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England - Premier League

Aston Villa
13 May 2024 15:00
Liverpool

Prediction :

 

Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals

 
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Aston Villa vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

 by Ian John | in Premier League Predictions

Monday evening in the Premier League sees fourth-place Aston Villa host third-place Liverpool. A few weeks ago, this looked like being a game with a Champions League spot on the line for Villa and potentially a Premier League title at stake for Liverpool. Recent results have changed that meaning that this game doesn’t have as much pressure on it for either team, with Liverpool likely out of the title race and Villa very close to qualifying for Europe due to Spurs lack of form of late. A win for Villa would confirm a place in the Champions League, while this being Jurgen Klopp's final away game as Liverpool manager will make it a special away day for visiting fans.
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The Best Betting Odds for Aston Villa v Liverpool Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
21 1.05 15
Ladbrokes
3.6 3 1.95
NetBet
3.65 4.4 1.73
1xbet
1.02 9.84 30
22bet
1.02 9.84 30
Betwinner
3.7 4.74 1.75
LSbet
3.7 4.74 1.75
Stake
3.65 4.3 1.88
Melbet
4.06 4.4 1.73
Tonybet
3.95 4.8 1.73
Vbet
4.1 4.8 1.74
Betway
17 1.07 12
Unibet
4 4.8 1.74
Betfair
46 11 1.06
Betsson
7.5 5.5 1.33
William Hill
3.5 4.2 1.88
Check all Aston Villa vs Liverpool odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Aston Villa and Liverpool?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/05/2024 between Aston Villa and Liverpool in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.1% for a win of Aston Villa against Liverpool with odds of 46 at Betfair.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Aston Villa vs Liverpool is 27.45% with odds of 11 at Betfair.
  • Our prediction model gives a 31.45% chance ⭐ for a win of Liverpool vs Aston Villa with odds of 30 at 1xbet.

Aston Villa - Liverpool Prediction and Best Odds:

Aston Villa Liverpool Prediction Probability Odds
Aston Villa wins 41.1% 46 at Betfair
Over 2.5 goals 70.06% 2.49 at 1xbet
Both Team To Score 67.92%
Half-time / Full-time : Aston Villa/Aston Villa 16.55% 41 at Betfair

Aston Villa vs Liverpool Form

Aston Villa and Liverpool's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
Liverpool
Liverpool
82 38 24 10 4 45
4
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
68 38 20 8 10 15

Aston Villa and Liverpool Last Matches

Aston Villa
Aston Villa Last matches
L W D L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

9 May 2024 - Conference League

Olympiacos
2 :  0
Aston Villa

5 May 2024 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  0
Aston Villa

2 May 2024 - Conference League

Aston Villa
2 :  4
Olympiacos

27 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  2
Chelsea

21 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
3 :  1
Bournemouth

18 Apr 2024 - Conference League

Lille
2 :  1
Aston Villa
W D W W D L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

2 May 2024 - Conference League

Aston Villa
2 :  4
Olympiacos

27 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  2
Chelsea

21 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
3 :  1
Bournemouth

11 Apr 2024 - Conference League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Lille

6 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
3 :  3
Brentford

30 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  0
Wolves
D L W L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 May 2024 - Conference League

Olympiacos
2 :  0
Aston Villa

5 May 2024 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  0
Aston Villa

18 Apr 2024 - Conference League

Lille
2 :  1
Aston Villa

14 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
0 :  2
Aston Villa

3 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
4 :  1
Aston Villa

17 Mar 2024 - Premier League

West Ham
1 :  1
Aston Villa
Liverpool
Liverpool Last matches
L W W L D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

5 May 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
4 :  2
Tottenham

27 Apr 2024 - Premier League

West Ham
2 :  2
Liverpool

24 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Everton
2 :  0
Liverpool

21 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  3
Liverpool

18 Apr 2024 - Europa League

Atalanta
0 :  1
Liverpool

14 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
0 :  1
Crystal Palace
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

5 May 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
4 :  2
Tottenham

14 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
0 :  1
Crystal Palace

11 Apr 2024 - Europa League

Liverpool
0 :  3
Atalanta

4 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
3 :  1
Sheffield United

31 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  1
Brighton

14 Mar 2024 - Europa League

Liverpool
6 :  1
Sparta Prague
L D W W L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

27 Apr 2024 - Premier League

West Ham
2 :  2
Liverpool

24 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Everton
2 :  0
Liverpool

21 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  3
Liverpool

18 Apr 2024 - Europa League

Atalanta
0 :  1
Liverpool

7 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United
2 :  2
Liverpool

17 Mar 2024 - FA Cup

Manchester United
4 :  3
Liverpool

Aston Villa vs Liverpool Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Aston Villa

0 %

Draw

17 %

Liverpool

83 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.67
Total goals
67%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored (Team 1)
2
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

3 Sep 2023 - Premier League

Liverpool
3 :  0
Aston Villa

20 May 2023 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Aston Villa

26 Dec 2022 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  3
Liverpool

10 May 2022 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  2
Liverpool

11 Dec 2021 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  0
Aston Villa

10 Apr 2021 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  1
Aston Villa
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Aston Villa - Liverpool: Form Analysis

Unai Emery’s Aston Villa team came into this game on the back of a loss in the Europa Conference League semi-finals, where they went out to Greek side Olympiacos. Last weekend, they were beaten 1-0 by Brighton in the league too. Therefore, they head into this game with great home form overall in the EPL, but having lost all their last three matches in all competitions. With two games left to play, Villa are seven points clear of Spurs, who do have a game in hand, but a win here for the home side would ensure they land the fourth Champions League qualification spot in the Premier League. They haven’t beaten Liverpool in any of their last seven games against Jurgen Klopp’s team, but their last win was the memorable 7-2 victory at Villa Park back in October 2020. 

Jurgen Klopp’s penultimate game as Liverpool manager sees the Reds likely now out of the title race, barring a collapse of unbelievable proportions by both Arsenal and Manchester City. The Reds recent away form isn’t great. One win in four on the road has been the reason why they have fallen off the pace being set by the top two. They did get back to winning ways last time out, defeating Tottenham 4-2 at Anfield in a somewhat strange game where Liverpool were cruising at 4-0 with around 10 minutes left to play before two quickfire Spurs goals saw the Reds almost collapse. Since losing 7-2 at Villa Park, Liverpool have won six of the last seven between the two teams, including a 3-0 success at Anfield earlier on in the season.

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Aston Villa against Liverpool Lineups: Starting 11

Aston Villa

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
E. Martinez
4
E. Konsa
3
D. Carlos
14
P. Torres
12
L. Digne
8
Y. Tielemans
6
D. Luiz
31
L. Bailey
7
J. McGinn
19
M. Diaby
11
O. Watkins
7
L. Diaz
18
C. Gakpo
11
M. Salah
10
A. Mac Allister
3
W. Endo
19
H. Elliott
2
J. Gomez
4
V. Van Dijk
78
J. Quansah
66
T. Alexander-Arnold
1
Alisson

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Liverpool

Missing players

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Defender

T. Mings

M. Cash

Midfielder

E. Buendia

B. Kamara

J. Ramsey

Forward

M. Rogers

Liverpool
Liverpool
Defender

A. Robertson

Forward

D. Jota

Aston Villa & Liverpool Squad Analysis

Aston Villa will be without a number of players for the game with Liverpool. Long-term casualties Boubacar Kamara, Emi Buendia, Jacob Ramsey and Tyrone Mings all will likely not return until next season while youngster Morgan Rogers has also been ruled out with a hamstring strain. There is more positive news on a trio of players with Nicolo Zainolo, Alex Moreno and Youri Tielemans all believed to be close to a return for the game at Villa Park on Monday.

Liverpool’s injury crisis has disappeared over the last couple of weeks. Only long-term absentees Joel Matip and Thiago are ruled out. Conor Bradley is fit again after his ankle injury while striker Diogo Jota could feature from the bench once again. Klopp’s main decision for his team is whether it will be Darwin Nunez or Cody Gakpo that will lead the line against Villa.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Aston Villa
CD Huachipato Liverpool
Top Goalscorer
England O. Watkins (24 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Egypt M. Salah (24 Goals)
Best assists
Jamaica L. Bailey (14 Assists)
Best assists
Egypt M. Salah (14 Assists)

Aston Villa - Liverpool Key Points

  1. Both teams have scored and Over 2.5 Goals have been scored in all of Aston Villa's last three home games (won one, drawn two).
  2. In three of Liverpool's last four away games, both teams have scored and Over 2.5 Goals have been scored.
  3. Aston Villa home games have averaged 3.89 goals per game this season.
  4. Both teams have scored in 69% of Aston Villa's matches in the EPL this season and in 67% of Liverpools. Those percentages are reversed for games where there has been Over 2.5 Goals (67% Villa, 69% Liverpool).
  5. Both teams have scored in six of the last eight games between these two teams. Over 2.5 Goals were also scored in six of those eight matches.
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Our Aston Villa vs Liverpool Prediction

Given the goalscoring record of both these teams, and the fact that both have conceded a fair few goals in their recent home and away games, betting on both teams to score looks a no brainer here. The question was whether to pair it with Over 2.5 Goals but a quick look of the data quickly revealed that this was a solid option too. Therefore our Aston Villa v Liverpool prediction is for Both Teams to Score in the game and Over 2.5 Goals to be scored.

Prediction :

 

Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals

 
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Aston Villa vs Liverpool - Other Interesting Predictions

Full Time Result - Draw

Odds 4.33
Historic data shows these two teams do not draw matches too often, but there is compelling data to suggest that this is the smart bet to make for our second Aston Villa v Liverpool prediction . Villa have drawn two of their last three at home, Liverpool two of their last four away from home. Liverpool are away but have had a week to prepare, Villa played their Europa Conference League game in midweek, losing to Olympiacos, so will have had less time to prepare. As such, I think the odds on a draw here are a great value bet.
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Aston Villa vs Liverpool match : Frequently asked questions

Villa Park in Birmingham will be the venue for Aston Villa's game with Liverpool in the Premier League on Monday 13th May. The game will kick off at 8.00pm.

Simon Hooper will officiate the Aston Villa v Liverpool clash in the Premier League on Monday night.

Reds fans won't be pleased at the appointment as he is the referee who sent off two Liverpool players and disallowed a valid Liverpool goal in their 2-1 defeat away to Tottenham earlier in the season.

He has refereed 23 matches in the EPL prior to this one awarding 101 yellow cards and 3 reds in total.

Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa at Liverpool will be shown live on Sky Sports Premier League and Sky Sports Main Event. 

Additionally, for real-time statistics, text highlights and data updates from the Villa v Liverpool clash, check out Sportytrader's Premier League Live page!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Aston Villa vs Liverpool Prediction
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