Aston Villa vs Everton Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Ian John | in Premier League Predictions
Aston Villa host Everton in the Premier League this weekend with the Villains looking to chew up the struggling Toffees on home soil. It is a crucial match for both teams as Villa seeks to push on towards the top four while Everton battles for points to move them off the bottom of the table. What is our prediction for this clash between two of the oldest Premier League teams?
The home side comes into this clash with six points from their three games and a level goalscoring record of four scored and four conceded. They occupy the seventh spot in the current table. Everton sits rock bottom with three defeats in three, two goals scored, and a worrying ten conceded.
This is an opportunity for Aston Villa to close in on the top four and maintain their challenge over the season's early weeks, especially with their Champions League campaign starting next week. Everton fans will want their team to avoid defeat and pick up something from any fixture, ideally starting with a trip to Villa Park, a place where their recent record is very poor.
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The Best Betting Odds for Aston Villa v Everton Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.6 | 4 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.75 | 2.8 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.55 | 4.58 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.55 | 4.58 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.61 | 4.2 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.47 | 4.6 | 6.45 |
|
|
1.49 | 4.7 | 6.4 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.44 | 6.05 |
|
|
1.51 | 4.6 | 6.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Aston Villa and Everton?
Our prediction for the Aston Villa vs Everton match is: Aston Villa to win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/09/2024 between Aston Villa and Everton in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 55.18% for a win of Aston Villa against Everton with odds of 1.75 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Aston Villa vs Everton is 21.56% with odds of 4.7 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.25% chance ⭐ for a win of Everton vs Aston Villa with odds of 6.45 at Betwinner.
Aston Villa - Everton Prediction and Best Odds:
| Aston Villa Everton Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins | 55.18% | 1.75 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 82.28% | 1.81 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 61.25% | 1.8 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Aston Villa | 23.06% | 4.5 at Bet365 |
Aston Villa vs Everton Form
Aston Villa and Everton's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
|
20
|
0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -9 |
Aston Villa and Everton Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Aston Villa against Everton : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Jan 2024 - Premier League
27 Sep 2023 - Carabao Cup
20 Aug 2023 - Premier League
25 Feb 2023 - Premier League
13 Aug 2022 - Premier League
22 Jan 2022 - Premier League
Aston Villa - Everton: Form Analysis
Unai Emery's last home game saw Villa lose a tight clash 2-0 to Arsenal. However, they have won both their away games 2-1 (against West Ham and, most recently, Leicester), with Jhon Duran coming off the bench for Ollie Watkins to score the winner in both those games.
Watkins has been a little below par in the first three matches.
However, after pulling out from the England squad, he has had a further chance to rest. Now, he will be keen to get off the mark this season against the team with the poorest defensive record in the Premier League.
Everton's miserable start to the season began with Sean Dyche's team losing 3-0 at home to Brighton and then 4-0 away to Tottenham Hotspurs. Things, it seemed, could not get any worse. It looked as if their form had returned as they led 2-0 at Goodison Park against Bournemouth after 87 minutes in their previous game.
However, Bournemouth rallied to score three late goals to stun the Goodison crowd. In doing so handing Everton the ignominy of being the only team to be leading 2-0 after 87 minutes in the EPL, only to then go on and lose the game.
Villa have won four of the last five home EPL games with Everton.
The other finished in a draw.
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Aston Villa against Everton Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
T. Mings
M. Cash
MidfielderB. Kamara
L. Bailey
N. Patterson
S. Coleman
MidfielderD. Alli
J. Branthwaite
ForwardChermiti
A. Broja
Aston Villa & Everton Squad Analysis
Aston Villa will be without first-choice right-back Matty Cash, who is out injured. Lamare Bogarde could keep his place in the team as his deputy. Alternatively, Unai Emery could turn to Kosta Nedeljkovic.
Despite two winning goals in two away games, Colombian striker Jhon Duran is likely to start on the bench again with Ollie Watkins and Morgan Rogers likely to start in attack.
Ex-Everton midfielder Amadou Onana will likely continue in midfield.
The rangy Belgian midfielder has scored twice in his first three games for the Villains. Another ex-Evertonian, left-back Lucas Digne, is also expected to start against his former club.
Tyrone Mings is moving closer to returning from a long-term injury but remains unavailable for selection.
For Everton, young defender Jarrad Branthwaite remains sidelined after he had surgery on a groin issue. Recent signing Jake O'Brien, snapped up from Lyon in the transfer window, could make his first start at centre-back in place of Michael Keane.
On-loan striker Armando Broja is another out injured, while Seamus Coleman is in doubt after picking up a knock playing for Ireland against England in the international break. Tim Iroegbunam could start against his former club in a deeper-lying midfield role.
Aston Villa - Everton Key Points
- Aston Villa have won two of their three Premier League games. Their sole defeat coming against Arsenal.
- Everton have lost all three Premier League matches and are bottom of the table.
- No team has conceded more goals than Everton's ten.
- Everton have failed to score in two of their three Premier League games this season.
- Everton have failed to score against Villa in five of the last seven matches between the teams.
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Our Aston Villa vs Everton Prediction
Our prediction for the Aston Villa vs. Everton Premier League clash is: Aston Villa to win to nil.
Villa's sole loss this season came to Arsenal, and there's no shame in that. They've won their other two games away from home and looked in good shape in those victories. Everton's confidence is shattered following three defeats in which they have conceded ten goals. This is a tough game for the Toffees, as their recent record at Villa Park shows. As such, with Everton's strikers misfiring, this is a game Villa should win comfortably.
Aston Villa vs Everton - Other Interesting Predictions
Ollie Watkins (Aston Villa) to score at any time.
Aston Villa's talented striker pulled out of England duty in the recent international break, so Watkins should be sharper ahead of this game with Everton. The striker hasn't found the net this season, after netting 27 goals in 53 games last season. Watkins is certainly overdue a goal to kick off his campaign.
Facing an Everton backline that has shipped at least three goals in every league game they have played this season, Watkins will surely get a chance or two to break that duck here.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Aston Villa Everton
| Aston Villa vs Everton | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins | 1.42 | 1.6 | +12.7% |
| Draw | 4.33 | 4 | -7.6% |
| Everton wins | 7.5 | 5.75 | -23.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Aston Villa is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 12.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 70.4% and is now 62.5% (-7.9%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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