liverpool were cruising at 4-0 with around 10 minutes left to play before two quickfire Spurs goals saw the Reds almost collapse. Since losing 7-2 at Villa Park, Liverpool have won six of the last seven between the two teams, including a 3-0 success at Anfield earlier on in the season.
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Aston Villa against Liverpool Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
T. Mings
M. Cash
MidfielderE. Buendia
B. Kamara
J. Ramsey
ForwardM. Rogers
A. Robertson
ForwardD. Jota
Aston Villa & Liverpool Squad Analysis
Aston Villa will be without a number of players for the game with Liverpool. Long-term casualties Boubacar Kamara, Emi Buendia, Jacob Ramsey and Tyrone Mings all will likely not return until next season while youngster Morgan Rogers has also been ruled out with a hamstring strain. There is more positive news on a trio of players with Nicolo Zainolo, Alex Moreno and Youri Tielemans all believed to be close to a return for the game at Villa Park on Monday.
Liverpool’s injury crisis has disappeared over the last couple of weeks. Only long-term absentees Joel Matip and Thiago are ruled out. Conor Bradley is fit again after his ankle injury while striker Diogo Jota could feature from the bench once again. Klopp’s main decision for his team is whether it will be Darwin Nunez or Cody Gakpo that will lead the line against Villa.
Most goals and assists
Aston Villa
Liverpool
O. Watkins
(24 Goals)
M. Salah
(24 Goals)
L. Bailey
(14 Assists)
M. Salah
(14 Assists)
Aston Villa - Liverpool Key Points
- Both teams have scored and Over 2.5 Goals have been scored in all of Aston Villa's last three home games (won one, drawn two).
- In three of Liverpool's last four away games, both teams have scored and Over 2.5 Goals have been scored.
- Aston Villa home games have averaged 3.89 goals per game this season.
- Both teams have scored in 69% of Aston Villa's matches in the EPL this season and in 67% of Liverpools. Those percentages are reversed for games where there has been Over 2.5 Goals (67% Villa, 69% Liverpool).
- Both teams have scored in six of the last eight games between these two teams. Over 2.5 Goals were also scored in six of those eight matches.
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Our Aston Villa vs Liverpool Prediction
Aston Villa vs Liverpool - Other Interesting Predictions
Full Time Result - Draw
Aston Villa vs Liverpool match : Frequently asked questions
Simon Hooper will officiate the Aston Villa v Liverpool clash in the Premier League on Monday night.
Reds fans won't be pleased at the appointment as he is the referee who sent off two Liverpool players and disallowed a valid Liverpool goal in their 2-1 defeat away to Tottenham earlier in the season.
He has refereed 23 matches in the EPL prior to this one awarding 101 yellow cards and 3 reds in total.
Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa at Liverpool will be shown live on Sky Sports Premier League and Sky Sports Main Event.
Additionally, for real-time statistics, text highlights and data updates from the Villa v Liverpool clash, check out Sportytrader's Premier League Live page!All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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