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Aston Villa vs Leicester Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Kennedy Kechula in Premier League Predictions
Leicester City are set to travel to Birmingham to face Aston Villa in their next English Premier League fixture. The Foxes are seeking to claw themselves out of the relegation zone having finished there in 2024. They come into this match sitting in 19th place, 15 points behind their hosts who are up in ninth. Bookies have Villa as heavy favourites to win this match and as we preview the game, we will also offer two predictions on the likely outcomes.
Despite their rating, this will not be a walk in the park for the hosts, who have failed to impress for large spells in the league. Villa won the reverse match 2-1 back in August and will be seeking a double.
While Leicester City look to avoid a second straight loss in this fixture, they’ll also seek to improve on a run of just one away win this season.
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The Best Betting Odds for Aston Villa v Leicester Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.33 | 5.25 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.5 | 9 |
|
|
1.55 | 3.25 | 6 |
|
|
1.37 | 5.41 | 8.76 |
|
|
1.37 | 5.41 | 8.76 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.75 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.31 | 5.75 | 8.6 |
|
|
1.31 | 5.75 | 8.6 |
|
|
1.34 | 5.8 | 8.2 |
|
|
1.31 | 5.75 | 8.6 |
|
|
1.34 | 6 | 8.4 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.5 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.5 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.33 | 6 | 8.8 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.5 | 9 |
|
|
1.34 | 5.8 | 8.6 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.75 | 7.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Aston Villa and Leicester?
Our prediction for the Aston Villa vs Leicester match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/01/2025 between Aston Villa and Leicester in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 65.56% for a win of Aston Villa against Leicester with odds of 1.55 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Aston Villa vs Leicester is 27.02% with odds of 6 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 7.42% chance ⭐ for a win of Leicester vs Aston Villa with odds of 9.5 at Unibet.
Aston Villa - Leicester Prediction and Best Odds:
| Aston Villa Leicester Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins | 65.56% | 1.55 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74.23% | |
| Both Team To Score | 66.25% | 1.78 at Betway |
| Half-time / Full-time : Aston Villa/Aston Villa | 32.45% | 1.95 at Bet365 |
Aston Villa vs Leicester Form
Aston Villa and Leicester's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
32 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | -2 |
|
19
|
14 | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | -21 |
Aston Villa and Leicester Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Dec 2024 - Premier League
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
14 Dec 2024 - Premier League
10 Dec 2024 - Champions League
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Dec 2024 - Premier League
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
23 Nov 2024 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
14 Dec 2024 - Premier League
10 Dec 2024 - Champions League
1 Dec 2024 - Premier League
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2024 - Premier League
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
22 Dec 2024 - Premier League
14 Dec 2024 - Premier League
8 Dec 2024 - Premier League
3 Dec 2024 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2024 - Premier League
22 Dec 2024 - Premier League
8 Dec 2024 - Premier League
3 Dec 2024 - Premier League
23 Nov 2024 - Premier League
25 Oct 2024 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
14 Dec 2024 - Premier League
30 Nov 2024 - Premier League
10 Nov 2024 - Premier League
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
Aston Villa vs Leicester Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
4 Apr 2023 - Premier League
4 Feb 2023 - Premier League
23 Apr 2022 - Premier League
5 Dec 2021 - Premier League
21 Feb 2021 - Premier League
Aston Villa - Leicester: Form Analysis
Aston Villa have not been consistent this season, especially on the domestic front. Unai Emery’s men, who’ve amassed 29 points, have failed to win in 10 of their last 14 league games.
In this period, they have been defeated five times. Villa, who failed to win any of their last two league games, are coming off a two-all draw at home with Brighton. They sit six points outside the top four.
The hosts, who qualified for the Champions League last season, have won the last two meetings with Leicester City.
Leicester City only won once in five meetings with Aston Villa.
While Villa are battling to secure a place in Europe, Leicester are fighting to maintain their topflight status. The Foxes sit second from bottom and after 19 matches, having amassed 14 points.
They have suffered 11 defeats and only three times have they been on the winning side. Leicester’s struggles have forced a coaching change with Ruud van Nistelrooy taking over a month ago.
The Dutchman’s tenure started positively as Leicester picked up four points in his first two games in charge. They have since returned to the form that saw Steve Cooper dismissed.
The Foxes have lost their last four games and conceded at least three goals in three of those fixtures. The Midlands club closed out 2024 with a 2-0 home loss to Manchester City.
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Aston Villa against Leicester Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
P. Torres
ForwardJ. Duran
M. Rogers
M. Hermansen
DefenderR. Pereira
MidfielderW. Ndidi
K. McAteer
ForwardI. Fatawu
Aston Villa & Leicester Squad Analysis
Villa do not have any injury concerns coming into this match. However, they will be without the suspended Jhon Duran. The forward’s absence is a big blow for the hosts as he is currently their top scorer.
Villa do have enough cover though, in Ollie Watkins while Morgan Rogers has found his scoring boots in recent times. The two are available for selection after they scored to secure a point against Brighton last time out.
At 37, Jamie Vardy will lead Leicester City out, seeking a seventh league goal.
Leicester City’s problems this season have been partly down to injuries. The Foxes have a long injury list, with seven players currently in the treatment room.
Ricardo Pereira, Jakub Stolarczyk, Abdul Fatawu, Wout Faes, Kasey McAteer and Mads Hermansen are all dealing with injuries.
Jordan Ayew and Jamie Vardy have scored 10 league goals between them but in the last four fixtures, Leicester have scored just once.
Most goals and assists
Aston Villa
Leicester
J. Duran
(12 Goals)
J. Vardy
(6 Goals)
Y. Tielemans
(6 Assists)
,
O. Watkins
(6 Assists)
W. Ndidi
(4 Assists)
Aston Villa - Leicester Key Points
- Eight of Leicester’s last nine matches have had over 2.5 goals.
- Villa have seen eight of their last 10 games produce over 2.5 goals.
- On average, 3.1 goals were scored in Villa’s league matches this season.
- Leicester have conceded three or more goals three times in their last four fixtures.
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in the last three matches between Leicester and Villa.
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Our Aston Villa vs Leicester Prediction
Villa and Leicester have conceded goals at an alarming rate. The hosts have kept just one clean sheet in their last 12 games and have allowed five goals in their previous two outings.
Their visitors, on the other hand, have conceded the most goals in the league this season. Three of Leicester’s last four opponents have managed to score at least three goals against them. As both teams are fighting it out on opposite ends of the table, we should expect a high-scoring game.
Our prediction for Aston Villa v Leicester City is over 2.5.
Aston Villa vs Leicester - Other Interesting Predictions
Aston Villa to win
For our second prediction, we pick Villa to win. The hosts have won the last two meetings with Leicester and also haven’t lost in nine league games at home.
Leicester City, have, at the same time, lost five of their last six away matches.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Aston Villa Leicester
| Aston Villa vs Leicester | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins | 1.3 | 1.33 | +2.3% |
| Draw | 5.5 | 5.25 | -4.5% |
| Leicester wins | 8.5 | 8.5 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Aston Villa is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 76.9% and is now 75.2% (-1.7%)
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Aston Villa vs Leicester match : Frequently asked questions
This match will be played on Saturday 4 January.
This match will be played at Villa Park in Birmingham, England.
This match will not be live in the UK but the Sportytrader Premier League livescores will carry the minute-by-minute updates.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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